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Kentucky derby thread thoughts and predictions . Keep it going only derby picks

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#196

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Quote Originally Posted by StackinGreen View Post
I heard he was working out great is that why you're calling him the HTB?
He is the horse to beat for several reasons. 1. He crushed a very good field in Arkansas. 2. He has he perfect style for the Derby ... he likes to sit behind the speed and then take off in a sprinters type style. 3. He likes to run by the rail and the 4 post is perfect.... and running by the rail is a good thing ask Calvin. 4. No horse has looked better on the track

How many horses from the SA Derby are in the Kentucky Derby ? How many from the Arkansas..... that is really all you need to know.
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#197

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I'm with you man, I was leaning to him also as top pick based on his look and works ... but I'm always worried about any single selection with a 20 horse field, especially with a horse as lightly raced as he is.

He's got Pletcher too. I'm not a shill for him, but you can't discount his acumen and success.

Best of luck
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#198

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Quote Originally Posted by StackinGreen View Post
He's got Pletcher too. I'm not a shill for him, but you can't discount his acumen and success.

Best of luck
Pletcher is 1 for 36 in the Kentucky Derby and quite a few were short prices.

He is a great trainer but he usually burns them out before May.Which is a positive for Danza being he must of had setbacks during the winter so he only raced 4 times.

He does seem to have potential but going from 41-1 in Arkansas to among the 2nd choices in the Kentucky Derby is crazy.
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#202

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This year's Derby appears an easier task to find a winner than most renewals. Unfortunately, it will be a short priced favorite, but that's better than tearing up tickets. The selection is California Chrome. This colt has dominated stakes in California with a four race win streak, each one showing improvement in speed ratings and superiority. His latest, the Santa Anita Derby, was the best yet. He broke alertly, raced near the pace, and when asked the question in the stretch, drew out with little apparent effort to win by 4 lengths. It's hard to pick a second amongst the remainder of the field, so deponent will not. A win wager is all that's necessary.
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#204

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Ticket#:2491046
May 03 12:03 PM 		May 03 12:03:16 PM RAC Racing ticket #179531
May-03 CHU R11 2.00 SBR TRI 4,5,20/4,5,6,10,13,20/4,5,6,10,13,20		 120.00 / 0.00
Ticket#:2491047
May 03 12:04 PM 		May 03 12:04:22 PM RAC Racing ticket #179532
May-03 CHU R11 3.00 SBR TRI 5/4,6,10,13,20/4,6,10,13,20		 60.00 / 0.00
Ticket#:2491048
May 03 12:05 PM 		May 03 12:05:27 PM RAC Racing ticket #179533
May-03 CHU R11 1.00 SBR TRI 6,10,13/5/4,6,10,13,20		 12.00 / 0.00
Ticket#:2491059
May 03 12:08 PM 		May 03 12:08:43 PM RAC Racing ticket #179534
May-03 CHU R11 1.00 SBR SPR 5/4,6,10,13,20/4,6,10,13,20/4,6,10,13,20		 60.00 / 0.00
Ticket#:2491071
May 03 12:10 PM 		May 03 12:10:02 PM RAC Racing ticket #179538
May-03 CHU R11 1.00 SBR SPR 5/4,13,20/3,4,6,8,10,13,20/3,4,6,8,10,13,20		 90.00 / 0.00
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#205

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you don't think danza carrying 8 more pounds vs last race just 3 weeks ago wont affect him?

im pretty green at this but I seen danza tiring bigtime from the extra weight. Rest of the field has been carrying 122-124 regularly


I know you are big on Wildcat Red but seems GenArod has been within a head with WR the last 3 Head to head races....seem interchangeable horses
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