NBA Stituational Bet, SDQL

Originally Posted by pip2

cle beats gs 3 units --> +3
gs/cle O 1 unit --> -1
okc/phx U 2 units --> -2
phx beats okc 3 units --> +3

total +3
running total +12
(107-95)

pip I see what you are doing, but don't you think odds need to be figured in? Especially with volume? That running total is minimal

Originally Posted by Heart

Going to give the trends (that make sense to me i.e. have an angle I can understand) another try starting tonight after some time to get back into routine after the all break. After whittling down to that subset I'm even further throwing out any trend hitting less than 53-54% on the season, or month, or day. Any unusual rest patterns will be taken into account as well.

BOL Heart.. just beware of the contrarian trends too! Things trend without logic or reason. I am with you in regards to "whittling down"! I believe in "SDQL nformation overload" is what I called it! That is....Find a few steady long-term situations and follow them....regardless of the loud noise (contradictions)!

Originally Posted by JMon

pip I see what you are doing, but don't you think odds need to be figured in? Especially with volume? That running total is minimal

Heh! I'm not sure if you are referring to the tracking of the results or the shoddy method of recording wins vs losses! But if you see what I am doing then you are definitely a few steps ahead of me. This is so preliminary at this point. Its like this big oddly-shaped clump of data that I have such little understanding of that I am afraid to touch it, so I keep walking around it and looking at it to see if it might fart or something.

Right now the clump is at 352 losses, 485 wins, which is around 58%, so it has dropped a couple of percent in the 12 or so days since I started posting results...Maybe it is slowly settling back into its true 50% nature...

mn beats chi 3 units --> -3
mn/chi O 1 unit --> -1
cle/ind U 1 unit --> +1
ind beats cle 2 units --> +2
cha/bos U 1 unit --> -1
bos beats cha 1 unit --> +1
mem beats lac 1 unit --> -1
lac/mem U 1 unit --> +1
mia beats no 1 unit --> -1
ny/det O 1 unit --> +1
lal beats mil 7 units --> +7
orl/atl U 1 unit --> +1
hou beats bkn 6 units --> -6
bkn/hou O 1 unit --> -1
sac beats sa 7 units --> -7
sa/sac O 1 unit --> +1
okc/por O 1 unit --> +1
okc beats por 1 unit --> +1
phi beats wsh 3 units --> +3

total -1
running total +11
(127-116)

mn beats mem 5 units
mia beats atl 2 units
mil/ut O 2 units
ut beats mil 1 unit
tor/ny O 5 units
ny beats tor 8 units
bkn/dal O 1 unit
bkn beats dal 1 unit
phx beats sa 1 unit

mn beats mem 5 units --> +5
mia beats atl 2 units --> +2
mil/ut O 2 units --> -2
ut beats mil 1 unit --> +1
tor/ny O 5 units --> +5
ny beats tor 8 units --> +8
bkn/dal O 1 unit --> -1
bkn beats dal 1 unit --> +1
phx beats sa 1 unit --> -1

total +18
running total +29
(149-120)

lac/chi O 2 units
chi beats lac 1 unit
cha/orl O 1 unit
orl beats cha 4 units
okc/lal U 2 units
lal beats okc 4 units
no/den O 2 units
cle/hou O 1 unit
hou beats cle 2 units
bos beats gs 3 units
gs/bos U 1 unit
phi/ind U 1 unit


