NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15
12/17/14 12:51p PST
Play: SAS (-3) MEM -110
SDQL:
AD and tS(W, N=5)=5 and rest=0 and division=o:division and season>=2008
English:
Fading an away dog on no rest that has been on a hot streak, having won five games in a row previously, going against a team in their own division. BOL all!
NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15
12/17/14 5:30 PM EST
Indiana/LA Clippers Under 201 -105 (bovada)
p:margin >= 19 and op:margin >= 19 and H
O/U: 47-90-1 (-3.74, 34.3%) avg total: 195.3
p:margin >= 19 and op:margin >= 19 and H and rest = 1 and o:rest = 1
O/U: 12-37-1 (-7.13, 24.5%) avg total: 192.1
Play the under in a game where both teams won in a blowout in their previous games.
1st quarter Heat ATS
p:M3 >= 0 and (AD) and 0 > p:margin and rest = 0 and day = Wednesday and month=12
Look at average Q1 scores in this situation. Average margin=-3.6 for home team
Last edited by emceeaye; 12-17-14 at 04:54 PM.
I worked up this one awhile ago...like it.Originally Posted by Ronald S.
NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15
12/17/14 5:30 PM EST
Indiana/LA Clippers Under 201 -105 (bovada)
p:margin >= 19 and op:margin >= 19 and H
O/U: 47-90-1 (-3.74, 34.3%) avg total: 195.3
p:margin >= 19 and op:margin >= 19 and H and rest = 1 and o:rest = 1
O/U: 12-37-1 (-7.13, 24.5%) avg total: 192.1
Play the under in a game where both teams won in a blowout in their previous games.
total >= 200 and p:margin >= 20 and op:margin at the half >= 15 and o:rest!=2
NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15
12/17/14 5:22p CT
Play SA -3 -110
SDQL: 3>=line>=-3 and P:HL and op:A and op:margin<=-10 and rest<3 and month!=3
English: Fade a team with a short line, revenging a home loss against an oppt of a road loss of 10 or more.
NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15
12/17/14 5:22p CT
Play ORL +4 -112
SDQL: AD and WP<50 and (o:rest=0 or rest=1) and ats streak<0 and 0 < o:ats streak < 3<o:ats streak<3<="" font="">
English: Play the road dog with the sub 500 record against a team on a back to back or when the team has had a day of rest. The team is on at least a 1 game losing ats streak and the opponent is on a 1-2 game ats streak. Essentially looking for value in the bad road dog where the lines have had some time to over correct themselves. Also riding a hot trend here at 14-7 so far this season</o:ats>
JMon you didn't like my Grizzlies query man? I thought it looked very solid...
Nice one! Hopefully get back on track with this oneI worked up this one awhile ago...like it.
total >= 200 and p:margin >= 20 and op:margin at the half >= 15 and o:rest!=2
Not a fan of team specific queries as a basis, use mainly to confirm. Yet the main reason why your query distracted me was the avg line in the small sample vs. the current line. Line differential like that (line makers know everything) should tell you something is not right. "Not right" can be anything... players, coach, time, etc...JMon you didn't like my Grizzlies query man? I thought it looked very solid...
While it may win tonight...I wouldn't put my money on it to justify a sdql bet.
Won SU.
Team trends, and even worse, player trends, are typically tough to turn into a long term profit for all of the good reasons JMon mentions, and a lot more. Fool's gold typically, have watched a lot of players go down that rabbit hole deep into the red...especially if god forbid they win a little first...confirmation bias sets in and it's all over.Won SU.
We've even seen a variety of them in this thread, but few remain today a year later.
Good luck though, more power to you if you can crack that egg.
Wow you are all such haters...not a single positive thing to say. Awesome.
mdunlap no one was hating, rather sharing our personal experiences with that type of query. Take it or leave it, each one of us uses sdql differently. If you personally like team specific queries then play them.Wow you are all such haters...not a single positive thing to say. Awesome.
Btw...good win, you are the only one that won yesterday... better now.
Last edited by JMon; 12-18-14 at 07:53 AM.
just wow..ronald. What a bad run you are on in Best Bets. One freakin point. Keep grinding you will get out of it. Look at Mako, he popped off six straight wins.Nice one! Hopefully get back on track with this one
NBA SDQL "Best Bet" 2014-15
Overall Group Record - 78-70-3 52.7% (+3.39) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)
Yesterday's recap 0-5 (-5.42)
Official Entries: Max 10 of 10: (no particular order)
1. JMon - 14-13-1 (+.60)
2. pip2 - 15-12 (+2.28)
3. nash13 - 7-4 (+2.82)
4. Ronald S. - 9-14 (-5.83)
5. hyahya - 6-5-1 (+.45)
6. Mako-SBR - 13-12 (-.20)
7. Heart - 3-1 (+1.92)
8. Consigliere - 8-5-1 (+2.65)
9. GolfAddict - 3-4 (-1.30)
10. Open Spot - let me know if any one wants it!
