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NBA Stituational Bet, SDQL

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#1922

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NBA Best Bet

11-21-14 07:00 CET

Suns/76ers Under 209@-103 5Dimes

total > 202 and p:ou margin <= -18 and WP <=25 and 2009 <=season

English: Take the Under in a game where the total line is above 202 and the previous over/under margin has been -18 or less under the line and the Winning Percentage of the team involved is below 25%. Only take games after the season 2009 and beyond into account.
#1923

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Quote Originally Posted by hyahya View Post
Pip2, the 33-0 query is most likely wrong as the A(W) term should be tA(W).
I guess I was thinking that was not an average, but the number of road wins. Whatever it is, when that situation (whatever it is) comes up, it seems to have a pretty consistent outcome!
#1930

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Quote Originally Posted by hyahya View Post
Actually, what I'm saying is that the query is probably invalid as we ran across the same situation in the baseball thread where the A(W) term was used and returned an undefeated query that was bogus.
Damn! That IS a freaky little parameter. Every time I use it, the system seems to stall as if I just asked it to add up God, then it gives up freaky results. A(W) < .60 gives every game in the data base. A(W)<.40 gives one game on November 3 1995 played by the Bucks.

I was hoping it was the Super Parameter, but I guess it is just the Bogus Parameter...too late for me, I already laid money on the dreadful Pistons, but hopefully its not too late for others...
#1931

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Quote Originally Posted by pip2 View Post
Damn! That IS a freaky little parameter. Every time I use it, the system seems to stall as if I just asked it to add up God, then it gives up freaky results. A(W) < .60 gives every game in the data base. A(W)<.40 gives one game on November 3 1995 played by the Bucks.

I was hoping it was the Super Parameter, but I guess it is just the Bogus Parameter...too late for me, I already laid money on the dreadful Pistons, but hopefully its not too late for others...
you can always buy out of it.
#1932

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NBA Best Bet

11/21/14 3:00 PM EST

Dallas -10 -105 vs LA Lakers (Bookmaker)

HF and ats streak >= 4 and -9.5 >= line >= -11.5
ATS: 96-49-1 (2.82, 66.2%) avg line: -10.3
HF and ats streak >= 4 and -9.5 >= line >= -11.5 and p:F and pp:F and ppp:F and pppp:F and season >= 2003
ATS: 27-10-0 (5.23, 73.0%) avg line: -10.4


Play the hot team that won the last 4+ games ATS as a 9.5 to 11.5 point favorite at home.
#1933

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Quote Originally Posted by pip2 View Post
Damn! That IS a freaky little parameter. Every time I use it, the system seems to stall as if I just asked it to add up God, then it gives up freaky results. A(W) < .60 gives every game in the data base. A(W)<.40 gives one game on November 3 1995 played by the Bucks.

I was hoping it was the Super Parameter, but I guess it is just the Bogus Parameter...too late for me, I already laid money on the dreadful Pistons, but hopefully its not too late for others...
0.5 is some kind of key number. Like you said, <0.4 gives 1 game, then <0.45 gives 2 games, then <0.49 gives 4 games, <0.495 gives 6 games, 0.499 gives 46 games, then the closer you get to 0.5, more and more games show up until you get 4601 games for <0.5. It's like an asymptote or something.
#1935

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NBA Best Bet

11-21-14 4:12 PM EST

Suns/76ers Under 209@-109 Pinny (Tailing the leader but a few queries pointing to this one)

total > 202 and p:ou margin <= -18 and WP <=25 and 2009 <=season

English: Take the Under in a game where the total line is above 202 and the previous over/under margin has been -18 or less under the line and the Winning Percentage of the team involved is below 25%. Only take games after the season 2009 and beyond into account.