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Daviddaman2's Wednesday Plays (Season: 18-7 +20.7 Units)

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#1

Default Daviddaman2's Wednesday Plays (Season: 18-7 +20.7 Units)

Tuesday: 1-2 (-2.4 Units)
Season: 18-7 (+20.7 Units)


Rough day yesterday going 1-2. Easy winner with USD who was covering wire to wire, flat out swing and miss with UIC who was run out of the building by Oregon State, and a narrow miss on Central Michigan which turned out to be the difference between a winning and losing day. Looking to get back on the winning track today...

Richmond +2.5 (3 Units)
Charleston -3 (2 Units)
Northern Colorado +3 (3 Units)


Best of luck to you all, write ups coming soon.
#2

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Richmond +2.5 - In the last few games I think we're starting to get a better idea of what kind of team Iona really is or at least how they'll be on the road. On Sunday they were easily handled in a 20 point loss to Marshall and in the game before they that they eeked out an overtime win against Denver in a game that frankly they had no business winning. Denver led by 10-12 points through the first 33 minutes or so and then just fell apart. That game was more about Denver losing it, than Iona coming back to win it. All that said I see this game at Richmond as another tough spot for Iona tonight. Richmond hasn't played since last Friday's national TV loss to VCU, in a game where they were close for a half then just blown away in the 2nd half. Not a loss to be ashamed of as VCU especially at home is a very solid team with one of the best coaches in the nation. However tonight coming back home you know Richmond will be geared up to avenge that loss and put together a solid 40 minutes. Iona is an up and down team that'll look to run at any chance they get, but tonight playing at a team as well coached and disciplined as Richmond I just don't see the Spiders falling into that trap. They'll do everything they can to grind Iona into their style of play (half court game) and I think they'll be able to it. Just so many angles here that point to Richmond.
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Charleston -3 - This is a game where I think if it didn't say "Tennessee" on the front of the visiting teams jerseys tonight the line would be about 6. It's not easy for most to wrap their head around a statement like this, but Charleston is a better team than Tennessee. This Charleston team has 4 players averaging in double figures, a good mix of solid guards and strong big men, and of course tonight the advantage of playing at home. Lets not forget Charleston beat Tennessee just last season by 13 points in a game they controlled basically throughout. Tennessee has played a tough schedule and most of their early season losses are understandable but what's discouraging is the fact they couldn't walk away with one win against a good team. In their 4 games against Duke, Memphis, Pitt and Oakland i'm sure their goal was to come away 2-2, which would have been just fine. 0-4 however, that's a concern. Aside from Duke while those other 3 teams are solid they've all shown flaws this year and are certainly beatable. To make matters worse for the Vols was a loss in their last game at home to Austin Peay. I like Austin Peay, but they shouldn't be coming into Knoxville as double digit and walking out of there with an outright win. Anyways I think i've beat up on Tennessee enough, now i'll give a little credit to their opponent. Charleston lost one of their best players in school history with Andrew Goudelock and many thought the team wouldn't be able to recover. Well here they are 7-1 including a very nice road win at Clemson and a complete beating of U Mass by 24 on a neutral court. As I said Charleston beat Tennessee last year and I expect them to do it again tonight, only difference is this year it won't be an upset.
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Northern Colorado +3 - This is a series that has been dominated by the home team recently, and for a simple reason. Both of these teams are garbage on the road. Yes Denver does have a nice road win against Utah State on their resume this season but don't let fool you. This team struggles on the road and that's been the case for years. In my Iona/Richmond write up I touched on Denvers complete 2nd half meltdown against Iona basically giving away a game they'd controlled for 33 minutes. Coming off losses like that isn't easy, and having to do it on the road makes it even tougher. After a rough start and a pretty tough early season schedule Northern Colorado has won 3 of 4 and is starting to feel pretty good about themselves as a team now. I'll gladly take the 3 points here, but frankly this a game where I think the wrong team is favored. Don't be fooled by the records here. Northern Colorado wins this game outright. I'll take the 3 as insurance.
#6

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shit man...against you on Richmond...I agree with you on your write up...but word is the Denver game and Marshall game...all the kids from Iona were under the flu...so that could have led to their below average performance.

Tim Cluess has been stressing all week defensive stops. Iona knows they can not win without getting defensive stops and getting out in transition. I just don't think Richmond has enough fire power to hang with Iona if the Gaels play a solid crisp game for 40 minutes..that is the key...they tend to only play hard in spurts...but if they play hard for full 40 minutes Richmond goes down here.

Plus I think Machado and Mo Mo Jones are athletic enough to be able to shutdown the back court of Linsdey and the stand out freshman...which has been their bread and butter all season long.

that being said I hate betting against Richmond at home but that is how much I believe in this Iona team.
#7

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Quote Originally Posted by degenerate23 View Post
Great write ups. Loving Richmond and Charleston, not fully on board with Northern Colorado but we'll see as tip off draws closer. Keep up the good work and best of luck to us tonight!
Thanks man, I just am not a big fan of Denver in this spot. Coming off a ball busting loss in their last game and now having to play on the road where they already aren't comfortable. Should be interesting to see how it plays out
#8

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Quote Originally Posted by zoo youk View Post
shit man...against you on Richmond...I agree with you on your write up...but word is the Denver game and Marshall game...all the kids from Iona were under the flu...so that could have led to their below average performance.

Tim Cluess has been stressing all week defensive stops. Iona knows they can not win without getting defensive stops and getting out in transition. I just don't think Richmond has enough fire power to hang with Iona if the Gaels play a solid crisp game for 40 minutes..that is the key...they tend to only play hard in spurts...but if they play hard for full 40 minutes Richmond goes down here.

Plus I think Machado and Mo Mo Jones are athletic enough to be able to shutdown the back court of Linsdey and the stand out freshman...which has been their bread and butter all season long.

that being said I hate betting against Richmond at home but that is how much I believe in this Iona team.
Yeah I certainly here where your coming from. I just feel a disciplined, smart Richmond team playing at home after a big loss like they suffered against VCU are going to give a "maximum effort" game today. They'll do everyone they can to slow the pace and take Iona out of that run and gun offense and force them to play some half court basketball. If can do they that (as I expect and hope they can) they'll win. At least IMO. Best of luck to you though bud
#9

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David, I have to take exception to Northern Colorado feeling good about themselves as a team. 2 weeks ago these guys lost to NAIA Westminster UT, AT HOME, by 13 points! Their only game since was a win over another non-D1 opponent, Johnson & Wales. Not sure how they're feeling too high on themselves right now.

I'm on Denver fairly big...although I do see the rest of your angle on taking Northern Colorado in this spot.

Like your Charleston & Richmond picks, I'm on those myself.

Good luck tonight
#10

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Quote Originally Posted by lite1up View Post
David, I have to take exception to Northern Colorado feeling good about themselves as a team. 2 weeks ago these guys lost to NAIA Westminster UT, AT HOME, by 13 points! Their only game since was a win over another non-D1 opponent, Johnson & Wales. Not sure how they're feeling too high on themselves right now.

I'm on Denver fairly big...although I do see the rest of your angle on taking Northern Colorado in this spot.

Like your Charleston & Richmond picks, I'm on those myself.

Good luck tonight
Fair point, and no way around it that's a bad loss... but 3 out of 4 wins is still good mentally for a team that got their teeth kicked in their first 4 games.