i think ur missing C EX ORL?
miczz14 - if you will notice on Friday we had
74B EX fade Orlando Sacramento 2.31 to win 2.10 WIN then for SOME reason the next day
74B EX Orlando 2.31 to win 2.10
Orlando has lost 7 ATS in a row and are 1-1 in the last 5 years after 7 straight.
The weekend was just a f*cked up mess. Let's just put the weekend in the past and move forward.
For some reason I marked it as a loss on my spread sheet and THEN to make matters worse I continued the chase but in the wrong direction Saturday. 5 systems, 18 games it was a huge learning lesson.
"D" bets - I'll post them but will not included them in any of MY stats. I'm tryign to eliminate mistakes and keeping things simple with 5 systems.
Right now SAD2 "A" and "C" bets are hitting 61% in the backtesting/live games 80-52. I'll look at the other systems.
Last edited by Grinder12000; 01-13-14 at 06:34 AM.
For Straight Bettors
The original systems
W - L
S3 - streak
"A" 12-16
"B" 9-6
"C" 5-1
"D" 0-1
H3 - Home/Away
"A" 13-14
"B" 10-4
"C" 2-1
"D" 1-0
O1- Overtime
"A" 25-15
"B" 7-9
"C" 5-4
"D" 2-2
EX - my RPI system
"A" 47-34
"B" 24-11
"C" 4-4
"D" 2-2
SAD2 - includes non-posted games Nov2 to Dec 6th
"A" 69-46
"B" 19-19
"C" 11-6
"D" * 1-4 *if we would have played "D" games - Fade Chicago today
So you see "D" games are not a wise bet - but I will make it know where there is a "D" bet.
TODAY
SAS2 "D" BET fade Chicago play at your own risk
Just out of giggles I added all data I have for SAS2 (my favorite system ) which is now 48 days and 117 total chases and at the moment "we" are winning 0.36 units every time we start a new chase. +0.14 units for every straight bet. Of course, I know this is small amount of data with only 185 total plays but 59.4% in 185 plays is nice. I wish I knew how many games I needed to hit some sort of standard deviation in the NBA. 300? 1000?
Last edited by Grinder12000; 01-13-14 at 11:26 AM.
That's awesome, thanks for the update Grinder.
Just so there is a record - I'm playing a 3 game chase Phoenix UNDER 198 UNDER UNDER
And just wondering - does anyone else watch The Walking Dead? Is this show shown outside the U.S.? I'm not a zombie fanatic but this has to be one of the best shows on TV. It's the highest rated cable show ever. Fantastic character development. Just curious. I'm still catching up and started season 3.
Last edited by Grinder12000; 01-13-14 at 02:25 PM.
My personal "top 5 dramatic shows", all time, in NO particular order as all are equally incredible:Originally Posted by Grinder12000
Just so there is a record - I'm playing a 3 game chase Phoenix UNDER 198 UNDER UNDER
And just wondering - does anyone else watch The Walking Dead? Is this show shown outside the U.S.? I'm not a zombie fanatic but this has to be one of the best shows on TV. It's the highest rated cable show ever. Fantastic character development. Just curious. I'm still catching up and started season 3.
-The Sopranos
-The Wire
-Mad Men
-The Walking Dead
-Breaking Bad
Lot of other shows are "good", and of course this doesn't include any comedies (different list), but these 5 are in my dramatic Pantheon for sure above all others.
And great job tonight Grinder, system bounced back nicely. Your PHO Under bet even hit with a damn OT!
Last edited by Mako-SBR; 01-13-14 at 09:37 PM.
Nice night guys
Love the top five.... No sons of anarchy?
No. Good show, but not enough to crack that elite Top 5. Really close though, would definitely be somewhere in a 6-10 spot. Solid pick.Love the top five.... No sons of anarchy?
