Originally Posted by
mikemca
Oaklawn
Race 1
Hard to go against the Midwest/J Ness trained 2-Custer at 7-2 but the favorite 3-Bluegrass Type 5-2 seems like he doesn't like to win and hits the brakes in the stretch so I'll try to beat him.The 9-Strange Overtones 4-1 has some of the best figures in the field and has progressed steadily with each run.The long shot to use is 7-Bid's Reward 15-1 who has been closing strong without emptying the tank and adds blinkers so may be closer.If he is among the leaders turning for home I like the chances of him having the best kick.
EX BX 2,9,7
Win 7
Race 2
Looks chalky with the 7,5, and 1 likely to make up the exacta
Race 3
Exotics are likely to be huge.The 3-1 fave looks no better than the 30-1 bomb.I lean toward the 11-Wilson's Storm at 15-1 who has good figs and some speed to not get hung 5 wide into the first turn.The 3-Dark Ruler 12-1 has a terrible record at Oaklawn but may just have been in over his head throughout and while I'm trying to hit the lotto the 6-Calhoun Stonewall 20-1 comes out of the same race as the 11 which is likely to be discredited because it was a statebred race.Of the shorter prices the one that scares me is the outside drawn 12-Flexnow 6-1 who is a sporadic type but on best would crush these.
EX BX 11,3,6,12
Win 11
Race 4
No idea how to evaluate this field of bad horses and 1st time starters so I'll stab at some firsters 2-Hes A Cat 10-1,6-Cody Law 8-1, and 4-Mowgli's Dance 6-1.
EX BX 2,6,4
Race 5
6-Franks On Fire 20-1
Race 6
11-Stereo In Motion 9-2
9-Kick On 8-1
2-Bullcreekroad 9-2
4-Jumponthebandwagon 30-1(Can hit board at huge price)
Race 7
7-Seal Team Four 6-1
10-Stone Crazy 8-1
11-Transylvania Flash 12-1
Race 8
If this race falls apart with all the speed 2-Smokey Deputy 12-1 may have a chance.
Race 9
Baffert treats these Oaklawn stakes like they are the easy level on Madden.He sends 6-Super Ninety Nine 7-5 where he has been sending a couple horses the past years so he appears confident.10-Big Lute 6-1 got screwed on the draw or I would have possibly liked him on the win end but he is going to have to be used early.4-Texas Bling 12-1 did all the dirty work last race when beaten by some of these.
Race 10
Just a stab with 3-Rockin Romeo 10-1 on the MSW drop.
