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Sando's All Sports (NBA, AFL, NRL)

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#4037

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Quote Originally Posted by sando View Post
Super Rugby is for you and RLF mate, me personally I'm waiting for ITM cup. Will quite likely tail your plays in super rugby as won't have time to do the research myself with AFL/NRL starting.
Ah ofcourse, what do you think about doggies to win NRL premiership, young team, lots of room to improve and with hasler returning teamwork will only get better.
#4039

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Quote Originally Posted by easysaid View Post
Ah ofcourse, what do you think about doggies to win NRL premiership, young team, lots of room to improve and with hasler returning teamwork will only get better.
Nah warriors got this. I kid. doggies would definitely be my lean of the top of my head, it will be interesting to see if barba can keep up the excellent play though, i get a weird feeling he might come down to earth like hayne
#4041

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Djokovic express takes care of Harrison. As I expected. As a big Djokovic fan one thing I can tell you is that Djokovic (since he won his first AU Open) never lost more then one or two sets before the final while in his first one,i think, the only one he lost was the first set in the final vs Tsonga. Hope you all will have some use in knowing that.
Last edited by avuksa; 01-16-13 at 05:00 AM.
#4042

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NBA Wednesday

Houston @ Dallas
Mavericks -4 (-105, $1.95 Pinnacle) 2.5x
*Dallas is rolling at the moment, Houston is cold. A week ago it was the other way around.


Indiana @ Orlando
Pacers -1 (-108, $1.92 IAS/Sportsbet) 1.5x
*Magic falling into the current popular trend of "team's playing their first game at home coming off a long road trip = play the under". SBR's "The Giant" will no doubt put out a play on the under in this game at some point. Anyway the potential for a low scoring game is not what you want against the Pacer's regardless if it is at home or on the road. Pacers thrive on low scoring defensive orientated battles and with the level they are playing at, their may not be a team in the league who do it better. Yes the -1 is suspicously low (Pacers playing the Back2Back) and yes the public is all over this line, so is it a trap? Maybe? But I'm willing to fall into it. A lot of my methodology revolves around riding undervalued teams that are running hot and Indiana definitely falls into this category. Big baby back for the Magic is great for them, however second game back gonna have to put in a lot of work against West who will look to draw him out of the post where Hibbert if left to single coverage is too big/too strong for skinny Vucevic and could work him over and rough him up a bit. Paul George looks set to have a nice game as the Magic just don't have anyone who looks like they can stop him. Afflalo is a good defender both on ball and perimiter and he will probably spend some time on George, however he is giving up at least 4" to the versatile swingman and may struggle himself if George spends any time on him as the guy is averaging nearly 5 steals per game over his last 3 games. Gary "the glove" would be impressed with those numbers. Actually Moe Harkless would probably be a decent matchup defensively for George, however he has fallen out of favor with coach Vaughn in recent times and doesn't look to be getting off the pine. I expect it to be a tight game, probably still up for grabs in the 4th quarter, however when push comes to shove it's funny how teams with a "winning culture" tend to find a way to win. Win the game = cover the line. Vogel got these boys playing with a nice consistent level of intensity on a nightly basis ATM. If they can find a way to smootly integrate Granger (return is imminent) back into the system without messing up what George has going on then I have no doubt this team is ECF's calibre.

Cleveland @ Portland
Cav's +7 (-108, $1.92 IAS/Sportsbet) 1x

Chicago @ Toronto
Bulls -3.5 (-108, $1.92 IAS/Sportsbet) 1x

NBA Totals

Chicago @ Toronto
Over 183.5 (-105, $1.95 Pinnacle) 1.5x

Washington @ Sacramento
Over 206 (-109, $1.91 Pinnacle) 1x
Last edited by sando; 01-16-13 at 10:18 AM.
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#4045

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@ Sando ....

Just an FYI, not sure if you noticed but the Pacers are playing their 4th game in 5 nights, not just a B2B.
Fatigue could be an issue at this point. That's why the line is so low.

They did however already have a 4 in 5 on a B2B and the 4th game was against N.O. where they were a -3' point favorite and they covered.

I would check to see how the line moves throughout the day. Currently 66% is on the Pacers but the line moved a half point in their favor. Movement closer to tip-off will be a better indicator...

P.S. How did you end up on your tennis plays?
#4050

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Quote Originally Posted by SlickRick1382 View Post
@ Sando ....

Just an FYI, not sure if you noticed but the Pacers are playing their 4th game in 5 nights, not just a B2B.
Fatigue could be an issue at this point. That's why the line is so low.

They did however already have a 4 in 5 on a B2B and the 4th game was against N.O. where they were a -3' point favorite and they covered.

I would check to see how the line moves throughout the day. Currently 66% is on the Pacers but the line moved a half point in their favor. Movement closer to tip-off will be a better indicator...

P.S. How did you end up on your tennis plays?
If I understand this odds and line movement it means that big bettors are on Indy (sharps probably), correct?