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Tgm - nrl 2014

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#106

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Quote Originally Posted by Tim Gerry Mander View Post
My pleasure buddy...

Pity about yesterday's game - panthers defence didn't show up.

Some big bets on the Knights tonight:

$8K ML@ $4.75
$25K ATS(+12.5) @ $2
If you had 8K on the ML you'd want to see Kidley hung after missing that penalty shot from in front of the posts, Boyd's attempt at a drop goal wasn't much better.
#109

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Hey TGM,
Jut found your thread. Looking good.
This Bulldogs/Roosters game on Friday:
Dogs without their halves. Also losing Josh Morris and Tony Williams to Origin.
Roosters will be missing Guerra, Jennings and Tupau.
The exchange has the Dogs at 3.05. Roosters 1.47 in a 100% market.
Obviously having Pierce and Maloney in for Easts is influencing that market.
I'm thinking Hassler's team has adjusted as well as or better than the other teams to the quicker style of play this year, and they might still be a match for the Roosters here.
Have you got an opinion on this game, or do you not play with these Origin weakened match-ups?
Cheers.
Last edited by Martinr; 05-22-14 at 06:44 PM.
#111

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Quote Originally Posted by Shazzadude View Post
100% market-are you saying 100% are on the Roosters? If so, how do you know this?
No man. I mean the exchange market (Betfair) is sitting at 100% (no juice). That's normal with good liquidity markets.
I think most books have their markets at 105-107% (2.80 Bulldogs, 1.45 Roosters)
#116

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Quote Originally Posted by Tim Gerry Mander View Post
Dogs forwards got bogged in the slop.
Terrible showing - that bombed try when up 6-0 was crucial.

Cowboys just can't win away. That's 0-6 away from home this season.
Dogs forwards have been out played by Roosters and Sea Eagles the two most dominate packs in the comp, Dogs are behind Rabbit ohs and Cowboys as well in regards to packs, dont you agree TGM or is there some sort of loyalty to the 2012 Dogs pack that made the GF and were out played by the lightweight Storm pack.