Login Search

NASCAR Punters Club 2011

Last Post
#271

Default

It's Kyle's best track. Bowyer's best track. Ambrose's best oval. Junior scores a top 5 better than 1 in 3 races and has 3 wins, but has done nothing recently. It's up there for Stewart and Hamlin too. Newman has been better here for Stewart Haas than Smoke though.

Edwards/Kenseth/Biffle only have a combined 6 top 5s and 1 win from 52 starts. Although he has a few wins, Jimmie's average finish here is as bad as the Roush boys at almost 17th.

Logano pulled off a 4th last start, so maybe a JGR car to win, if the odds are ok.

Maybe too much thinking time CD

Saturday night it is Hawk.
#274

Default

First bet for the club;

Sprint Cup Motor Racing Crown Royal 400 - Best Finish of Group B : Clint Bowyer +360
Bowyer, Kurt Busch, Harvick, Kenseth, Stewart

Risking 9.80 To Win 35.28


Feels a bit like a H2H with Harvick at extra good odds to me.
#275

Default

I'm pretty happy with that early Bowyer bet, so have gone for gold with the remaining $5.20 of my bets.

I wanted to cover Kyle for a top 3, which is only +125, so this was my way of going for a bit more value. (feel free to mock me)

5 leg parlay


  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7206 J.Johnson not in top 5* -180 vs J.Johnson finishes in top 5
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7212 C.Edwards not in top 5* -170 vs C.Edwards finishes in top 5
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7302 Kyle Busch fin.position under 4½* -115 vs Kyle Busch fin.position over 4½
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7314 M.Martin fin.position under 12½* -130 vs M.Martin fin.position over 12½
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7525 Jeff Burton #31* -115 vs Matt Kenseth #17

Risking $3.00 To Win $42.83

4 leg parlay

  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7215 C.Bowyer finishes in top 5* +130 vs C.Bowyer not in top 5
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7501 Kyle Busch #18* -130 vs Denny Hamlin #11
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7509 Tony Stewart #14* +130 vs Carl Edwards #99
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7529 Ryan Newman #39* +105 vs Juan Pablo Montoya #42

Risking $1.10 To Win $20.01

6 leg parlay

  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7501 Kyle Busch #18* -130 vs Denny Hamlin #11
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7506 Kevin Harvick #29* -140 vs Jimmie Johnson #48
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7522 Mark Martin #5* -140 vs Greg Biffle #16
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7525 Jeff Burton #31* -115 vs Matt Kenseth #17
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7533 Joey Logano #20* -165 vs David Reutimann #00
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7537 Jamie McMurray #1* -125 vs Martin Truex Jr #56

Risking $1.10 To Win $29.81


All up to you now Dew...
Last edited by Optional; 04-30-11 at 01:40 PM.
#279

Default

Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
5 leg parlay

  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7206 J.Johnson not in top 5* -180 vs J.Johnson finishes in top 5
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7212 C.Edwards not in top 5* -170 vs C.Edwards finishes in top 5
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7302 Kyle Busch fin.position under 4½* -115 vs Kyle Busch fin.position over 4½
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7314 M.Martin fin.position under 12½* -130 vs M.Martin fin.position over 12½
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7525 Jeff Burton #31* -115 vs Matt Kenseth #17

Risking $3.00 To Win $42.83

4 leg parlay

  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7215 C.Bowyer finishes in top 5* +130 vs C.Bowyer not in top 5
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7501 Kyle Busch #18* -130 vs Denny Hamlin #11
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7509 Tony Stewart #14* +130 vs Carl Edwards #99
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7529 Ryan Newman #39* +105 vs Juan Pablo Montoya #42

Risking $1.10 To Win $20.01

6 leg parlay

  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7501 Kyle Busch #18* -130 vs Denny Hamlin #11
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7506 Kevin Harvick #29* -140 vs Jimmie Johnson #48
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7522 Mark Martin #5* -140 vs Greg Biffle #16
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7525 Jeff Burton #31* -115 vs Matt Kenseth #17
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7533 Joey Logano #20* -165 vs David Reutimann #00
  • 4/30/2011 7:30 PM SprintCup Motor Racing 7537 Jamie McMurray #1* -125 vs Martin Truex Jr #56

Risking $1.10 To Win $29.81
Almost got that last parlay up... damn JJ for coming back at the end.


The good news is Bowyer came through and gave us a $45.08 payout, meaning I get to punt again next week, and our bankroll increases by $15.08 to $161.81


Darlington Punters

Soxwin and Opti with a stake of $17 each

Target to punt again is $34 profit.



Sox Opti
Avs Rickie
Hawk CD
Opti Dew
Rickie Sox
CD Avs
Dew Hawk
#285

Default

Looking for some advice.

I am tempted to take these early odds on Hamlin and Gordon, for the $51 payout I need to punt again.


  • Sprint Cup Motor Racing Showtime Southern 500 : Denny Hamlin +600
    Risking $7.45 To Win $44.70
  • Sprint Cup Motor Racing Showtime Southern 500 : Jeff Gordon +775
    Risking $5.85 To Win $45.34


I don't expect either price to get much better, and both to probably come in if they qualify ok. And with the same day practice and quali system for these Saturday night races, I don't find I make a lot of good decisions based on practice times to make a better choice later anyway. Johnson is about the only other one I might be swayed to take in preference to either of these 2 based on quali performance, and he usually aint a great qualifier here.

I'd then probably look for a parlay paying about 13/1 close to race time for the remaining $3.70. (also looking for a $51 payout)

Alternatively, I could use the same strategy as last week. Look for a Group matchup bet I like and put 13 odd bucks on that to win the 51... and use the remaining few dollars for a few hopeful parlays.

I also don't mind Kahne and McMurray as smokeys at +3300 at this stage.

Any constructive thoughts appreciated.