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NBA Stituational Bet, SDQL

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#1969

Default

Quote Originally Posted by Cutler'sThumb View Post
Hey guys, here's one I found that maybe can be added to the spreadsheet. It doesn't apply to any games today, but the sample size and win rate are pretty good and will hopefully pop up soon:

HD and P:L and p:HW and p:margin<4 and WP>17 and WP<47 and line>2
SU: 19-91 (-10.05, 17.3%)
ATS: 27-83-0 (-4.30, 24.5%) avg line: 5.8
nice work! Like it. Only two losing years, of which were juice, - last 19 years.
#1970

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NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11-22-14 - 12:10p PST

Play: NO (-3) over UTH, -110

SDQL:

AF and p:AFL and p:line>=-3 and line>=-9 and season>=2006

SDQL English:

Taking an away favorite here after they tripped and lost their last road game as a favorite against a team they were supposed to easily handle if they executed (previous line between -3 and -9). Works particularly well if the team was blown out/embarassed in that loss as the Pelicans were yesterday.
#1971

Default

NBA SDQL 'BEST BET' 2014-15

11-22-14 - 4:18p EST

Play: NO (-2.5) over UTH, -107. Hate to tail the last BB again but that looks the strongest to me today.

SDQL:

AF and p:AFL and p:line>=-3 and line>=-9 and season>=2006

SDQL English:

Taking an away favorite here after they tripped and lost their last road game as a favorite against a team they were supposed to easily handle if they executed (previous line between -3 and -9). Works particularly well if the team was blown out/embarassed in that loss as the Pelicans were yesterday.
#1972

Default Spitball Queries after the dust settles

Sorry, I checked too early this morning, and barely scraped the surface as far as what queries would be available:

wsh covers vs mil from consigliere -- ATS:53-30-3 (1.44, 63.9%)
o:rest + op:rest + opp:rest < 2 and AF and playoffs = 0 and season >=2009

bkn/sa OVER From hyahya O/U:79-43-1 (4.35, 64.8%)
p:AW and op:AW and A and rest=0 and o:rest=0

ny covers vs phi from flyinair ATS:94-59-2 (1.53, 61.4%) O/U:59-94-2 (-3.44, 38.6%)
F and p:AL and p:margin <=-6.5 and WP >= o:WP and line <=-7.5 and total >=187 and total <=212 and season >=2006

ny covers vs phi From mako ATS: 58-33-1 (2.23, 63.7%)
F and p:AL and p:margin <=-8 and WP >=o:WP and line <=-10.5 and game number <=68 and total >=187 and total <=212 and season >=2006

no covers vs ut from nash ATS:290-224-8 (0.44, 56.4%)
A and F and p:A and p:L and total >= 198

no covers vs ut From S S ATS: 51-30-3 (1.40, 63.0%)
AF and p:AL and p:steals < op:steals and p:rebounds < op:rebounds and season > 2008

no covers vs ut from sportsmind -- ATS:43-19-0 (2.88, 69.4%)
p:margin < -15 and AF and season > 2007 and total > 199

no covers vs ut from sportsmind --ATS:39-15-1 (2.65, 72.2%)
AF and p:AFL and p:line >= -4 and season > 2007 and total > 199

no covers vs ut From Nash ATS:154-94-4 (2.03, 62.1%)
A and p:AFL and p:line >=-4 and season > 2007

no covers vs ut from consigliere sitpost #1390 -- ATS: 304-215-11 (0.57, 58.6%)
AF and p:AL and p:ats margin < 0 and playoffs = 0 and season >=2006

tor/cle UNDER from hyahya in sitpost 1663 O/U:9-32-0 (-11.44, 22.0%)
tA(points) > 101 and p:TPA > 25 and p:TPP < 30 and season > 2007 and p:FTA <25 and 210 >total> 200 and p:L and season

tor/cle UNDER FROM HYAHYA O/U:34-59-2 (-4.02, 36.6%)
H and total >=200 and tS(ou margin < -11,N=2)=2 and game number < 30

mia and hou cover vs orl and dal From pip ATS:140-212-7 (-1.75, 39.8%)
p:ou margin > 10 and rest < 1 and P:L and season > 2008

tor and wsh cover vs cle and mil From rcg O/U:303-392-12 (-1.43, 43.6%)
p:dps < -11 and op:dpa < -11 and rest <= 1 and o:rest <= 1

sac wsh and no cover and UNDER vs mn, mil, and ut pip --ATS:93-142-3 (-2.11, 39.6%)
season >= 2005 and HD and p:L and rest = 0 and game number > 10 and game number < 60

wsh covers vs mil From pip ATS:60-96-5 (-1.44, 38.5%)
Minimum(date@team and season,N=3) >= date - 4 and season > 2008 and 1.5 < line < 7.5
Last edited by pip2; 11-22-14 at 03:58 PM.
#1977

