H and (p:points + op:points) / 2 > 100 and line > 4 and rest < 3 and WP > 15 and o:WP < 75 and season>=2006
H and (p:points + op:points) / 2 > 100 and line > 4 and rest < 3 and WP > 15 and o:WP < 75 and season>=2006
Been working on new angles. I call it reverse strategy. Since 70% og the plays the queries generate are based on Away Teams, the rest left out should be Home ATS wins. I will back test them later.
Added NBA plays of this season up to date to the sheet.
Solid 13% Yield and 168 Units Profit this season so far.
Backtested "Reverse Psychology" 58-45 so far this season. +12.38 Units on single bets.
Together with the single plays from the queries:
451-336
approx 80 units
Reverse psychology means. I assume that H and A on ATS will even out in the end.
Since most of the trends are predicting away teams to win, i will take the games left out for the home team to win ats.
Let's say no queries show up for a game, i take the Home Team ATS.
58-45 on singles this year.
Only singles:
Queries for Away Teams so far this season:
167-110 +41,97
Queries for Home Teams so far this season:
40-46 -7,67
So you can see the system is very good at predicting away winners on ats.
but there have to be home winners too? these are the games left out.
I think you need to be an action junky to play games that showing up on queries and look for meaning, why games didn't show up on queries to bet the opposite.
I do wonder, why queries are so good picking away teams and much worse at picking home teams? I can add that AF seems to be team's best position for the queries...
showcasing a group-by btwn two teams on an over streak, tends to go under.
ou streak>=8,7,6,5,4,3,2 and o:ou streak>=9,8,7,6,5,4,3,2 and 2009<=season
Saw one on Statfox today that I thought was interesting, but can't get the SDQL numbers to match their historical records:
Play On - Road teams (SACRAMENTO) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 20 points or more against opponent off a home win by 10 points or more. 46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 1-2 this year. ( 33.3% | -1.2 units
When I tried to replicate the scenario for their 'last 5 season' result I used this query:
AD and P:L and P:season=season and P:margin<=-20 and op:HW and op:margin>=10 and 2013>=season>=2009
That produces the right number for this season (1-2 ATS), which matches what Statfox quotes, but doesn't come close to matching what Statfox shows for the scenario's last 5 seasons (2009-2013)...
^...Within the situation I'm not seeing where they are call for a road dog nor a same-season revenge game?
Yeah I added the same season after getting the "1-2" record in 2014, meaning without it there were too many games already played in 2014 to match Statfox's published record so far. Once I did, it matched, and the 5-year totals are close also, but ATS wins and losses aren't, outside of the correct 1-2 so far this season. They were all dogs, hence just adding the D, doesn't change anything.