Such great stuff in the thread from everyone, 24-10 over the last 14 days alone, how can anyone argue with those results...
I'm on these tonight, thanks to JMon and everyone else who contributed them for the rest of us to enjoy:
Fav,to win:
HF and WP>=72 and game number>=25 and p:LF and line<=-9.5 and total>=187.5 and season>=2006
Also the under:
F and p:AL and p:margin<=-8 and WP>=o:WP and line<=-10.5 and 185<=total<=216 and C and division!=o:division and season>=2006
Overfit yes, but that's how I like 'em!
Apologize to all for the earlier cluttering of thread....yes JMon you have the query correct that you asked about.
As an aside here is a query of how teams do when they have rest versus a team with no rest. I don't advocate playing on this basis alone, but could be used as a way to solidify an strong opinion or to stop playing a game that you are sitting on the fence about. To me, one of the most surprising teams is the Bulls whose physical play I would have thought would translate well when playing a team off no rest. They are only 6-9 ATS this year in this situation.
team and season=2013 and rest>0 and o:rest=0
Playing with no rest is not a terrible thing as long-term the linesmakers have made the balancing odds....long-term it is a slightly advantageous play to take a team on no rest.
However for whatever reason this year has been spectacular for a team away after an away loss with a line of <= 8. So, instead of a historical 50.2% success rate over the past 19 years, we get a 67.6% hit rate this year!
rest=0 and p:AL and A and line<=8 and season=2013
SU: 41-34 (0.41, 54.7%) ATS: 50-24-1 (2.09, 67.6%) avg line: 1.7
After an away win with no rest, we get only a 29-28 record with a line of <=8 (applies to Trailblazers tonight), but it is 33-22 to the over.
Nice green7, good stuff, explanations like that are very helpful to those just starting out with SDQL who aren't quite sure "what" they should be experimenting with in terms of parameters that matter (rest, travel, etc).
Green, I have many on Bulls under tonight
Haha.
Well, I haven't and probably won't pull the trigger on the Bulls over tonight, as I've learned some painful lessons in the past when having league-wide angles for overs, the Bulls always seemed to go under in those games. As my protective self is telling my masochistic side of me not to take the over.....I wish you success on your under play.
p:AFW and H and line <= -5 and P:game number=game number-1 and season>=2012
Great thread! I am interested in looking for angles that hit at a high rate straight up that would fall into the -300 to -700 money line range to put together into 3 team even money parlays. Any angles or ways to show this on sdql? Thanks!