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Grinder's Iteration on Stiflers NBA Chase

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#571

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Those are all 3 game chases. When going through I did notice I had some 4 game losses and wins so I switched to all 3 game chases. Not much difference.

As for SAS2.

The BIG difference in the last 2 weeks is that while the "A" bets are not as strong they are still 55%. But the "B" games are 33% and "C" games are 22%.

The question is . . .is this an anomaly? I have to think so it is SO bad.

"B" were 38-28 and 5-10 the last 2 weeks
"C" were 19-8 and are 2-7 the last 2 weeks.

BASICALLY, as I predicted (sadly) in a post everything is coming back to about 57% but very violently.

As a whole SAS2 is 178-132 over the entire year.

I'll get to flat betting soon.
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#573

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Everything I touch tonight I have to log in - weird

02/04/14

Mondays crappy results

116C H3 fade Toronto Utah 4.85 to win 4.41 LOSE
118A H3 fade San Antonio New Orleans 1.10 to win 1.00 LOSE

104B EX Oklahoma City 2.31 to win 2.10 WON
105B EX Memphis 2.31 to win 2.10 LOSE

47C SAS2 fade Utah Toronto 4.85 to win 4.41 WIN
57C SAS2 Cleveland 4.85 to win 4.41 LOSE
59A SAS2 fade Detroit Miami SAS2 LOSE
60A SAS2 fade Sacramento Chicago LOSE

Hard to get ahead when everyone is playing each other at the same level.
Winning Pct Chase Units
7 day 14 day 30 day YTD 7 day 14 day 30 day YTD w/D bets
SAS2 36.4%
 36.4% 41.0% 52.0% -16.78
 -32.45 -31.63 -23.54 -6.86
EX 50.0% 51.5% 48.3% 55.1% -1.53 5.81 -12.99 15.53 -7.59
Legacy 50.0% 44.4%
 43.1% 52.8% -4.19 2.68 2.26 42.87 50.11
ALL Systems 44.6% 44.1% 44.1% 53.3% -22.5 -24.0 -42.4 34.86 35.66


I hope noone is playing the SAS2 - unless they are playing AGAINST SAS2

Tuesdays

No games today
Last edited by Grinder12000; 02-04-14 at 06:25 AM.
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#575

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02/05/14

Tuesdays games - none.

Active Wednesday

105B EX Memphis 2.31 to win 2.1
106B EX fade Boston Philadelphia 2.31 to win 2.1
107A EX fade Cleveland LALakers 1.10 to win 1.00
108A EX fade NYKnicks Portland 1.10 to win 1.00
109A EX fade Orlando Detroit 1.10 to win 1.00
110A EX fade Milwaukee Denver 1.10 to win 1.00
111A EX Oklahoma City 1.10 to win 1.00

118B H3 fade San Antonio Washington 2.31 to win 2.1
119A H3 Orlando 1.10 to win 1.00

59B SAS2 fade Detroit Orlando 2.31 to win 2.10
60B SAS2 fade Sacramento Toronto 2.31 to win 2.1

THREE "D" games tonight

SAS2 fade Houston
SAS2 Cleveland

H3 fade Toronto

I'm fading the entire SAS2 with straight bets( playing Detroit and Sacramento) and playing the other two systems as is, BUT I'm going easy and lowered the unit size until the Winning Pct gains a little momentum. .
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Last edited by Grinder12000; 02-05-14 at 12:32 PM.
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#576

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02/06/14

Tuesdays games - none.


105B EX Memphis 4.85 to won 4.41 LOSE
106B EX fade Boston Philadelphia 2.31 to win 2.1 Lose
107A EX fade Cleveland LALakers 1.10 to win 1.00 WIN
108A EX fade NYKnicks Portland 1.10 to win 1.00 WIN
109A EX fade Orlando Detroit 1.10 to win 1.00 Lose
110A EX fade Milwaukee Denver 1.10 to win 1.00 Lose
111A EX Oklahoma City 1.10 to win 1.00 Lose

118B H3 fade San Antonio Washington 2.31 to win 2.1 Lose
119A H3 Orlando 1.10 to win 1.00 Win

59B SAS2 fade Detroit Orlando 2.31 to win 2.10 Win
60B SAS2 fade Sacramento Toronto 2.31 to win 2.1 Lose
Winning Pct Chase Units
7 day 14 day 30 day YTD 7 day 14 day 30 day YTD w/D bets
SAS2 38.1%
 39.4% 43.3% 51.9% -14.58
 -27.84 -37.05 -23.75 -27.43
EX 40.9% 44.7% 47.5% 53.8% -9.68
 -4.68 -22.48 7.07 -16.05
Legacy 38.5% 44.7% 42.9% 52.8% -5.50 5.09 1.26 41.56 38.62
ALL Systems 39.3% 43.1% 44.6% 52.9% -29.8 -27.4 -58.3 24.88 -4.86

JUST WATCHING FOR A WHILE - maybe fading the entire SAS2 system.

Unless you are looking for action save your money for the time being and watch the winning pct.

