ya freakin unreal. The way my plays been going as of late.Originally Posted by Alex Vaile
That hurt. Thought they'd pull it out when they only needed a basket w over a minute to go. But nope. Line moved 2 pts up too before the game. That damn second quarter.
O well not even close to my niners melting down today. Here's to tomorrow!
NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15
Overall Group Record - 86-75-3 - 53.4% (+5.96) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)
Yesterday's recap 2-2 (-.18)
Official Entries: Max 10 of 10: (no particular order)
1. JMon - 15-14-1 (+.50)
2. pip2 - 17-12 (+4.28)
3. nash13 - 7-4 (+2.82)
4. Ronald S. - 9-16 (-7.96)
5. hyahya - 6-5-1 (+.45)
6. Mako-SBR - 13-14 (-2.40)
7. Heart - 6-1 (+4.92)
8. Consigliere - 10-5-1 (+4.65)
9. GolfAddict - 3-4 (-1.30)
10. Open Spot - let me know if any one wants it!
NBA 'Best Bet' 2014-15
12/21/14 - 10:03a CT
Play Min ML +125
SDQL: 3>=line>=-3 and po:points>=105 and ppo:points>=105 and op:points+opo:points<=165
English: play on a team with a short line after giving up b2b game of 105 or more points against oppt. whom had a combined score of 165 or less. Home dogs should be looked at within this query.
possible Raptors 1st quarter ATS...waiting for line
p:M3=1 and (A or D) and -12<=p:margin<=-6 and rest = 0 and WP < o:WP and 5<=line<=17 and [M1 < -line/4]
if line is too large (e.g., <-4) then it might be prohibitive, since the average 1st quarter differential is around -4
Thought this would be active, but Bos total is a bit lower than I like, but something to watch for sure..How teams tend to go under after three straight games of blowing teams out.
A and total > 201 and p:W and pp:W and ppp:W and p:margin >= 15 and pp:margin >= 15 and ppp:margin >= 15 and o:rest>0
please stop the spam
at 4.5 I'm tempted to bet the other way...p:M3=1 and (A or D) and -12<=p:margin<=-6 and rest = 0 and WP < o:WP and 5<=line<=17 and [M1 < -line/4]
if line is too large (e.g., <-4) then it might be prohibitive, since the average 1st quarter differential is around -4
no best bet for me today.. good luck to you guys!
A lot of very strong trends collide tonight in Minnesota, both on total and on the line.
Checked the queries, but didn't find anything I liked.
Boston had one pretty strong query, but with all the trades that just happened, not sure how much we can read in to that.
p:overtime>0 and rest=0 and p:W and H
SU:27-24 (2.20, 52.9%)ATS:17-33-1 (-3.71, 34.0%) avg line: -5.9O/U:20-31-0 (-2.41, 39.2%) avg total: 195.3
Good idea to fade a team that won in overtime and plays at home without rest.
P.S. or just plays at home (39% ATS) (if both games are home it drops to 1 - 5 and 16% - but very small sample of course).
Last edited by dmitean; 12-21-14 at 01:13 PM.
NBA 'Best Bet' 2014-15
12/21/14 - 11:15a PST
Play: BRK (-2) DET
SDQL:
AD and p:HDL and P:HL and P:ats margin<=-9 and P:season=season and 66>=game number>=15 and season>=2006
English:
Fading an away dog that lost as a home dog in its last game, and lost against the team they're now playing at home the last time they met within the season by more than nine points. Game takes place in the meat of the season. Let's get it!!
This is essentially the same query I've been using for a couple of my best bets plays I've made previously in this thread, just reversed. It's been good to me so far.p:overtime>0 and rest=0 and p:W and H
SU:27-24 (2.20, 52.9%)ATS:17-33-1 (-3.71, 34.0%) avg line: -5.9O/U:20-31-0 (-2.41, 39.2%) avg total: 195.3
Good idea to fade a team that won in overtime and plays at home without rest.
P.S. or just plays at home (39% ATS) (if both games are home it drops to 1 - 5 and 16% - but very small sample of course).
SDQL:
op:overtime>0 and o:rest=0 and A and playoffs=0
Gonna pass on best bet today. Indiana looked interesting as an away favorite with a terrible win%
AF and game number >= 20 and 23 < WP < 31
ATS: 31-12-3 (2.07, 72.1%) avg line: -2.6
And Sacramento coming off a loss as a home favorite
H and p:HFL and line <= -6.5 and p:line <= -6.5 and season >= 2011
SU: 59-6 (13.25, 90.8%)
ATS: 41-23-1 (3.21, 64.1%) avg line: -10.0
But seen them conflict with some other queries. GL all
You're rightThis is essentially the same query I've been using for a couple of my best bets plays I've made previously in this thread, just reversed. It's been good to me so far.
SDQL:
opvertime>0 and o:rest=0 and A and playoffs=0
- just realized that. Just been messing a bit with fatigue queries...
cracked 200 queries. congrats to everyone contributing.
