NBA Stituational Bet, SDQL

Originally Posted by hyahya

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11/22/14 8:31am pst Toronto Raptors/Cleveland Cavaliers Over 207

AD and p:HW and p:dps>=15 and p:margin>=10 and o:rest<3 and o:WP>=45 and game number<=70 and season>=2006

Play over the total on an away dog off a high scoring big win against an average or better opponent without excessive rest. Verified the yearly distribution and its been quite consistent.

hyahya for the sake of honest tracking- this play will not be added due to no odds posted.

Overall Group Record - 35-24-1 59.3% (+8.68) (max wagered -to win 1 unit)

Yesterday's recap 4-0 (+4.00) -

Official Entries: Max 10 of 10:

1. JMon - 5-4 (+1.40)

2. pip2 - 4-3 (+.85)

3. nash13 - 5-2 (+2.97)

4. Ronald S. - 5-3 (+1.90)

5. hyahya - 3-3 (-.35)

6. Mako-SBR - 3-4 (-1.40)

7. FlyinAir - 1-2 (-1.45)

8. Consigliere - 5-2-1 (+2.86)

9. Sports Mind - 2-0 (+2.00)

10. GolfAddict - 1-1 (-.10)

Going to pass today!

Originally Posted by pip2

1-0: wsh covers vs mil from consigliere -- ATS:53-30-3 (1.44, 63.9%)
o:rest + op:rest + opp:rest < 2 and AF and playoffs = 0 and season >=2009

0-1: bkn/sa OVER From hyahya O/U:79-43-1 (4.35, 64.8%)
p:AW and op:AW and A and rest=0 and o:rest=0

0-1: ny covers vs phi from flyinair ATS:94-59-2 (1.53, 61.4%) O/U:59-94-2 (-3.44, 38.6%)
F and p:AL and p:margin <=-6.5 and WP >= o:WP and line <=-7.5 and total >=187 and total <=212 and season >=2006

0-1: ny covers vs phi From mako ATS: 58-33-1 (2.23, 63.7%)
F and p:AL and p:margin <=-8 and WP >=o:WP and line <=-10.5 and game number <=68 and total >=187 and total <=212 and season >=2006

1-0: no covers vs ut from nash ATS:290-224-8 (0.44, 56.4%)
A and F and p:A and p:L and total >= 198

1-0: no covers vs ut From S S ATS: 51-30-3 (1.40, 63.0%)
AF and p:AL and p:steals < op:steals and p:rebounds < op:rebounds and season > 2008

1-0: no covers vs ut from sportsmind -- ATS:43-19-0 (2.88, 69.4%)
p:margin < -15 and AF and season > 2007 and total > 199

1-0: no covers vs ut from sportsmind --ATS:39-15-1 (2.65, 72.2%)
AF and p:AFL and p:line >= -4 and season > 2007 and total > 199

1-0: no covers vs ut From Nash ATS:154-94-4 (2.03, 62.1%)
A and p:AFL and p:line >=-4 and season > 2007

1-0: no covers vs ut from consigliere sitpost #1390 -- ATS: 304-215-11 (0.57, 58.6%)
AF and p:AL and p:ats margin < 0 and playoffs = 0 and season >=2006

1-0: tor/cle UNDER from hyahya in sitpost 1663 O/U:9-32-0 (-11.44, 22.0%)
tA(points) > 101 and p:TPA > 25 and p:TPP < 30 and season > 2007 and p:FTA <25 and 210 >total> 200 and p:L and season

1-0: tor/cle UNDER FROM HYAHYA O/U:34-59-2 (-4.02, 36.6%)
H and total >=200 and tS(ou margin < -11,N=2)=2 and game number < 30

2-0: mia and hou cover vs orl and dal From pip ATS:140-212-7 (-1.75, 39.8%)
p: ou margin > 10 and rest < 1 and P:L and season > 2008

2-0: tor and wsh cover vs cle and mil From rcg O/U:303-392-12 (-1.43, 43.6%)
p:dps < -11 and op:dpa < -11 and rest <= 1 and o:rest <= 1

3-2-1: sac wsh and no cover and UNDER vs mn, mil, and ut -- pip --ATS:93-142-3 (-2.11, 39.6%)
season >= 2005 and HD and p:L and rest = 0 and game number > 10 and game number < 60

