Saturday
Belmont
Race 1
The first 3 races on the card all have very tough favorites in Stanford,Wisecracker, and Competitive Edge so I'll just throw out a price horse to throw in or try w/p.Donworth/Stanford....Stanford/Donworth...This is a really shytty race to open a Belmont Stakes card with a 5 horse field. I guess if you are to make a play against these 2 it would be 4-Nonna's Boy 6-1 stretching out first time with speed. The scenario being he just runs everyone off their feet and has enough to last. It is a bonus that 1 1/16 mile races at Belmont are only 1 turn and 6-1 isn't too shabby.
4-Nonna's Boy 6-1
Race 2
If Japan runs well in race 1 it would bump 2-Wisecracker's 2-1 stock way up. Especially if Japan wins. Otherwise it's second verse same as the first with another Pletcher at a price 7-Tommy Macho 8-1 stretching out to route first time just like Nonna's Boy. Sure this one has been coming off the pace sprinting but stretching out should have enough speed and Javi will use it if it presents itself. Would use 4-Tiz Shea D 3-1 of the 2 faves as he is by far the classiest horse in here dropping out of 3 straight graded stakes to take on a bunch of horses that just broke their maiden. Plus K McLaughlin is on fire and while I may be playing with fire going against him he is bound to be way overbet , especially after hitting twice again on Friday.Last I have no idea how Gold Shield is 4-1 but 5-Gridley Here is 15-1.
7-Tommy Macho 8-1
Race 3
Not many ways to go in the 3rd and the opposite of race 2 happens here with the Pletcher/Competitive Edge probably taking all the money and the McLaughlin/Classy Class 12-1 a nice price. He finally gets back to sprinting after 5 straight routes(4 graded stakes). His only sprint race was his career debut on this track where he threw a very very fast figure for a 2 year old 1ster. With all the hype Competitive Edge has gotten it is a little bit odd the path Pletcher has taken since winning the G1 Hopeful. Maybe he doesn't think as much of him as the public does.
6-Classy Class 12-1
Race 4
Some question marks with the two favorites as Mosler may want further than this and it's usually a last ditch effort when you decide your million dollar buy is a turf sprinter.Plus he draws 13 . As for Power Alert this race was an audible as they originally wanted to run at Evangeline last week in a turf sprint that he would have towered over but steady rain changed their plans.The opposite of the other fave he drew 1 in a race filled with speed. All that speed sets up 10-Channel Marker 20-1 who oddly has never ran this distance despite closing with fury about 10 times at 5 and 5 1/2 furlongs.
10-Channel Marker 20-1
Race 5
On last year's form Untapable is 2-5 vs this field but she hasn't ran anywhere near those races in her two starts back this year. While she seems to be a bit off , 2-Wedding Toast 4-1 couldn't be doing any better.
2-Wedding Toast 4-1
5-Princess Violet 8-1
1-Rosalind 12-1
Last edited by mikemca; 06-06-15 at 10:23 AM.