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John Morrison 2013-14 NBA Thread

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#721

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Quote Originally Posted by Kev the Brit View Post
Yes, I certainly accept the unfiltered total is way out. I didn't take into account the earlier results. However, I'm surprised that the filtered results differ from yours. I will check and adjust as necessary.
I think you only credited 1 unit to the system for the Knicks win yesterday, should have been 5 units since it was a C bet win. Previous day you had system at -22.88 and today you have -21.88. We were a fraction of a unit different before yesterday, you had -22.88 and I had -23.06, now it is several units off. My spreadsheets now track all of this automatically, including A,B,C wins/losses and profits +/-, so I am pretty sure mine is correct. But definitely let me know if it isn't. Thanks.
Last edited by Wallco99; 11-30-13 at 10:30 AM.
#722

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Quote Originally Posted by Wallco99 View Post
I think you only credited 1 unit to the system for the Knicks win yesterday, should have been 5 units since it was a C bet win. Previous day you had system at -22.88 and today you have -21.88. We were a fraction of a unit different before yesterday, you had -22.88 and I had -23.06, now it is several units off. My spreadsheets now track all of this automatically, including A,B,C wins/losses and profits +/-, so I am pretty sure mine is correct. But definitely let me know if it isn't. Thanks.
OK, I have the answer to the discrepancy with the filtered system stats. Firstly, I posted a typo error +1.64 on post#597 when it should have been +1.46. My following weekly post, #598, was correct. Then, your post #624 confirmed that +1.46 was correct. However, I then forgot to adjust the following daily posts and the +0.18 error remains up to now. I will be editing today's post to remove the 0.18 error. That leaves 5 units discrepancy.

As you are the creator of 1-7-5, I will take your guidance on the next point: I believed, up to now, that 1-7-5 doesn't recognise the different Versions and that if a V2 is started, it then stands as the only series to be played while that team is on the road, and the V1 does not commence in any circumstance, because if it did, it would recognise the different versions. For that reason you will see that I have not recorded the Knicks V1 series under the 1-7-5 stats. That then explains why we have a 5 unit discrepancy. However, if you have a published rule that I should have recognised, I will be more than happy to reflect the Knicks win last night under the 1-7-5 systems. In the meantime I shall adjust the stats by -0.18
#723

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Quote Originally Posted by Kev the Brit View Post
OK, I have the answer to the discrepancy with the filtered system stats. Firstly, I posted a typo error +1.64 on post#597 when it should have been +1.46. My following weekly post, #598, was correct. Then, your post #624 confirmed that +1.46 was correct. However, I then forgot to adjust the following daily posts and the +0.18 error remains up to now. I will be editing today's post to remove the 0.18 error. That leaves 5 units discrepancy.

As you are the creator of 1-7-5, I will take your guidance on the next point: I believed, up to now, that 1-7-5 doesn't recognise the different Versions and that if a V2 is started, it then stands as the only series to be played while that team is on the road, and the V1 does not commence in any circumstance, because if it did, it would recognise the different versions. For that reason you will see that I have not recorded the Knicks V1 series under the 1-7-5 stats. That then explains why we have a 5 unit discrepancy. However, if you have a published rule that I should have recognised, I will be more than happy to reflect the Knicks win last night under the 1-7-5 systems. In the meantime I shall adjust the stats by -0.18
Yes, the JM bonus plays are all added to the original schedule and were accounted for in my backtests. These plays shoud be included because they are PLAYS, not because of v1, v2, v3. As you stated, the version doesn't matter, but v1 is one of the versions included in the 1-7-5, and since these bonus plays are v1 plays, they count, regardless of which version they were derived from. I even made mention of that in my rules post (post # 625).
#727

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Quote Originally Posted by Kev the Brit View Post
Yeh, got it thanks. I've now got the filtered strategy total at -17.06, which is 1 unit more than you have. Did you count last night's win by New Orleans in your run through?
Yes I did.

There have been 29 series to date:

There have been 2 (A) bet push = 0
5 (A) bet stopped = -5.5
10 (A) bet wins = +10
6 (B) bet wins = +42
3 (C) bet wins = +15
3 (C) bet losses = -79.56

Total: -18.06
#729

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Quote Originally Posted by Wallco99 View Post
Yes I did.

There have been 29 series to date:

There have been 2 (A) bet push = 0
5 (A) bet stopped = -5.5
10 (A) bet wins = +10
6 (B) bet wins = +42
3 (C) bet wins = +15
3 (C) bet losses = -79.56

Total: -18.06
OK, you have recorded 2 A bets pushed, whereas I have only 1. I have 11 A Bet wins and you have 10. Here are my A Bet wins:
using covers.com

#2 11/2 Hou +5
#3 11/3 Pho +5.5
#5 11/4 GSW +13
#11 11/10 Was +7.5
#18 11/15 Por +11.5
#21 11/20 Uta +4
#22 11/20 Sac +12.5
#24 11/22 Pho +10.5
#26 11/26 LAL +0.5
#27 11/26 GSW +2
#28 11/29 NOP +12.5

Your thoughts?
Kev
#730

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Quote Originally Posted by Kev the Brit View Post
OK, you have recorded 2 A bets pushed, whereas I have only 1. I have 11 A Bet wins and you have 10. Here are my A Bet wins:
using covers.com

#2 11/2 Hou +5
#3 11/3 Pho +5.5
#5 11/4 GSW +13
#11 11/10 Was +7.5
#18 11/15 Por +11.5
#21 11/20 Uta +4
#22 11/20 Sac +12.5
#24 11/22 Pho +10.5
#26 11/26 LAL +0.5
#27 11/26 GSW +2 (Not sure where you got +2)?
#28 11/29 NOP +12.5

Your thoughts?
Kev
There were 2 (A) bet pushes (Covers.com):

#17 Memphis -3 (Final score: Memphis 89 - L.A. Lakers 86)
#27 Golden State -1 (Final score: Golden State 102 - New Orleans 101)
Last edited by Wallco99; 11-30-13 at 09:38 PM.