Aqueduct Friday 2/7
Will be playing the Early Pick 5
Race 1- #4 Bridgeville
Comes out of the same race as the ML favorite Village Warrior which took place on Jan 9th, a day in which the rail was very strong. Village Warrior broke from post 7 of 9 and rider Rajiv Maragh really did a good job of getting him right to the rail. He saved ground until the top of the stretch where he was then produced on the outside and clunked up past Bridgeville whom finished 3rd. Bridgeville was caught 3 wide chasing the entire trip and was only 1 length behind Village Warrior at the finish. IMO Bridgeville ran significantly better of the 2.
So Im gonna toss Village Warrior in the pick 5. Just dont need this horse at a short price. If he beats me he beats me, Ive just seen enough of him. I will also use the Chad Brown trained 2nd time starter #1 Chrishi as well as #2Permanent Campaign who should be the early pace setter.
Win on 4
Using 1,2,4 in the pick 5
The 2nd race on paper is a virtual match race betweent the #1 Ivanovna and the #2 My Lucky Lieu. Of the 2 I prefer Ivanovna who has been facing better but she will have to overcome a low percentage rider. On the pick 5 I will also use longshot #5 Wildichi. She is about 10 beyer points away from the 2 favorites but I thought she ran well last race finishing 4th in a sprint at 84-1. Stretching out im hoping the rider sends hard and gets the lead and against a field of this quality why not?
Use 1,2,5 in pick 5
3rd Race- Completely wide open field of 6 IMO. I wanted to take the #1 Reggie D as the best horse but he is a dead closer in a race where there likely wont be much of a pace. The #5 Ten Items or Less was wide against the gold rail on Jan 9th and puts the blinkers on. He will probably be the speed.
Using ALL in the pick 5
4th Race- Will single the #1 Handy Stan who just cant lose on paper.
Use 1 in Pick 5
5th race- #4 Vinda
Lots to like about Vinda today.
- 1st off the claim for Rudy Rodriguez. Which is 27% over the past 5 years
- When he has a horse 1st off the claim and they are coming off of a 31-60 day layoff the stat jumps to a 34% win angle with a $2.99 Roi.
- This horse has back races to go to that would make him the clear 2nd best horse in this race.
- Lots of speed signed on here so she should get a nice setup
- Finally gets Pablo Fragoso off of her back and a real rider Cornelio Velasquez
#1 Heir to Dare is the horse to beat. She has speed but I dont think she is quite as fast as the #3 Insolvent whom just lost at 2/5 in her last start. Or the #5 The Royal Boot who is a dead send speed as well. Not sure what kind of trip Heir to Dare will work out with the rail draw so that is a bit of a concern but I cant see the 3 or 5 finishing infront of the 1 so I will use the 1 in the pick 5.
Win on 4
Using 1,4 in Pick 5
Pick 5 ticket
Race 1- 1,2,4
Race 2- 1,2,5
Race 3- ALL
Race 4- 1
Race 5- 1,4
$54 dollars ticket for 50 cent increment.
All pre scratches.