I am just glad that series is over. I messed up game B by over betting thinking it was game C and placed 4 units bet and today was 4.85 units. Just glad it is done.
Sorry for your loss. I truly know how that is. It's happened a few times for me this year. That's why I try to NEVER look at the other team playing. I had a ton on that Indiana game between the Mia FADE and the experimental Indiana chase.
I'm so freaking glad Nashville won on Wallcos NHL - whew that was 16 units!! Now if San Jose and NYIslanders can middle :-)
Bulls/Milwaukee - Chicago has 4 starters out! GREAT!!
12/11/13 48W-41L +28.04u
Wednesdays gamesresults
55C S1 Mia fade Indiana 4.85u to win 4.41u WIN
experimental
"A" Oklahoma WIN
"B" Indiana WIN
"A" Milwaukee fade Chicago (missing 4 starters) LOSE
49C H3 New Orleans 4.85 to win 4.41
56B O4 sac fade Utah 2.31 to win 2.10
57A H3 Boston 1.10 to win 1.00
experimental 31-13 +31.00
"B" Milwaukee fade San Antonio 2.31 to win 2.1
"A" Philly fade Minnesota 1.10 to win 1.00
"A" Oklahoma City 1.10 to win 1.00
Thursdays known games
known at the moment
*H3 = Whenever a team starts a home stand chase for one WIN ATS for 4 games (all teams)
*O4 = Whenever a team had an OT game start the 4 game chase (certain teams)
*experimental = Just handicapping using my brain and instincts in a 4 game chase.
Last edited by Grinder12000; 12-11-13 at 09:27 AM.
Nice to close a couple of series in one with the Indiana win. Just need to burry the new orleans game tomorrow and really recoup some of these bigger units! Keep up the great work.
If anybody else mentioned Indiana today I am going to lose it
Points Awarded:
Grinder12000 gave bgilic 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
why philly fade? they're not that bad ATS
Well, they have lost 10 orf their last 13 ATS and play 3 of the next 4 on the road and have generally sucked for a few weeks. The teams that they play are not great except for Portland so the spread will not be artifically high.
In the lst 10 games they are the worst team in the NBA.
NOTE - I added Oklahoma City as an "A" pick in the experimental system
since they won last night i was not sure they would continue to be the best team in the NBA in the last 10 games. It SEEMED like they would but Indiana and Portland are pretty hot.
Last edited by Grinder12000; 12-11-13 at 11:06 AM.
G1200- Thanks for the info..Understanding more and more as you go.. Still would like to know when to Fade or Follow a team (if possible).. I had OKC -4 last night (followed you. thanks)...
Last edited by raangeman; 12-11-13 at 11:46 AM.
Oh maybe I don't understand. Exactly. If it says,fade play against the team otherwise play the team. The PLAY team is always highlighted.
Feel free to PM me with any questions but I've found if someone has a question he/she is probably not the only one.
Grinder-- Tried to PM you.. Said I had to have 20 post and it had to go to the staff.. You may or may not get the message... My question from above was posted incorrectly.. I know the HIGHLIGHTED team is the one to play.. What I was wanting to know is when to fade a team or play the team.. Example-- Last night you had OKC and tonight you have OKC... What would make OKC a "Fade" tonight or any of the other teams that you have as a "Fade".. Is, in the case of OKC tonight, you think they will cover the 6 based on a last 5 or 10 game performance or is it that they will more than likely cover at least 1 of the next 4.. Just wanting to know how I would decide when to "fade" a team or to "play" that team ...
So New Orleans is the system's very first H3 "C" bet of the season...interesting.
Keep up the good work Grinder, appreciated by many.
Mako - I noticed that this afternoon.
raangeman - there are 4 systems all working here so it's a tough call and SOMETIMES the systems work against each other. It's happened a few times this year where we basically just watch the battle and play the loser when the dust settles.
The only Odd system is the experimental system where I'm looking at the RPI of teams and looking at their upcoming schedule. (more on that later).
Otherwise certain teams, when they have played an overtime game we fade Or chase. I've compiled 11 years of data on every team and some are better then others in certain situations. I've been doing a rolling average of 10 years and picking the teams that do well. THIS could be totally opposite of what I SHOULD be doing. It's a crap shoot.
I took a system the above systems that failed last year by another person and have tweaked it to what I HOPE will have better results as I saw flaws in the old ways.
I'm a contrairian, I like going against the herd but here I seem to be a chaser WHICH is actually going against the herd as I believe most "smart" people are contrairians now in NBA gambling! (Did that make any sense?).
So in the OKC example - the experimental system will sort of stick with a team for a while. I can't see any of the other systems switching from a fade to a chase overnight.
I'll explain the experimental system (my baby) later tonight which is 100% my idea. I have some cool numbers to post on that one!
Last edited by Grinder12000; 12-11-13 at 06:32 PM.
is the experimental a 3 game chase?
I think they are 4 game chase but I could be wrong. Grinder?Originally Posted by imotiv8
is the experimental a 3 game chase?
