Drf race of the day discussion

Originally Posted by JBEX

Lots of similarities Lea and Cigar..

Mott
decent turf horses who exploded on dirt
Lea Jan 5yo.. Cigar Sep 4yo
(should be noted Lea had 2 decent races on the slop)
2nd race on fast track G1 win Lea (Donn) Cigar (NYRA Mile)
Big time owner breeders paulson /claiborne farms
Big time dam sires.. Lea (Gallileo) Cigar (Seattle Slew)
Small time sires.. Lea (frst samurai) Cigar (Palace Music)

Tough to match up with Cigar but have a hunch Lea's got
some good races ahead.. we'll see

Interesting comparison, JBEX. Lea set a new track record today, so may be it is a hint of his future on dirt. Can't wait to find out!

Originally Posted by mrginandtonic

Interesting comparison, JBEX. Lea set a new track record today, so may be it is a hint of his future on dirt. Can't wait to find out!

Could see him being sent to Dubai for the big race . He sent
Royal Delta there (twice I believe) which I couldn't understand
myself other than the loot.. Always figure horses who turf and
dirt well will like the poly.. 7 weeks away which I would think is
great timing

DRF Race of the Day: Race 5 @ Santa Anita 6 1/2f Downhill Turf Claiming

This is a tough race to call in my opinion. DRF hosts liked 7-Midnight Lady and 1-Awe' Some Kitten. I think that there are enough front runners to ensure a good pace in this race. So do we look for deep closers?? Looking at the form, Thomas Proctor 's horse sure looks good last time. But the last two races on this horse, Van Dyke (the apprentice) was on board, and got a huge weight break. Now, Talamo is riding, I am not sure this horse is good enough to beat this group. Although the trainer is HOT, I am gonna try to beat him. In addition to the 7 and 1, I think I am gonna add Nakatani's horse to the mix. The 10-Sleep Tight veteren is 2nd off layoff, and last time she ran against the 6 and did ok. Gonna take another shot at it with a better jockey. ML is at 8-1, so I think it's worth a shot.

As always, comments and suggestions are always welcome. GL all.

not to tuff, lost alot by a nose though

Ticket #: 2402617	RAC	Racing ticket #172728 Feb-13 SAX R5 1.00 SBR TRI 2,5,9/2,5,6,7,9/2,5,6,7,9	36.00 / 0.00	757.20	WIN	02/13/2014 12:57:37 PM
Ticket #: 2402621	RAC	Racing ticket #172730 Feb-13 SAX R5 2.00 SBR TRI 5/2,6,7,9/2,6,7,9	24.00 / 0.00	-24.00	LOSE	02/13/2014 01:00:55 PM
Ticket #: 2402622	RAC	Racing ticket #172731 Feb-13 SAX R5 5.00 SBR TRI 5,9/2/5,6,7,9	30.00 / 0.00	-30.00	LOSE	02/13/2014 01:04:34 PM

Originally Posted by no1here

not to tuff, lost alot by a nose though

Ticket #: 2402617	RAC	Racing ticket #172728 Feb-13 SAX R5 1.00 SBR TRI 2,5,9/2,5,6,7,9/2,5,6,7,9	36.00 / 0.00	757.20	WIN	02/13/2014 12:57:37 PM
Ticket #: 2402621	RAC	Racing ticket #172730 Feb-13 SAX R5 2.00 SBR TRI 5/2,6,7,9/2,6,7,9	24.00 / 0.00	-24.00	LOSE	02/13/2014 01:00:55 PM
Ticket #: 2402622	RAC	Racing ticket #172731 Feb-13 SAX R5 5.00 SBR TRI 5,9/2/5,6,7,9	30.00 / 0.00	-30.00	LOSE	02/13/2014 01:04:34 PM

nice hit!! wish I had it.

http://www1.drf.com/formulator-web/F...ormance-race/8

liking
3 - fastest and off win
4 - 4 of last 5 in money with only out being grade 2 race
5 - class of race @ 15K per start
7 - off since may and came back heavily backed, now jockey change and 5 pounds lighter

keying with the 7 liking the 4 alot

Originally Posted by no1here

http://www1.drf.com/formulator-web/F...ormance-race/8

liking
3 - fastest and off win
4 - 4 of last 5 in money with only out being grade 2 race
5 - class of race @ 15K per start
7 - off since may and came back heavily backed, now jockey change and 5 pounds lighter

keying with the 7 liking the 4 alot

Nice!! What do you think of the 2??

