Originally Posted by nash13
I added a few CollegeFB trends, very promising on totals.
Nash thanks for including those... One of those does pretty well in December:
p:rushing yards>300 and line>-10 and month=12
You obviously have something in mind. How do you feel about filtering for days of the week? Is it just a matter of teams being flatter in games that aren't as high profile?Thanks Cutler! I'm jumping on any reasonable under I can find on Sundays Mondays Tuesdays and Thursdays!
NBA SDQL 'Best Bet' 2014-15
12-1-14 - 4:22p CT
Play Phil +11
SDQL:
H and line>10 and P:L and Po:points>=100 and p:DL and p:ats margin>0
English: uggh my Phil play of the year...wish me well. Note under as well. Remember Lakers/Thunder last year?
Play home dog of more than 10- off a dog loss but covered, revenging a loss where the oppt scored 100 or more.
Good luck jmon. You have 2 or 3 queries backing you up so you should be fine, as long as you make sure not to watch the game. It's tough to bet on a team and then watch them brick freethrows the entire game...NBA SDQL 'Best Bet' 2014-15
12-1-14 - 4:22p CT
Play Phil +11
SDQL:
H and line>10 and P:L and Pooints>=100 and p
L and p:ats margin>0
English: uggh my Phil play of the year...wish me well. Note under as well. Remember Lakers/Thunder last year?
Play home dog of more than 10- off a dog loss but covered, revenging a loss where the oppt scored 100 or more.
Love the pick Jmon. Supports the larger trends from the spreadsheet.
Cutler there is some kind of anomaly going on where out of 82 games played on these days so far this season, 59.5% have gone under. Unfortunately, who knows when that will reverse itself? But I am going to bet that it won't reverse itself today...You obviously have something in mind. How do you feel about filtering for days of the week? Is it just a matter of teams being flatter in games that aren't as high profile?
Well, whatever the rationale, I'm on it tooCutler there is some kind of anomaly going on where out of 82 games played on these days so far this season, 59.5% have gone under. Unfortunately, who knows when that will reverse itself? But I am going to bet that it won't reverse itself today.... Good to get familiar with these little wrinkles. As we get more and more quality in the available trends, it's good to know which ones have filters that might be marginal long term.
Thanks to nash13, I caught my mistake on the spreadsheet.
T-wolves are on 3 trends tonight (thought they were on two and Clippers were on the other):
H and p:AW and pp:AW and season > 2008 (150-121, 56.8%)
AD and WP < 50 and o:WP > 50 and ats streak < 0 and o:ats streak > 0 and on:H and 10 <= game number <= 60 and season >= 2009 (77-40, 65.8)
AD and p:AL and p:margin <= -13 and tA(points) >= 100 and o:WP >= 60 and o:rest > 0 (108-52, 67.5%)
I guess I'm not doing anything different as far as I would probably bet on these under queries anyway. The only difference is I am ignoring about 5 other over queries that I normally might have bet on, before I lost about 5 or six over bets yesterday...Well, whatever the rationale, I'm on it too
10 losing days out of 30... pip working with the same queries or most..need to get sharper. Way too many bets yesterday; I had three and all won. My problem I can't find a best bet...lolI guess I'm not doing anything different as far as I would probably bet on these under queries anyway. The only difference is I am ignoring about 5 other over queries that I normally might have bet on, before I lost about 5 or six over bets yesterday...
NBA
Sunday, November 30, 2014 Play Result Risk Net Final CHICAGO
BROOKLYN102
84
CHICAGO -3.5 (-105) Win 5.25 5.00 Final Golden State Warriors
DETROIT104
93
Golden State Warriors -9 (-110) Win 5.50 5.00 Final MEMPHIS
Sacramento Kings97
85
Under 194.5 (-110) Win 5.50 5.0
My god...if Phil does not hit; I'll never bet them the rest of the year regardless of the situation. fukking pathetic team; worse then the 09 Nets. Funny is...I bet the situation and not the team...horrific.
I guess it just depends on how someone likes to play, but when Consig posted the overall results for unique trend plays the other day, it was pretty eye opening. I'm sure there will be losing days like yesterday, but it seems to make sense to play as many solid trends as possible and ride it over time. There would be ups and downs, but theoretically would generally be up, right?My god...if Phil does not hit; I'll never bet them the rest of the year regardless of the situation. fukking pathetic team; worse then the 09 Nets. Funny is...I bet the situation and not the team...horrific.
Jmon, how do you handle your bankroll as far as picking your unit size? Are your units 2% of your total bankroll, and do you bet more or fewer units according to how much confidence you have in a query?
sharp... getting ahead of myself betting on a shitty team.I guess it just depends on how someone likes to play, but when Consig posted the overall results for unique trend plays the other day, it was pretty eye opening. I'm sure there will be losing days like yesterday, but it seems to make sense to play as many solid trends as possible and ride it over time. There would be ups and downs, but theoretically would generally be up, right?
Well done jmon, you earned every penny on that one!