3/1/15 1:00pm Reduced Basketball 801 Los Angeles Clippers/Chicago Bulls Over 197 -102*
3/1/15 1:00pm Reduced Basketball 802 Chicago Bulls +1½ -102* vs Los Angeles Clippers
3/1/15 6:35pm Reduced Basketball 804 Los Angeles Lakers +3½ -108* vs Oklahoma City Thunder
3/1/15 6:35pm Reduced Basketball 803 Oklahoma City Thunder/Los Angeles Lakers Under 197½ -103*
3/1/15 6:05pm Reduced Basketball 805 Charlotte Hornets/Orlando Magic Over 184½ -105*
3/1/15 6:05pm Reduced Basketball 806 Orlando Magic +1½ -107* vs Charlotte Hornets
3/1/15 6:05pm Reduced Basketball 808 Boston Celtics +9 -107* vs Golden State Warriors
3/1/15 6:05pm Reduced Basketball 807 Golden State Warriors/Boston Celtics Under 217 -105*
3/1/15 6:05pm Reduced Basketball 809 Philadelphia 76ers/Indiana Pacers Under 189½ -105*
3/1/15 3:30pm Reduced Basketball 813 Cleveland Cavaliers/Houston Rockets Over 208 -105*
3/1/15 3:30pm Reduced Basketball 814 Houston Rockets -1 +102* vs Cleveland Cavaliers
3/1/15 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 815 New Orleans Pelicans/Denver Nuggets Over 198½ -102*

After one month of live tracking i have the following results for my SDQL database:
NBA:
114-99
Flex Staking: -9 Profit
Flat Staking: +9.3 Profit

NHL:
111-94
Flex Staking:+108
Flat Staking:+18,49

NCAAB:
209-182
Flex Staking:+22
Flat Staking:+16.55

Overall:
434-375
Flex Staking:+121
Flat Staking:+44.34

lac/chi O 2 units --> -2
chi beats lac 1 unit --> -2
cha/orl O 1 unit --> -1
orl beats cha 4 units --> -4
okc/lal U 2 units --> -2
lal beats okc 4 units --> -4
no/den O 2 units --> -2
cle/hou O 1 unit --> 0
hou beats cle 2 units --> +2
bos beats gs 3 units --> +3
gs/bos U 1 unit --> +1
phi/ind U 1 unit --> +1

7-17
Total -10
Running total +19
(156-137)





3/1/15 1:00pm Reduced Basketball 801 Los Angeles Clippers/Chicago Bulls Over 197 -102*
3/1/15 1:00pm Reduced Basketball 802 Chicago Bulls +1½ -102* vs Los Angeles Clippers
3/1/15 6:35pm Reduced Basketball 804 Los Angeles Lakers +3½ -108* vs Oklahoma City Thunder
3/1/15 6:35pm Reduced Basketball 803 Oklahoma City Thunder/Los Angeles Lakers Under 197½ -103*
3/1/15 6:05pm Reduced Basketball 805 Charlotte Hornets/Orlando Magic Over 184½ -105*
3/1/15 6:05pm Reduced Basketball 806 Orlando Magic +1½ -107* vs Charlotte Hornets
3/1/15 6:05pm Reduced Basketball 808 Boston Celtics +9 -107* vs Golden State Warriors
3/1/15 6:05pm Reduced Basketball 807 Golden State Warriors/Boston Celtics Under 217 -105*
3/1/15 6:05pm Reduced Basketball 809 Philadelphia 76ers/Indiana Pacers Under 189½ -105*
3/1/15 3:30pm Reduced Basketball 813 Cleveland Cavaliers/Houston Rockets Over 208 -105*
3/1/15 3:30pm Reduced Basketball 814 Houston Rockets -1 +102* vs Cleveland Cavaliers
3/1/15 8:05pm Reduced Basketball 815 New Orleans Pelicans/Denver Nuggets Over 198½ -102*

Pip,

Ru ever going to make your own thread?

Originally Posted by FlyinAir

Pip,

Ru ever going to make your own thread?

Nope, but I'll take the hint, and not go on and on posting data that is just not as odd as it was when I first started posting it...

Keep posting please pip2.

Originally Posted by Shazzadude

Keep posting please pip2.

Shazz I'll try to PM the fades to you

NBA catches up. Now with 1 play pending up 140 units since Jan 29th on 3 sports.
NHL +110
NBA +9
NCAAB +23
NFL -2 (only 1 game)

Hey guys was wondering how I would write up the equation for ncaa hoops to find favorites with double revenge?

I have kept this by hand the last few years and was trying to go a little further back with it.

thanks