http://www1.drf.com/formulator-web/F...ormance-race/8

when looking at these horses keep in mine that they are looking to advance to Kentucky Derby
I can't see this happening with the 2,3,6,7, or 8. (8 could hit tri)
5 appears to be horse to beat with 1 or 4 having a shot. 4 has won 55K per start and the 1 has 104 speed figure
besides using bold speed numbers at beginning of each race add up the two together shown under the horses weight
the 5 here has totals of 103, 100, 102, 97 with highest bold being at 85 his last race always improving
the 4 shows 106 best and 88/93 appearing to be faster besides never out being 8/8 in money
the 1 ships here with strong numbers and was made favorite as always
the 5 has Stevens back aboard

I give the edge to the 1 with the added distance being a plus. Keying the 5 for second and third with 4 & 8.

made these bets earlier needing more added now but will wait for tote board as I am a big one on odds as money talks. I always write down opening line, 5 minute line and then watch closing lines. I also always circle the H (heavy) meaning horse with money that's not suppost to be there.

Ticket#:2404039 Feb 15 09:50 AM	Feb 15 09:50:43 AM	RAC	Racing ticket #172908 Feb-15 GOL R8 2.00 SBR TRI 1/4,5,8/4,5,8	12.00 / 0.00
Ticket#:2404040 Feb 15 09:51 AM	Feb 15 09:51:26 AM	RAC	Racing ticket #172909 Feb-15 GOL R8 1.00 SBR SPR 1/4,5,8/4,5,8/4,5,8	6.00 / 0.00
Ticket#:2404041 Feb 15 09:52 AM	Feb 15 09:52:47 AM	RAC	Racing ticket #172910 Feb-15 GOL R8 2.00 SBR TRI 4/1,5,8/1,5,8	12.00 / 0.00
Ticket#:2404042 Feb 15 09:53 AM	Feb 15 09:53:14 AM	RAC	Racing ticket #172911 Feb-15 GOL R8 10.00 SBR TRI 4/5,8/5,8	20.00 / 0.00
Ticket#:2404044 Feb 15 09:53 AM	Feb 15 09:53:46 AM	RAC	Racing ticket #172913 Feb-15 GOL R8 1.00 SBR TRI 1,5,8/4/1,5,8	6.00 / 0.00
Ticket#:2404045 Feb 15 09:54 AM	Feb 15 09:54:34 AM	RAC	Racing ticket #172914 Feb-15 GOL R8 5.00 SBR TRX 4,5,8	30.00 / 0.00
Ticket#:2404052 Feb 15 10:00 AM	Feb 15 10:00:26 AM	RAC	Racing ticket #172915 Feb-15 GOL R8 1.00 SBR SPR 4,8/4,5,8/1,3,4,5,8/1,3,4,5,8	24.00 / 0.00

Originally Posted by no1here

http://www1.drf.com/formulator-web/F...ormance-race/8

when looking at these horses keep in mine that they are looking to advance to Kentucky Derby
I can't see this happening with the 2,3,6,7, or 8. (8 could hit tri)
5 appears to be horse to beat with 1 or 4 having a shot. 4 has won 55K per start and the 1 has 104 speed figure
besides using bold speed numbers at beginning of each race add up the two together shown under the horses weight
the 5 here has totals of 103, 100, 102, 97 with highest bold being at 85 his last race always improving
the 4 shows 106 best and 88/93 appearing to be faster besides never out being 8/8 in money
the 1 ships here with strong numbers and was made favorite as always
the 5 has Stevens back aboard

I give the edge to the 1 with the added distance being a plus. Keying the 5 for second and third with 4 & 8.

Thanks so much for your inputs. Very valuable info and tks for sharing.

In regards to today's DRF Race of the Day, on paper like you said it sure looks like the 5- Enterprising is the one to beat. Proctor/Stevens combo has been deadly. I like your picks No1. The question that I gave is on the 6- Icy Ride. He is trained by Baffert and part own by him as well. He has not even broken maiden. Why did he ship to enter this race. Granted this race doesn't really have power house horses here, so I am gonna take a shot with him. I'm gonna add Exacta box 5-6 and tri 5,6/4,5,6/1,4,5,6.

