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Grinder's Iteration on Stiflers NBA Chase

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#677

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Hey Grinder, still following your plays! I thought you were asking for a MLB system or anything like that to follow. Have you found one already that you think is interesting? I looked at the JM thread Walco started but im not quite sure if the JM system is that good.

Keep up the good work!
#684

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3.25.14 - Legacy Systems

All Systems as posted +50.33u (3-game chase) or +6.09 chase's
O# +27.80u
S# -9.59.u
H# +35.12u
All Systems as posted +120.98u (4-game chase) or +6.55 chase's
O# +53.81u
S# +7.35u
H# +59.82u

Tuesday

O20D - fade Toronto Cleveland 10.18 to win 9.26 WIN
O29B - fade Oklahoma City Dallas 2.31 to win 2.10 WIN
O29B - fad Toronto Cleveland 2.31 to win 2.10 WIN

H18A - Orlando 1.10 to win 1.00 WIN

S35C - NYKnicks 4.85 to win 4.10 LOST Thanks a lot Jeremylynn :-) Lakers? really? 51 points in the 3rd Qtr?
S38A - Toronto 1.10 to win 1.00 LOST LOST

Wednesday

O30A - fade Brooklyn Charlotte 1.10 to win 1.00
O31A - fade New Orleans LAClippers 1.10 to win 1.00

H20A - fade LA Clippers New Orleans 1.10 to win w.00
H19A - fade Memphis Utah 1.10 to win 1.00

S35D - NYKnicks 10.10 to win 9.26 careful
S36B - Boston 2.31 to win 2.10
S38B - Toronto 2.31 to win 2.10
S40A - Detroit 1.10 to win 1.00
S41A - New Orleans 1.10 to win 1.00

H# W L Pct
A
28 35 44.4%
B 20 15 57.1%
C 12 3 80.0%
D 3 0 100.0%
S# W L Pct
A
24 37 39.3%
B 23 15 60.5%
C 7 7 50.0%
D
4 2 66.7%
O# W L Pct
A
73 58 55.7%
B 29 27 51.8%
C 21 8 72.4%
D 6 1 85.7%

Baseball - I looked at that JM system and it looks like a lot of hocus pocus to me. It had a losing year last year by a little and with the convoluted set of rules I'm not sure I can trust/tweak it.

Good luck with the S# series - that system seems to be the worst. NY Knicks are 30-1 in chases si it's one of those are they due? situations.

We are almost finished with the season so don't go and lose all you have won at the end (which seems to happen a lot on chases).
Last edited by Grinder12000; 03-26-14 at 11:51 AM.
#686

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Boston and Toronto are playing each other.
Of course they are LOL grrrrrrrr thanks!!

On one hand I have been amazed at the lack of times the point spread actually comes into play. Probably only a handful this year.

On the other hand I am amazed at how many times teams play each other in the same system or in different systems.
#688

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Sure thing - three systems

O# - Overtime = when a team plays an overtime game we bet that they will lose ATS once in the next 4 games so we bet against them.

Game 1 - 1.10 to win 1.00 they WIN
Game 2 - 2.31 to win 2.10 they WIN
Game 3 - 4.85 to win 4.41 they WIN
Game 4 - 10.19 to win 9.18

H# - When CERTAIN teams have a 4 or more home stand OR when CERTAIN teams have 4 or more road trips - we bet on or against that teal to win or lose 1 game in the next 4. HOME = bet to win AWAY Bet to lose

S# - Streaks - When CERTAIN teams win 3 OR when CERTAIN team lose 3 straight ATS bet for them to WIN or Lose on of the next 4.

SO - New Orleans had an OT game so we are betting against them, Boston AND Toronto won 3 straight ATS, both are "Certain" teams and both lost ATS their last game so both are "B" games.

Hows that!

I post records for 3 game chase AND 4 game chase. Many people (including me) are not fond of putting 10+ units on one game so the alternative is to play it safer, win less but lower variance.

YES- it's one of those weirdo things that almost makes no sense BUT, wins money so I just go with the flow until it's time to jump off the ship! Seems to work through out my lifetime as ALL systems fail sooner or later.
All the other garbage earlier was from experimental systems that ROCKED and crashed! These are sort of time tested . . .almost.
Last edited by Grinder12000; 03-26-14 at 06:02 PM.