NBA Stituational Bet, SDQL

Originally Posted by Heart

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

play posted at 11:18am on 12/30
Detroit Pistons -1 -108 vs Orlando Magic

SDQL:
AF and op:W and op:margin<=3 and playoffs=0

Translated:
Play an away fav against an opponent coming off a very close win

On this tonight too. Lots of queries pointing to it just like Bulls last night....ah. Bulls last night was just bad luck. I also played CHA because the queries looked strong there but hated the pick. MIL is one of the must undervalued teams so far this year for betting. Be rich just playing them ATS all year so far. When went to OT couldn't believe it, maybe a chance! No, no...OT is not kind to the SDQL bettor this year. BOL

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15


12/30/14 5:25p CT

Play Min OV 202.5 -110

SDQL: A and 209.5>=total>=200 and 102>=tA(points)>=98 and 98>=oA(points)>=92 and po:points>=105 and 2010<=season

Play over a total from 209.5 to 200 a good offensive road team that gave up 105 or more points in thier last game; playing against an average offensive team.

NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15

Overall Group Record - 100-90-3 - 52.6% (+3.90) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)

Yesterday's recap 3-1 (+1.90)

Official Entries: Max 10 of 10: (no particular order)

1. JMon - 18-19-1 (-1.90)

2. pip2 - 20-17 (+1.92)

3. nash13 - 7-4 (+2.82)

4. Ronald S. - 10-17 (-7.98)

5. hyahya - 6-6-1 (-.65)

6. Mako-SBR - 15-15 (-1.50)

7. Heart - 8-1 (+6.92)

8. Consigliere - 13-7-1 (+5.57)

9. GolfAddict - 3-4 (-1.30)

10. Open Spot - let me know if any one wants it!

Originally Posted by Consigliere

When went to OT couldn't believe it, maybe a chance! No, no...OT is not kind to the SDQL bettor this year. BOL

how bout that... Blazers buck the trend and get it done in OT!

Originally Posted by Heart

how bout that... Blazers buck the trend and get it done in OT!

Yup finally an OT to go my way. Feels like about 1-10 on games that go to OT since I don't play the totals so far. Before tipoff I considered middling the game since I got the early line but didn't...glad now!

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15


12/31/14 12:15PM EST

Play Mia +4.5 -107

SDQL:

AD and WP < 50 and (o:rest=0 or rest=1) and ats streak < 0 and 0 < o:ats streak < 3

Play the road dog sitting below .500 winning percentage either on 1 day rest or opponent on back to back where the team is on a negative ats streak and the opponent is on a positive ats streak of 1 or 2 games. Both teams are fairly healthy now so an even footing game and I see Miami being superior team here by a few points, even on the road. Debated taking them SU but Indiana is a tough road environment and David West usually plays Bosh well so went with the points. Hibbert is the X factor in this game, if he brings it Indiana probably covers...we will see! Happy New Year everyone.

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15


12/31/14 10:40am pst Reduced Basketball 712 Houston Rockets -12 -103* vs Charlotte Hornets

SDQL:

playoffs=0 and p:O and p2:O and p3:O and p4:O and season > 2007 and oA(dpa) > 0 and P:W and rest > 0 and day in [Monday,Tuesday,Wednesday] and team not in [Jazz,Pelicans,Timberwolves,Grizzlies,Lak ers,Hawks,Kings,Trailblazers] and o:team not in [Grizzlies,Thunder,Nuggets]

SDQL: English

Since 2007 during regular season on Monday, Tuesdays and Wednesdays if a team (not playing back-to-back) plays an opponent who the team beat in their previous matchup and which on average during the season has allowed more points than the oddsmakers have expected, and the team has gone over in all 4 of its last 4 games, look for the team to cover vs its opponent, if the team and opponent are not members of 2 short lists of uncooperative teams.

This started as a good legitimate query from janthony which I pimped out to the max to get a >90% hit rate, and now I am stoked to get the chance to see what actually happens when a super-pimped out query gets used in real life.

Pip or anyone else who is wondering how p:M3 >= 0 and (A or D) and 0 > p:margin and rest = 0 has been doing lately because they missed that it was active for whatever reason over the past week or so (like I did), it has gone 2-2 since Dec. 21, so nothing lost.

NBA SDQL Best Bet

12-31-14 5:15p CT

Play PHX UN 213 -110

SDQL: A and 220 > total > 210 and tA(points) >= 102 and 98 >= oA(o:points) >= 92 and p:points + po:points >= 205 and rest < 2 and o:rest>0

Play under a total of 220 to 210 a good offensive team against a rested ave defensive team after a combined score of 205 or more points.

NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15

Overall Group Record - 101-92-3 - 52.3% (+2.73) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)

Yesterday's recap 1-2 (-1.17)

Official Entries: Max 10 of 10: (no particular order)

1. JMon - 18-20-1 (-3.00)

2. pip2 - 21-17 (+2.92)

3. nash13 - 7-4 (+2.82)

4. Ronald S. - 10-17 (-7.98)

5. hyahya - 6-6-1 (-.65)

6. Mako-SBR - 15-15 (-1.50)

7. Heart - 8-1 (+6.92)

8. Consigliere - 13-8-1 (+4.50)

9. GolfAddict - 3-4 (-1.30)

10. Open Spot - let me know if any one wants it!

NBA SDQL Best Bet

1-1-15 9:45a CT

Play SAC -2 -110

SDQL: 8.5 >= line and D and P:L and P:margin <= -10 and p:ADL and pp:ADL and p:ats margin > 0 and pp:ats margin > 0

Fade a dog of no more than 8.5 revenging a loss of 10 or more; off b2b road losses as a dog where they covered the spread.

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15


1/1/15 8:00am pst Reduced Basketball 503 Sacramento Kings/Minnesota Timberwolves Under 209½ -102*

SDQL:

H and rest in [1,2] and month in [10,11,12,1,2] and day in [Sunday,Thursday] and season > 2005 and (team in [Grizzlies,Cavaliers,Wizards,Bucks,Rocket s,Magic,Celtics,Heat,Pistons,Timberwolve s] or o:team in [Grizzlies,Cavaliers,Wizards,Bucks,Rocket s,Magic,Celtics,Heat,Pistons,Timberwolve s]) and 207 < total < 216

SDQL: English

Since 2005 on Sundays and Thursdays from October through February if the home team or its opponent is mem, cle, wsh, mil, hou, orl, bos, det, or mn, and the total is between 207 and 216, bet the under.

a few pointing to the Kings today. Anyone have any idea in general how the over/unders are doing? I've not played them or paid any attention to them. Are they worth a look yet?

happy new year@all.

i analyzed the first 200 queries of the sheet.
i excluded duplicates and double plays and contradictions.
if a game has 1 query over and 3 under, it was a now play for me.
after that only single plays.

261 W and 200 L
37 Units profit on 1.91 odds.
If we take the double plays as a trust factor and there are no contradictions:

478-350 +84,98 Units

in the next step i only took the trend who had more than 2 points in my ranking system:

single plays without contradictions and double plays:
145-105 +26.95 Units

double plays allowed only above 2 strength
258-167 +67.78 Units.

There are the rest of the queries left to analyze.

After looking at all queries up to date this season:
Without Contradictions, but duplicates:
489-343
+101.99 Units on a conservative 1.91 odd per bet

Without Duplicates and contradictions:
293-220
+46.63 Units

Only Rated above 2.
Single plays:
144-108
+23.04 Units

Doubles allowed, but no contradictions.
249-159
+67.59 Units

all plays for NBA in 2014/15 are now updated in the spreadsheet