As always, comments and suggestions are always welcome.

fell asleep way before race so sorry that I didn't get back at you. When writing I should of stuck to what I seen when making bets but the 1 hounded me all day. Odds would of been very important to me on him at race time to verify. What horse came in 4th costing me the superfecta? Ticket #: 2404041	RAC	Racing ticket #172910 Feb-15 GOL R8 2.00 SBR TRI 4/1,5,8/1,5,8	12.00 / 0.00	42.60	WIN	02/15/2014 09:52:47 AM
Ticket #: 2404042	RAC	Racing ticket #172911 Feb-15 GOL R8 10.00 SBR TRI 4/5,8/5,8	20.00 / 0.00	253.00	WIN	02/15/2014 09:53:14 AM
Ticket #: 2404044	RAC	Racing ticket #172913 Feb-15 GOL R8 1.00 SBR TRI 1,5,8/4/1,5,8	6.00 / 0.00	-6.00	LOSE	02/15/2014 09:53:46 AM
Ticket #: 2404045	RAC	Racing ticket #172914 Feb-15 GOL R8 5.00 SBR TRX 4,5,8	30.00 / 0.00	106.50	WIN	02/15/2014 09:54:34 AM
Ticket #: 2404052	RAC	Racing ticket #172915 Feb-15 GOL R8 1.00 SBR SPR 4,8/4,5,8/1,3,4,5,8/1,3,4,5,8	24.00 / 0.00	-24.00	LOSE	02/15/2014 10:00:26 AM

horse needs to fit the race and this maiden didn't along with having crappy form and no speed showing improvement last out from outside. As stated I was looking for facts and figures that might be found derby day and this horse was way out. In the one's first 4 races his biggest lost was 1/2 length besides having high speed ratings (I thought), form and number seenable derby day as well as the four's money of 500K. Besides the five's form & record there was nothing found that might apply derby day.

Originally Posted by mrginandtonic

Thanks so much for your inputs. Very valuable info and tks for sharing.

In regards to today's DRF Race of the Day, on paper like you said it sure looks like the 5- Enterprising is the one to beat. Proctor/Stevens combo has been deadly. I like your picks No1. The question that I gave is on the 6- Icy Ride. He is trained by Baffert and part own by him as well. He has not even broken maiden. Why did he ship to enter this race. Granted this race doesn't really have power house horses here, so I am gonna take a shot with him. I'm gonna add Exacta box 5-6 and tri 5,6/4,5,6/1,4,5,6.

As always, comments and suggestions are always welcome.

Finish//Horse//Odds

1st-4-Tamarando 2.30/1
2nd-8-Dance With Fate 3.60/1
3rd-5-Enterprising 1.30/1
4th-2-Puppy Manners 18.80/1
5th-3-Infosec 17.30/1
6th-6-Icy Ride 26.30/1
7th-1-Craftsman 12.20/1
8th-7-I'll Wrap It Up 30.70/1

Thanks! do these links work? http://www1.drf.com/formulator-web/F...ormance-race/5

What I'm looking at, Distance and purse which is 7 fur 200K, crucial facts in all races
turning to past performances I see speed ratings prior and after race results and give all horses their numbers using the bold and by adding the later two together. I am also concentrating on lifetimes figures to determine money won per start.
1 - 20k per start, 104 with front and early speed, perfect horse alot faster then last race
2 - 10K 102 speed
3- 10k 101 bad quitter
4- 30K 107 no minus horse
5 - 15K 90 & 103 speeds last race extremely good
6 - 26K 101 speed, classy horse but I don't like facing so much (front) speed here

Ticket#:2405709 Feb 16 11:38 AM	Feb 16 11:38:55 AM	RAC	Racing ticket #173037 Feb-16 SAX R5 10.00 SBR TRI 4/1,5/1,5	20.00 / 0.00
Ticket#:2405711 Feb 16 11:39 AM	Feb 16 11:39:37 AM	RAC	Racing ticket #173038 Feb-16 SAX R5 5.00 SBR TRI 4/1/5	5.00 / 0.00
Ticket#:2405712 Feb 16 11:40 AM	Feb 16 11:40:01 AM	RAC	Racing ticket #173039 Feb-16 SAX R5 2.00 SBR TRI 5/1,4/1,4	4.00 / 0.00

Don't think the race of the day is going to pay much today either so I'm passing.Being by Flatter dirt should be Kobe's Back's best surface.Even if he loses 5 of the 6 horses are 9-2 or less with the other 6-1.

They need to pick better races