1-0: wsh covers vs mil From pip ATS:60-96-5 (-1.44, 38.5%)
Minimum(date@team and season,N=3) >= date - 4 and season > 2008 and 1.5 < line < 7.5

Total: 17-5-1

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11/23/14 9:30am Reduced Basketball 503 Charlotte Hornets +2 -102* vs Miami Heat

SDQL:

AD and WP < 50 and (o:rest=0 or rest=1) and ats streak < 0 and 0 < o:ats streak < 3 and (month=11 or month=12) and -2 < line < 6

SDQL: English
A dog on the road has won less than half its games and just played the day before or the day before that. It lost its last game ATS. while its opponent is on a small win streak of 1 or 2 ATS. The game is played in November or December and the line is in between -2 and 6.

Note this was riffed off a bigger base query from google groups: 583-453-21 (1.37, 56.3%) AD and WP<50 and (o:rest=0 or rest=1) and ats streak<0 and 0

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11-23-14 - 12:32pm EST

Play: DEN (-1) vs LAL, -115 Carib.
SDQL:

A and -3 <= line <= 5 and p:H and p:margin > 10 and P:W and o:rest < 2 and 2011 <= season and month!= 3 and playoffs=0

SDQL English:

A road team on a tight line after winning by more than 10 at home the previous game and winning the previous matchup with these two teams. Opponent less than 2 days rest and not in March. Lakers a bit tough to predict of late and Nuggets are coming on. I think the Nuggets hold out on them and win by 7 or 8.

5 unique picks on the spreadsheet tonight. 2 of them covered in BB already. Went 5-4 last night, 9-5 previous night, rounding out at 55-35 overall this year plus 14 or 15 UNITS if you tailed everything.

@ pip

note in your query...the line parameter (emphasizing a small fav) is offset by attaching 'AD'. Also you may consider eliminating the line 5.5.

Looks good!

lal/den over funfreaker O/U:183-117-3 (4.66, 61.0%)
tA(FGA) > 84.3 and otA(FGA) > 84.4 and H and tA(turnovers) + otA(turnovers) <=30.5

cha covers vs mia from J R ATS: 583-453-21 (1.37, 56.3%)
AD and WP < 50 and (o:rest=0 or rest=1) and ats streak < 0 and 0 < o:ats streak < 3

por covers vs bos from hyahya ATS: 21-38-0
H and season > 2000 and line > 5 and p:margin < -15 and op:margin > 5 and p:A and pp:A

por covers vs bos From nash13 sitpost# 1291 ATS: 91-158-7 (-2.05, 36.5%)
H and p:fouls <= 14 and p:AD and 7 > line > -10

Apologies on the lack of odds yesterday.

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15
11-23-14 - 10:24pm PST

Play: DEN (-1.5) vs LAL, -110
SDQL:

A and -3 <= line <= 5 and p:H and p:margin > 10 and o:rest < 2 and 2011 <= season and playoffs=0

No need for query translation given Consig already covered it.

Originally Posted by JMon

@ pip

note in your query...the line parameter (emphasizing a small fav) is offset by attaching 'AD'. Also you may consider eliminating the line 5.5.

Looks good!

jmon, thanks for pointing out the AD redundancy, but I'm not getting the reference to "line 5.5"?

Originally Posted by pip2

jmon, thanks for pointing out the AD redundancy, but I'm not getting the reference to "line 5.5"?

look to see how the line 5.5 does....you may consider -2 < line < 5.5

Originally Posted by JMon

look to see how the line 5.5 does....you may consider -2 < line < 5.5

got it! thanks!

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11-23-14 - 11:10am PST

Play: GS (-8) vs OKC, -110

SDQL:

HD and p:L and p:ats margin<0 and p:TPA>=18 and p:TPP<25 and rest>0 and o:streak>1 and line>=4 and season>=2006

SDQL English:

Fading a home dog with a day or more of rest that lost its last game both straight up and ATS, and in that loss chucked it up a ton from beyond the arc while making them at a far lower level than average...against a streaking hot opponent laying four or more points.

Notes:

Lot of points to lay and this play is usually the squarest of square bets on the card when it seldomly comes up (meaning the public is all over the favorite and the line is typically garbage because of it), but until it burns me I'll keep playing it, and what's not to like about tailing Golden State...right?

I take off tonight too, nothing special up there for me. concentrate on NFL.