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Kentucky derby thread thoughts and predictions . Keep it going only derby picks

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#257

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can you give me the link to this, i would like to see it, but i cant find it[QUOTE=Easy-Rider 66;21808537]
Quote Originally Posted by mikemca View Post
the 2nd place horse


Just checked out T-graph's analysis of the derby on You Tube. Brown liked Commanding Curve as a live long shot with a similar pattern to Mine that Bird.
#261

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[quote=Easy-Rider 66;21808537]
Quote Originally Posted by mikemca View Post
the 2nd place horse


Just checked out T-graph's analysis of the derby on You Tube. Brown liked Commanding Curve as a live long shot with a similar pattern to Mine that Bird.

Yeah half that board was talking about the other CC for a while.Well before the analysis.

TFUS liked him also for pretty much the same reasons...this was their write up

Commanding Curve (50-1): He is our favorite bomb in the 2014 Kentucky Derby. He has improved his speed figure in every start. He had a tough time of it at the start of the Louisiana Derby. He put in a big effort to finish third. A hot pace would very much work in his favor. He draws outside but figures to be taking back and angling over as soon as the gate opens. He has a powerful Late Pace rating of 93. He figures to be a huge price. We consider him a very interesting horse in this spot.
#263

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mike ,the numbers i got shaded in red, what would they translate into a beyer

8Pink
5-1
Midwest Thoroughbreds
Clm Price: $25,000 Light Green, Black Yoke and Emblem, Black Cap
Laura Perillo ( 0-0-0-0 )
Socialsaul ¼ (L)
B.g.6 Read the Footnotes - So Social by Proud Truth, NY
122 Wilmer A Garcia
( 8-0-2-0 )
2014: 4 1 1 0 $46,790 Turf: 1 0 0 0 $395
2013: 10 2 1 1 $114,695 Off Dirt: 7 2 2 0 $108,040
Life: 29 6 7 2 $431,515 Distance: 8 2 0 1 $65,560
Bel: 9 3 2 0 $126,065 CLASS RATING: 89
04Apr14 Aqu5 gd 1N¼¾ :49¶¶1:13»¼ 1:54»^ 4g Clm 35000 108-85 3 2¸ 3¹ 2¹ 2«¬ 1¸¡ Garcia W A 118 fL 5.10 Socialsaul118¸¡ SacredGround118¶¡ Joan'sChoice118¸¶¡ chase 2p,ask 5/16pl 5
13Mar14 Aqu7 ft s 1B½¸ :47¶¶ 1:12»^ 1:44½¸ 4g Clm 50000 109-91 3 4» 6º 5»¡ 4¾ 4¶^¡ Garcia W A 118 fL 24.25 AussiAustin 119¼ Photon118¸£ Metaurus118¶£ rail to 1/2,5w upper 7
#264

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they were pretty right on with commanding curve, im just starting to read on about these numbers ,and beyers,timesform, what are the numbers called in the other form , the one i pasted , and how would you relate them to beyer, like what would a 108-85 be[QUOTE=Easy-Rider 66;21808749]
Quote Originally Posted by harthebar View Post
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h_6N4ndPG2g

is this it

Correct. Take a look let us know what you think. Did not access it this year before the derby, but wish I would have.
#266

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[QUOTE=harthebar;21812969]they were pretty right on with commanding curve, im just starting to read on about these numbers ,and beyers,timesform, what are the numbers called in the other form , the one i pasted , and how would you relate them to beyer, like what would a 108-85 be

Thorograph numbers are typically referred to as sheet numbers. Ragozin sheets are their main competitor. As I understand them one of the main parameters used in sheet numbers is ground loss(Also use beaten lengths and weight differential among other factors). Not under the impression that Beyers account for ground loss. Timeform is interesting in that they incorporate pace into their final figure. Not sure what a 108-85 could be translated into.
Last edited by Easy-Rider 66; 05-08-14 at 01:16 PM.
#268

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PREAKNESS STAKES - ODDS TO WIN - May 14
May 14 - 6:00 PM 55555 PREAKNESS STAKES - ODDS TO WIN CALIFORNIA CHROME -200
May 14 - 6:00 PM 55556 PREAKNESS STAKES - ODDS TO WIN DANZA +700
May 14 - 6:00 PM 55557 PREAKNESS STAKES - ODDS TO WIN SOCIAL INCLUSION +800
May 14 - 6:00 PM 55558 PREAKNESS STAKES - ODDS TO WIN BAYERN +1200
May 14 - 6:00 PM 55559 PREAKNESS STAKES - ODDS TO WIN RIDE ON CURLIN +1200
May 14 - 6:00 PM 55560 PREAKNESS STAKES - ODDS TO WIN KID CRUZ +1400
May 14 - 6:00 PM 55561 PREAKNESS STAKES - ODDS TO WIN DYNAMIC IMPACT +1600
May 14 - 6:00 PM 55562 PREAKNESS STAKES - ODDS TO WIN STRONG MANDATE +1800
May 14 - 6:00 PM 55563 PREAKNESS STAKES - ODDS TO WIN GENERAL A ROD +2250
May 14 - 6:00 PM 55564 PREAKNESS STAKES - ODDS TO WIN PABLO DEL MONTE +2250
May 14 - 6:00 PM 55565 PREAKNESS STAKES - ODDS TO WIN RING WEEKEND +2250
May 14 - 6:00 PM 55566 PREAKNESS STAKES - ODDS TO WIN RIA ANTONIA +3000

PREAKNESS STAKES PROPS Lines From:05-12-2014 21:29:49
Cut Off # Type Description Odds
CALIFORNIA CHROME - WIN PREAKNESS
PREAKNESS STAKES PROPS - May 14
WILL CALIFORNIA CHROME WIN THE PREAKNESS STAKES
ALL WAGERS HAVE ACTION
May 14 - 6:00 PM 55581 CALIFORNIA CHROME - WIN PREAKNESS YES -200
May 14 - 6:00 PM 55582 CALIFORNIA CHROME - WIN PREAKNESS NO +160
WILL CALIFORNIA CHROME WIN THE TRIPLE CROWN
ALL WAGERS HAVE ACTION
May 14 - 6:00 PM 55583 CALIFORNIA CHROME - WIN TRIPLE CROWN YES +200
May 14 - 6:00 PM 55584 CALIFORNIA CHROME - WIN TRIPLE CROWN NO -300
Last edited by harthebar; 05-12-14 at 08:30 PM.