01/14/14
All systems combined straight betting 193-148
All chases Tot 67.27u
all win and losses include games that cancel each other out
**************************************** *********Results
80A EX Toronto 1.10 to win 1.00 WIN
81A EX San Antonio 1.10 to win 1.00 Lost by 1/2
"C" SAS2 Washington 4.85 to win 4.41 Win
34A SAS2 Phoenix 1.10 to win 1.00 Win
Bonus play Phoenix UNDER Win even in OT! whew
Tuesdays games
SAS2 28-17 +14.34u
35A SAD2 fade Charlotte NYKnicks 1.10 to win 1.00 **(1)
##B SAD2 Cleveland 2.31 to win 2.10
##B SAD2 fade Sacramento Indiana 2.31 to win 2.10
EX = 78-58 +21.56u
82A EX fade LALakers Cleveland 1.10 to win 1.00
83A EX Indiana 1.10 to win 1.00
S3,H3,O1 = 87-73 +31.37u
95B S3 Cleveland 2.31 to win 2.10
96A O1 fade NYKnicks Charlotte 1.10 to win 1.00 **(1)
Bonus 3 game chase Sacramento UNDER 194ish?
**(1) If playing all games - cancel both games to save juice.
That's all for today
**************************************** *********
My CURRENT favorite non-network shows
Deadwood (all time favorite)
Walking Dead
Mad Men
Hell On Wheels
Justified
Forgot Game of thrones
OH Boardwalk Empire!!
Currently watching on network
The Blacklist
Revolution
Person Of Interest
Almost Human (keeps getting better)
Last edited by Grinder12000; 01-14-14 at 06:43 AM.
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samcro1 gave Grinder12000 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
these are my fav tv shows:
Game of thrones
Walking Dead
Sherlock
Breaking Bad
Lost
Prison Break
Closing the gap in the SAS2 system so I'll have a full year of stats soon 9 days to go - THEN I can work on my totals system.
01/15/14
All systems combined straight betting 196-152
All chases Tot 64.66u and treading water
all win and losses include games that cancel each other out
Results
SAS2 29-19 +13.03u
35A SAD2 fade Charlotte NYKnicks 1.10 to win 1.00 LOST
##B SAD2 Cleveland 2.31 to win 2.10 Lost
##B SAD2 fade Sacramento Indiana 2.31 to win 2.10 Win
EX = 79-59 +21.46u
82A EX fade LALakers Cleveland 1.10 to win 1.00 Lost
83A EX Indiana 1.10 to win 1.00 Win
S3,H3,O1 = 88-74 +30.06u
95B S3 Cleveland 2.31 to win 2.10 Lost
96A O1 fade NYKnicks Charlotte 1.10 to win 1.00 Win
Bonus 3 game chase Sacramento UNDER 194ish? LOST - NOT included in any stats yet
Wednesdays known games as of the night before
35B SAS2 fade Charlotte Philadelphia 2.31 to win 2.10
##C SAS2 Golden State 4.85 to win 4.41
##C SAS2 Cleveland 4.85 to win 4.41
73C EX Golden State 4.85 to win 4.41 two totally different systems both picking G.S.
81B EX San Antonio 2.31 to win 2.10
82B EX fade LALakers Phoenix 2.31 to win 2.10 ***(1)
84A EX Toronto 1.10 to win 1.00
90C S3 Philadelphia 4.85 to win 4.41
95C S3 Cleveland 4.85 to win 4.41
97A S3 Washington 1.10 to win 1.00
98A S3 Phoenix 1.10 to win 1.00 ***(1)
99A O1 fade Phoenix LALakers 1.10 to win 1.00 ***(1)
***(1) Phoenix 2.31 to win 2.10
SAS2 "C" games Entire year* are 18-7 straight up (16% chases go to "C") *includes back tested
EX "C" games Entire year are 4-4 ( 9% chases go to "C")
S3,H3,O1 games Entire year are 12-6 ( 26% chases go to "C")
As for "D" games
SAS2 1-5
S3,H3,O1 3-3
EX 2-2
Remember - I'll post the At Your Own risk "D" games but they are not part of this system
And just for the record
Bonus 3 game chase Sacramento UNDER 194ish? LOST UNDER 217 tonight
Twitter @Grinder12000 - changes and corrections!
I'll have final SAS2 back testing completed today with some awesome numbers!
Last edited by Grinder12000; 01-15-14 at 08:09 AM.
Points Awarded:
Mako-SBR gave Grinder12000 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
miczz14 gave Grinder12000 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
samcro1 gave Grinder12000 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
welcome to the NBA
00:00.1
[LAL 118-120]Gasol Layup Shot: Made (20 PTS)
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Grinder12000 gave miczz14 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
Lol what a crap welcome. Kind of surprised lakers came back after the blowout at beginning of 3q