Thursday Known

118C H3 Fade San Antonio Brooklyn 4.85 to win 4.41

I fear that with MANY NBA systems, they only work the 1st two months when players are fresh!

winning140604.jpg
Last edited by Grinder12000; 02-06-14 at 09:47 PM.
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#577

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02/06/14

Result


118C H3 Fade San Antonio Brooklyn 4.85 to win 4.41 WIN

Winning Pct Chase Units
7 day 14 day 30 day YTD 7 day 14 day 30 day YTD w/D bets
SAS2 37.5%
 40.6% 41.4% 51.9% -8.32
 -22.79 -39.75 -23.75 -27.43
EX 35.0%
 45.7% 45.6% 53.8% -11.68 -2.40 -23.20 7.07 -16.05
Legacy 45.5% 48.5% 43.6% 53.0% -0.99 17.18 -0.53 45.97 43.03
ALL Systems 38.3% 45.0% 43.5% 53.0% -21.0 -8.0 -63.5 29.29 -0.45

While the other systems falter the Legacy Systems keep chugging along

legacy140207.jpg

Fridays known games

LEGACY
120A H3 Detroit 1.10 to win 1.00
121A H3 fade Sacramento Boston 1.10 to win 1.00
***************

EX
106C EX fade Boston Sacramento 4.85 to win 4.41
109B EX fade Orlando Oklahoma City 2.31 to win 2.1
110B EX Oklahoma City 2.31 to win 2.1
112A EX fade Cleveland Washington 1.10 to win 1.00
114A EX fade Detroit Brooklyn 1.10 to win 1.00
115A EX fade NYKnicks Denver 1.10 to win 1.00
**************************************** ***

SAS2
60C SAS2 fade Sacramento Boston 4.85 to win 4.41
61A SAS2 LA Clippers 1.10 to win 1.00
62A SAS2 fade LALakers Philly 1.10 to win 1.00


********************

Bad testing - seems the Food and Drug Admin are not very good testers. They tested drugs on animals first - but ONLY male animals. Then they test the drugs on humans, male AND female but THEN, combine the results into one average.

Now they find out woman are not like men (HELLO KNOCK KNOCK ANYONE HOME?). Woman are constantly overdosing by 50%.

Bad testing.

Last edited by Grinder12000; 02-07-14 at 07:41 AM.
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#580

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i feel like SAS2 needs E bet.. LOL

and pls update this

SAS2
 W
 L PCT Units won per
A
 36 22 62.07% Chase -0.27
B 8 12 40.00% Straight bet 0.03
C 4 7 36.36%
D 4 1 80.00%
EX
A 40 36 52.63% Units won per
B
 26 12 68.42% Chase
 0.26
C 6 7 46.15% Straight bet 0.09
D 4 2 66.67%
H3
A 16 22 42.11% Units won per
B 12 10 54.55% Chase
 0.40
C
 7 2 77.78% Straight bet -0.03
D 2 0 100.00%
S3
A 13 21 38.24% Units won per
B 12 9 57.14% Chase
 0.46
C
 7 2 77.78% Straight bet -0.05
D 1 1 50.00%
O1
A
 30 15 66.67% Units won per
B 6 9 40.00% Chase 0.18
C 5 4 55.56% Straight bet
 0.14
D 2 2 50.00%
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#582

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02/08/14


Results

LEGACY
120A H3 Detroit 1.10 to win 1.00 WIN
121A H3 fade Sacramento Boston 1.10 to win 1.00 WIBN

***************

EX

SHUT OUT!!! LOSE LOSE LOSE LOSE LOSE LOSE

106C EX fade Boston Sacramento 4.85 to win 4.41
109B EX fade Orlando Oklahoma City 2.31 to win 2.1
110B EX Oklahoma City 2.31 to win 2.1
112A EX fade Cleveland Washington 1.10 to win 1.00
114A EX fade Detroit Brooklyn 1.10 to win 1.00
115A EX fade NYKnicks Denver 1.10 to win 1.00

**************************************** ***

SAS2
60C SAS2 fade Sacramento Boston 4.85 to win 4.41 WIN
61A SAS2 LA Clippers 1.10 to win 1.00 in progress
62A SAS2 fade LALakers Philly 1.10 to win 1.00 WIN
Winning Pct Chase Units
7 day 14 day 30 day YTD 7 day 14 day 30 day YTD w/D bets
SAS2 44.4% 41.2%
 43.1% 52.3% -2.91 -18.28
 -32.84 -19.44 -23.12
EX 28.0%
 36.8% 40.3% 51.7% -23.35
 -18.50 -37.00 -5.70 -28.82
Legacy 53.8%
 54.5% 45.5% 53.4% 1.01
 21.80 0.78 47.97 45.03
ALL Systems 39.3% 43.8% 42.9% 52.6% -25.3 -15.0 -69.1 22.83 -6.91



Saturdays games

Legacy - PLAY
110A H3 Milwaukee 1.10 to win 1.00
122A O1 fade Portland Minnesota 1.10 to win 1.00

SAS2 -Play cautiously
64A SAS2 Atlanta 1.10 to win 1.00
65A Sas3 Phoenix 1.10 to win 1.00
67 SAS2 fade Portland Minnesota 1.10 to win 1.00

EX - STAY AWAY
110B EX fade Milwaukee Houston 2.31 to win 2.10
114B EX fade Detroit Denver 2.31 to win 2.10

H3
A 19 24 44.2%
B 13 13 50.0%
C 9 3 75.0%
D 2 1 66.7%

O1
A 30 15 66.7%
B 6 9 40.0%
C 5 4 55.6%
D 2 2 50.0%

SAS2
A 39 26 60.0%
B 9 16 36.0%
C 7 9 43.8%
D 4 4 50.0%

EX
A 43 46 48.3%
B 28 17 62.2%
C 7 10 41.2%
D 3 5 37.5%

Unless someone really wants to talk me out of it I'm considering dumping the EX system. It was a experiment anyway and I think once a teams RPI is so low the point spreads have caught up with that team. Like counting cards in Black Jack it's the journey down (or up) that makes the difference. Once you HAVE a high count or low RPI, it's too late.

Plus the wild swings are not conducive to making money.
Last edited by SBRAdmin3; 06-17-14 at 11:35 AM. Reason: Link Not Working - Removed-)
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