Seahawks are garbage on the road, but they've been competitive in every road game this year. Don't be surprised if Bears win but don't cover.
Seahawks are garbage on the road, but they've been competitive in every road game this year. Don't be surprised if Bears win but don't cover.
31% of bets on SEA, but SBR Consensus Beta shows 81% of money is on SEA right now. Explains the RLM based on bet volume. Sharps hammered away at this. I'm going to wait until gameday to take SEA at this point hoping that the majority of the remaining money comes in on CHI+3.5 or bought to 3. Line might move to +3.5-100.
The sharps are backing Seattle on the road?
I guess its the 'due' theory.
Not due, just good value. As has been stated, SEA hasnt lost by more than a TD all year. Both defenses are top 5, and it's tough laying more than a FG in games that figure to be low scoring. Heres what I wrote in my Week 13 thread on Tuesday:
"Seattle +4.5 in CHI. Again, good value here after CHI blowout and SEA loss. As long as SEA can avoid suspension of both starting corners which looks like they will for this week, there is so much to like about SEA here. They match up very well against WRs like Marshall, they can abuse bad lines. Forte would be a matchup problem as SEA is not good against outside the tackle runners, but he as well as Peanut are both questionable. Russell Wilson has been very efficient and hasn't turned the ball over in I believe 4 games now. Turnovers for scores is how CHI has been making their money, but SEA doesn't give it up much. Look for SEA to bounce back and win this one outright after playing sloppy on the road in the loss to MIA. "
If you like SEA, wait it out a little longer. BOVADA will hang 3.5 or better for sure, and either of Forte or Tillman being upgraded could move this in SEA favor. Also, public and some sharps will start eating up the Bears at 3.5 which could move it closer to 4.
Well, as a Bears fan its a little hard to believe that the Seahawks will win outright. Cover, maybe.
One team is quality and the other can't beat the Dolphins.
Bears being "Quality" is debatable.
Bears are a decent road team and have beaten everyone they were supposed to beat this year. Their only losses are to 'elite' teams. They sure as shit wouldn't lose to the Dolphins. Bears are certainly in another class than the Seahawks.
Now, none of this means Seahawks can't win. Obviously. There's always a chance. If the Seahawks front 4 get to Cutler 7 times in the game like the Panthers front 4 did, and force him into turnovers, certainly they can win.
Just waiting on the Bears to beat a good team. There's something to be said about dominating the bottomfeeders but I'm not buying them yet. And my god, Forte has been a complete bust in his post contract performances. O line the reason?
Bears Offense tied for second worst in the league in Yards per Play with Jacksonville at 4.8. You could say its because their defense has been playing unsustainably good (which is true) in terms of scoring and that the offense just runs the ball to sustain leads. Maybe, and CHI is 16th in YPP rushing, but an abysmal 31st in YPP passing. Pretty sure Cutler only missed one game.
And the 2nd ranked offense in the league is Detroit, they're last in the division and out of the playoffs. So what?
Bears have yet to beat a really good team, but the Seahawks are not a really good team so why even bring that up? Seahawks aren't elite like the Packers/Texans/49ers
Oh ok. Which teams are elite then?