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Dubai Carnival 2014

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#47

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Meydan
Race 1
5-Masamah 8-1--------------------------------3rd
8-Jamesie 8-1---------------------------------1st
11-Mujaazef 12-1----------------------------4th
Race 2
3-Dormello 15-1
2-Jutland 10-1
4-Certerach 12-1------------------------1st
9-Tanfeeth 20-1--------------------------3rd
Race 3
10-Free Wheeling 20-1-----------------------------2nd
11-Ocean Tempest 20-1
4-Solar Deity 8-1
13-Bertiewhittle 5-1
#52

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Quote Originally Posted by mikemca View Post
hit the 4th but probably won't pay much.Thought my long shot was home free making a huge move and opening up 4-5 lengths in the stretch but moved a tad early and got 4th
Quote Originally Posted by mikemca View Post
Race 4
8-Plantagenet 20-1---------------------------------4th
5-Windhoek 4-1--------------------------------------1st
10-Layali Al Andalus 8-1--------------------------2nd
Not bad

Exacta paid $59.60
#53

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Don't have a good read on this card.Will be re-evaluating on a race by race basis.


Meydan

Race 1
Haven't seen a huge field like this separated by so little yet this carnival with 14 of the 16 runners rated in between 120 and 127.That said two of the likely favorites are rated highest and appear most likely to progress of their last race.5-Mehree 6-1 making 2nd start of the cycle for De kock/Soumillion while getting back on turf is most likely imo but 4-Ahtoug 3-1 isn't far behind.The longer prices that interest me are 14-Take Ten, 15-Dungannon, and 16-Racy all are 12-1 ML but most likely go off higher.If Mehree really goes off at 6-1 I'll jump on that but otherwise probably key the 5 and 4 with the 14,15,16.I wouldn't be surprised with anyone in here though but Medicean Man is the one that scares me the most.

5-Mehree 6-1
4-Ahtoug 3-1
14-Take Ten 12-1
15-Dungannon 12-1
16-Racy 12-1

Race 2
Tricky race where the only stance I have is against Clon Brulee as one of the favorites.Like 7-Intrigo 5-1 and 10-Rebel Song 12-1 the most but 4-Ottoman Empire 8-1, 5-Regulation 12-1, and 2-Sahawar 12-1 .

7-Intrigo 5-1
10-Rebel Song 12-1
4-Ottoman Empire 8-1
5-Regulation 12-1
2-Sahawar 12-1

Race 3
On paper it's a Match race between 4-Flotilla 3-1 and 5-Certify 2-1 with 1-Mensoora 9-2 the only one with enough upside to compete.All 3 have been off a very long time so who knows if they are fit or need a race.Really sucks that it's only a 6 horse field as it could be a great spot to find an alternative but Shuruq is that alternative due to recency and 4-1 is way to short against the top 2.

4-Flotilla 3-1
5-Certify 2-1
1-Mensoora 9-2

Race 4
Seems pretty straightforward between 1-Mufarrh 8-1, 4-Zahee 5-1, and 10-Eastern Rules 6-1.Will oppose the US morning line fave 3-Tamarkuz 2-1 who is taking a huge hike in class.6-Santefisio 15-1 is the interesting bomb.

1-Mufarrh 8-1
4-Zahee 5-1
10-Eastern Rules 6-1
6-Santefisio 15-1

Race 5
Probably the toughest race to cap on the card.A lot of good horses in here with one of the best looking having a terrible draw in Brendan Bracken.In horizontals 1,2,3,4,8,10,12 could all be used so gl narrowing it down.To be honest I'm stabbing based on who the jockeys picked.I can't get a grasp on this one.

8-Maputo 5-1
12-Brendan Bracken 12-1
4-Tasaday 9-2
3-Trade Storm 10-1

Race 6
Running out of time but 2 bombs I'm using are 14-Moonlight Dash 20-1 and 10-Jawhar 12-1.I guess Haafaguinea and Saxo Jack are the 2 logical ones.
#58

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Last year's Dubai World Cup favorite Hunter's Light returns in the feature on Thursday but neither De Sousa or Barzalona opt to ride.Looks like a pretty good race with several horses aiming for the World Cup.Dunaden looks like a big player but has been racing at 1 1/2 mile or further just about every one of his 40 starts.Will be interesting to see how the cutback to 9 furlongs works.
#59

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Godolphin has a strong hand today with at least 1 but mostly 2 strong contenders in every race but the last.Might be a fun card for underneath horses that are keyed to one or two more likely runners.

The best rated are

Race 2-My Freedom
Race 3-Pretend
Race 4-Ihtimal
Race 5-Star Empire
Race 6-African Story
Race 7-El Estruendoso



Meydan

Race 2
Could be pretty straightforward with 10-Dragon Falls,14-Spirit Of Battle,7-My Freedom,and 11-Alnashmy.The winner is probably in that bunch but I'm going to try and figure out a way to get a couple likely big prices in an exacta or maybe even tri.

10-Dragon Falls 8-1
14-Spirit Of Battle 15-1
5-Russian Rock 10-1
3-Encipher 30-1
12-Alraihjan 12-1
Race 3
9-Pretend 5-2
11-Autumn Lily 8-1
8-Najm Suhail 15-1
5-He's No Saint 10-1
1-Journeyman 7-2
Race 4
1-Ihtimal 9-2
2-Magroora 15-1
9-Mensoora 6-1
5-Illuminating Dream 30-1
11-Sign Of Lucky 30-1
Race 5
1-Star Empire 6-1
13-Excellent Result 6-1
3-Certerach 4-1
5-Tenenbaum 12-1
Race 6
2-Dunaden 8-1
12-African Story 5-1
9-Heavy Metal 30-1
13-Artigiano 10-1
15-Surfer 15-1
Race 7
4-Chil The Kite 12-1
10-El Estruendoso 5-2
16-Gold Pearl 60-1
15-Banna Boirche 15-1
6-Spoil The Fun 12-1