Default

Quote Originally Posted by Cutler'sThumb View Post
Hey guys, here's one I found that maybe can be added to the spreadsheet. It doesn't apply to any games today, but the sample size and win rate are pretty good and will hopefully pop up soon:

HD and P:L and p:HW and p:margin<4 and WP>17 and WP<47 and line>2
SU: 19-91 (-10.05, 17.3%)
ATS: 27-83-0 (-4.30, 24.5%) avg line: 5.8
Thanks cutler! I stashed that one away for a rainy day...
#1979

Default Spitball Query Results

1-0: wsh covers vs mil from consigliere -- ATS:53-30-3 (1.44, 63.9%)
o:rest + op:rest + opp:rest < 2 and AF and playoffs = 0 and season >=2009

0-1: bkn/sa OVER From hyahya O/U:79-43-1 (4.35, 64.8%)
p:AW and op:AW and A and rest=0 and o:rest=0

0-1: ny covers vs phi from flyinair ATS:94-59-2 (1.53, 61.4%) O/U:59-94-2 (-3.44, 38.6%)
F and p:AL and p:margin <=-6.5 and WP >= o:WP and line <=-7.5 and total >=187 and total <=212 and season >=2006

0-1: ny covers vs phi From mako ATS: 58-33-1 (2.23, 63.7%)
F and p:AL and p:margin <=-8 and WP >=o:WP and line <=-10.5 and game number <=68 and total >=187 and total <=212 and season >=2006

1-0: no covers vs ut from nash ATS:290-224-8 (0.44, 56.4%)
A and F and p:A and p:L and total >= 198

1-0: no covers vs ut From S S ATS: 51-30-3 (1.40, 63.0%)
AF and p:AL and p:steals < op:steals and p:rebounds < op:rebounds and season > 2008

1-0: no covers vs ut from sportsmind -- ATS:43-19-0 (2.88, 69.4%)
p:margin < -15 and AF and season > 2007 and total > 199

1-0: no covers vs ut from sportsmind --ATS:39-15-1 (2.65, 72.2%)
AF and p:AFL and p:line >= -4 and season > 2007 and total > 199

1-0: no covers vs ut From Nash ATS:154-94-4 (2.03, 62.1%)
A and p:AFL and p:line >=-4 and season > 2007

1-0: no covers vs ut from consigliere sitpost #1390 -- ATS: 304-215-11 (0.57, 58.6%)
AF and p:AL and p:ats margin < 0 and playoffs = 0 and season >=2006

1-0: tor/cle UNDER from hyahya in sitpost 1663 O/U:9-32-0 (-11.44, 22.0%)
tA(points) > 101 and p:TPA > 25 and p:TPP < 30 and season > 2007 and p:FTA <25 and 210 >total> 200 and p:L and season

1-0: tor/cle UNDER FROM HYAHYA O/U:34-59-2 (-4.02, 36.6%)
H and total >=200 and tS(ou margin < -11,N=2)=2 and game number < 30

2-0: mia and hou cover vs orl and dal From pip ATS:140-212-7 (-1.75, 39.8%)
p:ou margin > 10 and rest < 1 and P:L and season > 2008

2-0: tor and wsh cover vs cle and mil From rcg O/U:303-392-12 (-1.43, 43.6%)
p:dps < -11 and op:dpa < -11 and rest <= 1 and o:rest <= 1

3-2-1: sac wsh and no cover and UNDER vs mn, mil, and ut -- pip --ATS:93-142-3 (-2.11, 39.6%)
season >= 2005 and HD and p:L and rest = 0 and game number > 10 and game number < 60

1-0: wsh covers vs mil From pip ATS:60-96-5 (-1.44, 38.5%)
Minimum(date@team and season,N=3) >= date - 4 and season > 2008 and 1.5 < line < 7.5

Total: 17-5-1
Last edited by pip2; 11-23-14 at 07:47 AM.