^^^^Originally Posted by ok15533
hey guyz. I am not sure if any one asked this question before but if anyone ass and i missed the reply. I apologize for it. My question is what was the record of JM system for last/past two seasons. season 2012 AND season 2013
Last edited by Wallco99; 10-30-13 at 02:13 PM.
It would be 39 * 500 = 19500. Now subtract the three losses, playing it the way JM says to and buy 3 points, which on average is -180 odds per game, and your losses for the three series would be 3 * (-10,476) = -31,428. Playing to win 500 on each series would have netted you (-11920). I would concur, a terrible season. A single three game chase loss, looking to win 500 = (-10476)I went back to read the thread last year. and found out this records. we all are aware that it was a short season. and I also picked up some comments that it was a horrible season. if the records below are correct.
JM Traditional
4/3/2013
V1
Current chase record W/OUT buying points: 41-3-2
Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 43-3
Current series pending: 0
V2
Current chase record W/OUT buying points: 29-4
Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 29-4
Current series pending: 0
V3
Current chase record W/OUT buying points: 63-5-4
Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 69-3
Current series pending: 5 (Dallas B Bet)
1. Houston Rockets A Bet -3.5 @ Sacramento Kings
Houston Rockets A Bet (since > -3 play ML) @ Sacramento Kings
2. Memphis Grizzlies A Bet -4 @ Portland Trailblazers
Memphis Grizzlies A Bet (since > -3 play ML) @ Portland Trailblazers
3. New Orleans Hornets A Bet +7 @ Golden State Warriors
New Orleans Hornets A Bet (if buying 3 points) +10 @ Golden State Warriors
4. Philadelphia 76ers A Bet -5 @ Charlotte Bobcats
Philadelphia 76ers A Bet (since > -3 play ML) @ Charlotte Bobcats
I will think it was profitable since. there are more series win than loss. if any one can explain . why it was a terrible season. this may guide us to a better decision this year.
from what I am thinking if you wage to make 500 in each series and one series went 42 - 3 that should bue 39 * 500 for the season. please correct me here.
Last edited by Wallco99; 10-30-13 at 02:16 PM.
ok, your math is wrong, since it's a chase the series loss is much more than one unit.
And using the records you listed below (combined 141-10), You would have netted +$70,500 for the wins and (-$104,760) for the losses with buying the points. Total loss = (-$34,260).
Playing this system the way I described earlier, 1-7-5, netted me a +58 units. Had my unit size been 500 like you described, I would have profited $29,000
(Note: I only played 1-7-5 from second week of December til the end. Prior to that, I was just playing 7/5)
How am I wrong? I showed the math and it is much more than one unit as you can see.ok, your math is wrong, since it's a chase the series loss is much more than one unit.
Was replying to ok15533, sorry. Should have been more clear.
Gotcha!Was replying to ok15533, sorry. Should have been more clear.
wallco or thelimit,
i was thinking about the 7/5 system and this could also be applied to the 1/7/5 system. that you could calculate the exact ratio the bets should be to each other based on the win percentage to optimize ROI. since i dont have the full 8 year backtest. could one of you post the longrun B and C game win percentage?
-bonhammer
It's very misleading how john praises this record . Well thank you to everyone who helped me answer this question. and also to wallco99 playing your 1. 7 . 5 plan. Did you buy points on that ?And using the records you listed below (combined 141-10), You would have netted +$70,500 for the wins and (-$104,760) for the losses with buying the points. Total loss = (-$34,260).
Playing this system the way I described earlier, 1-7-5, netted me a +58 units. Had my unit size been 500 like you described, I would have profited $29,000
(Note: I only played 1-7-5 from second week of December til the end. Prior to that, I was just playing 7/5)
Watch what you say about the Messiah, John Morrison. Chili Dog takes JM criticism personally.It's very misleading how john praises this record . Well thank you to everyone who helped me answer this question. and also to wallco99 playing your 1. 7 . 5 plan. Did you buy points on that ?
No, that would get waaaay too expensive .It's very misleading how john praises this record . Well thank you to everyone who helped me answer this question. and also to wallco99 playing your 1. 7 . 5 plan. Did you buy points on that ?
That can definely be found in last years thread, just not sure where, but I know it's there.wallco or thelimit,
i was thinking about the 7/5 system and this could also be applied to the 1/7/5 system. that you could calculate the exact ratio the bets should be to each other based on the win percentage to optimize ROI. since i dont have the full 8 year backtest. could one of you post the longrun B and C game win percentage?
-bonhammer
I think 1.7.5 make sense here. The juice on buying points eats up bank roll big .
I can't post, I get off work at 7pm
Quick question. I was reading the rules for the system plays. Now, when we skip a series because the team has the worst or best record in the road, do we use the record for that specific team from previous seasons?
