I'd like to find a bit more trends who are not so heavy on away teams.
One I recognized is based on this one:
p:fouls <= 14 and p:AD
min idea here is, that when a team played soft as an away underdog the game before, they are not very motivated to play for somethings. could be a sign for "tanking" etc. Maybe some of you can tweak or add some things to push the WP, number of games or Profit.
just out of curiosity: do some of you have any good college bb trends going on? i know the db is not deeply correct, but there may some things to work around.
Damn! That provides an awesome base to work off of. Here is the first thing I got:Originally Posted by nash13
I'd like to find a bit more trends who are not so heavy on away teams.
One I recognized is based on this one:
p:fouls <= 14 and p:AD
min idea here is, that when a team played soft as an away underdog the game before, they are not very motivated to play for somethings. could be a sign for "tanking" etc. Maybe some of you can tweak or add some things to push the WP, number of games or Profit.
H and p:fouls<=14 and p:AD and 7 > line > -10
SU: 124-132 (0.51, 48.4%)
ATS: 91-158-7 (-2.05, 36.5%) avg line: -2.6
O/U: 128-126-2 (-0.16, 50.4%) avg total: 195.6
p:site=home and site=away and p:line<=-10 and line>0 and 20091131<=date and p:HL
Nice trend in Cleveland's favor tonight - proving what we basically known - teams off a loss as huge home favorites, usually come strong in the next game...
Here we want to play a road fav of 9 or less off a win over a division rival of 10 or more; and their oppt is off a home loss of 10 or more.
SDQL:
AF and line>=-9 and p:margin>=10 and p:division=po:division and op:HL and op:margin<=-10 and 1996<=season
just one more away team trendDamn! That provides an awesome base to work off of. Here is the first thing I got:
H and p:fouls<=14 and p:AD and 7 > line > -10
SU: 124-132 (0.51, 48.4%)
ATS: 91-158-7 (-2.05, 36.5%) avg line: -2.6
O/U: 128-126-2 (-0.16, 50.4%) avg total: 195.6seems there is no angle to find value in home teams. awesome work. let's keep it up guys
Nething supporting suns today?
That is interesting, I went just now and looked at all the queries I have that I actually play and sure enough 78% of them are on away teams.just one more away team trend
Would this be an excuse to bet on the suns?Nething supporting suns today?
WP=100 and o:WP=100 and H and p:margin>4 and op:margin < 7
SU: 7-14 (-3.67, 33.3%)
ATS: 2-18-1 (-8.57, 10.0%) avg line: -4.9
O/U: 8-13-0 (-0.93, 38.1%) avg total: 191.6
Oops I got that backwards -- it supports the Spurs...
Last edited by pip2; 10-31-14 at 05:02 PM.
Active again today.
Fade a home dog of 10 or less off a road loss against an oppt coming off 10 or more blocks (tightens it up eliminating small dogs of 3.5 or less)
HD and line<=10 and p:AL and po:blocks>=10 and rest<4 and 2007<=season
Possible ML play on the Nets.
SDQL
p:L and op:L and A and rest>=1 and 0<=line<=3 and P:margin>=5 and 2010<=season and 3>o:rest>0
SDQL: check out 2 days rest
A and tA(points) >= 103 and p:M2 <= -20 and 2005<=season
Both Added! Lets win some on the Nets!Possible ML play on the Nets.
SDQL
p:L and op:L and A and rest>=1 and 0<=line<=3 and P:margin>=5 and 2010<=season and 3>o:rest>0
SDQL: check out 2 days rest
A and tA(points) >= 103 and p:M2 <= -20 and 2005<=season
This is one from the archives (I believe this is from jmon post #222):
line <= -11 and po:points <= 80 and opo:points >= 110
SU: 41-5 (10.13, 89.1%)
ATS: 11-34-1 (-2.93, 24.4%) avg line: -13.1
O/U: 21-24-1 (-0.55, 46.7%) avg total: 194.9
It's a nice query and I have it saved for daily checking, but this one would take some balls to go with today, because you would be betting on the Lakers with no rest away against GS. This is mitigated by a 16.5 spread, but once GS starts rolling, 16 points seems like nothing. I was thinking maybe I should try some GS queries to see how they typically do in these situations...
Last edited by pip2; 11-01-14 at 10:26 AM.
If you just plug the rest factor into the #1303 query, (line <= -11 and po:points <= 80 and opo:points >= 110 and o:rest=0): you get this ATS result: ATS: 1-12-0 (-5.65, 7.7%)
Last edited by pip2; 11-01-14 at 10:25 AM.
This query somewhat negates the bet against Warriors:
p : ou margin>10 and rest <1 and P:L and season>2008
SU: 110-249 (-5.72, 30.6%)
ATS: 140-212-7 (-1.75, 39.8%) avg line: 4.0
O/U: 185-168-6 (1.10, 52.4%) avg total: 198.4
Last edited by pip2; 11-01-14 at 04:57 PM. Reason: "somewhat negates" seems more accurate than just "negates"
