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John Morrison 2013-14 NBA Thread

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#632

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Quote Originally Posted by Maxi_EV View Post
Wow!

great job. Thanks Wallco.

do you have the average season record for 1-7-5 (no filters)?
average series win - average series loss

thanks
I will have to compile all that. I just wanted to get the main numbers up for now. The average loss is 26.52 u, ALL losses will be 26.52 units.
#634

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Quote Originally Posted by Wallco99 View Post
So you are saying you bought 4 1/2 points?
I bought 3 1/2 points. Bet365 had the game at +8 when I placed my bet. After your backtest results I am seriously considering moving to 1-7-5 without filters. What are your thoughts on changing to it mid-season?

Edit: I guess changing to the system mid season makes no difference at all if I intend to play for a long time.. sorry for the stupid question. Thank you Wallco for your great work! I'm having a lot of fun with it!
Last edited by dlinx90; 11-26-13 at 06:13 PM.
#642

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Wallco NBA Chase 110
2013-14 System to Date: 9-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +9.00 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 2 (-17.62 units)

(11/26/13):
#10 Brooklyn (+7) (B) - Win
#11 Golden State (M/L) (A) - Win

v1 Plays
(A) 5-6
(B) 3-3

(C) 0-3
(D) 1-0
Losses: None



Games for (11/27/13):
#8 N.Y. Knicks (+10) @ L.A. Clippers (D) (10:35 pm EST)
#9 Washington @ Milwaukee (+3) (D) (8:05 pm EST)


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day if the lines do change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in posts #44 & #45.

Note: The lines I have listed were the current lines at the time of my post and may not reflect the final lines used to determine wins & losses.
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#643

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Quote Originally Posted by Wallco99 View Post
I will have to compile all that. I just wanted to get the main numbers up for now. The average loss is 26.52 u, ALL losses will be 26.52 units.
It would be essential for establishing the right unit size. If we average 2 series losses is not the same risk as if we average 5 series losses…
For now, just with the 2005-2006 season, we can establish that anything above 0.5% of roll would be dangerous.