L&L Legit Leans for 3/26
LAL/DET O 193.5
When I originally saw the line I immediately said under because:
LAL U 5-1 last 6 games on 1 day rest
LAL U 8-2 last 10 games as favorite
LAL U 4-1 last 5 games overall
DET U 10-1 last 11 home games vs. team with road win pct + 600
LAL/DET U 4-1 in last 5 meetings
Why the over?
193.5 is a little low.
No Sheed, Rip, AI.
DET 4-0 O last 4 vs. team + 600 win pct
DET 4-0-1 last 5 overall
They are not playing defense.
Lakers even thought in a nice U streak...3/5 of their last 5 have went over 200 and vs. OKC they were at 196.
DET last 5 they have went over that 193 mark 4/5 games.
O is 13-6-1 in last 20 road games for LA.
POR/PHO U 221.5
POR U 4-0 last 4 vs. teams with a wimming SU record
POR U 5-0 last 5 after allowing 100 + their previous game
POR U 40-16-1 last 57 after scoring 100+ in their previous game
U is 4-1 in last 5 meetings
Portland will really slow it down at home.
POR -6.5
Forgot where I saw it but their ATS vs. teams + 600 win pct at home is ridiculous.
POR 4-1 ATS last 5 following SU loss
4-1 ATS last 5 as fav.
4-1 ATS last 5 overall
5-2 last 7 ATS following a SU loss
Suns 4-10 ATS in their last 14 vs. teams with a winning SU record
Suns 1-4 ATS last 5 vs. teams with a win pct + 600
Suns 2-8-1 ATS last 11 as road underdog between 5-10.5
Love POR here pretty big too.
CHI -5.5
Heat 1-4 ATS last 5 as road dog 5-10.5
Heat 1-6 ATS in their last 7 back end of B2B
CHI 4-0 ATS last 4 at home vs. teams losing road record
CHI 4-0 ATS last 4 home games a fav
CHI 8-1 last 9 at home ATS
CHI 8-3 ATS in last 11
Rose probable to play. Battling for a playoff spot. Playing good ball. Love them here. I would stay away from the O/U imho.
So far...
LAL/DET O 193.5
POR/PHO U 221.5
CHI -5.5
POR -6.5
Thoughts and opinions welcome!