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Another Thursday Nigh Sweep

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#1

Default Another Thursday Nigh Sweep

Now that I got that nasty taste out of my mouth after Sunday Texans game I'll move onto tonight.

Just few things that come to mind......Last year Oklahoma was listed as a 21 point favorite over Baylor. Some people would say that Oklahoma is a better team this year. Now i understand that this is a better Baylor team but are we saying that Baylor improved so much that they are 36 points better (-21 last yr, -15 this year)? Baylor 42-31. BTW....It's a little strange to me that Baylor moved up a whole point to 16 in just the last few hours.

Pick Oklahoma +16 / Under

I'm going to come right out and say it....Oregon is going to win tonight by 12 points. 42-30 Stanford passed for a total of 88 yards against a Oregon State team that looked absolutely terrible on defense last week. Stanford will have to get this done on the ground and I just don't see that happening this year. The Oregon defensive front is one of the better ones over these past few years. On top of that Stanford doesn't have much of a home advantage being that they couldn't even sell out the Pac 12 Championship last year. The damn mascot is a tree.

Pick Oregon -10.5 / Over

Onto Louisiana Laf....I been bouncing around with this pick all day. Troys defense looked terrible last week as the pass defenders looked lost all day. But will this really be a problem in the game? Because that's not a strength or go to for the Cajuns. Cajuns love to pound the rock setting the pass up for large gains. I'm leaning towards the Over as Troy wins this game 37-31.

Pick Troy +13.5 / Troy Over

GL
Last edited by Eric22174; 11-07-13 at 03:04 PM.
#3

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GL. First, let me say that Stanford is the most over-rated team in the most over-rated Conference in Football. Their offense has become non-eistant in their last three games, scoring just 65 points in those three games, games that include a loss to a 4-4 Utah team. That is the offense of the #5 team in the nation? I do not think so. Stanford's defense is going to have to play smash mouth football to stop Oregon. Oregon does not like smash mouth teams. UCLA held them to 21 points in three quarters, and UCLA is nowheres near as tough on defense as Stanford is. The total has dropped from 65 1/2 to 62. The best wager here is the under.

Oklahoma is a team that has a very one dimentional offense. They must run the ball to have any success at all against Baylor. OU lost to Texas, who has lost two non-con games, barely got past a terrible Kansas team, and gave up 30 points in an 8 point win at home against Texas Tech. Baylor has covered spreads of 27 1/2, 30, 27 1/2, 33, and 34 1/2 (against the same Kansas team that gave OU problems) while failing to cover at K-State as a 17 1/2 point pick. Baylor defeated OU outright in Norman last year as a 21 point dog. As long as the line stays under 17, it is hard to see OU covering the spread here.
#4

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Several times in recent years, the Sooners have taken their game to another level when many doubted their chances to win. Florida State (2011), Oklahoma State (2009, 2010) and Kansas State (2011) are prime examples. OU won those four games by an average of 21 points.

Baylor faces its first ranked opponent of 2013 in OU. BU is 5-4 over the last 2 seasons vs. ranked foes.
Last edited by Eric22174; 11-07-13 at 03:35 PM.
#6

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Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH View Post
GL. First, let me say that Stanford is the most over-rated team in the most over-rated Conference in Football. Their offense has become non-eistant in their last three games, scoring just 65 points in those three games, games that include a loss to a 4-4 Utah team. That is the offense of the #5 team in the nation? I do not think so. Stanford's defense is going to have to play smash mouth football to stop Oregon. Oregon does not like smash mouth teams. UCLA held them to 21 points in three quarters, and UCLA is nowheres near as tough on defense as Stanford is. The total has dropped from 65 1/2 to 62. The best wager here is the under.

Oklahoma is a team that has a very one dimentional offense. They must run the ball to have any success at all against Baylor. OU lost to Texas, who has lost two non-con games, barely got past a terrible Kansas team, and gave up 30 points in an 8 point win at home against Texas Tech. Baylor has covered spreads of 27 1/2, 30, 27 1/2, 33, and 34 1/2 (against the same Kansas team that gave OU problems) while failing to cover at K-State as a 17 1/2 point pick. Baylor defeated OU outright in Norman last year as a 21 point dog. As long as the line stays under 17, it is hard to see OU covering the spread here.
You are the king of misinformation. OU beat Baylor 42-34 LY. Check you facts before you come on here spouting your nonsense. I don't have a dog in this fight but at least stop giving people wrong info. You do this time and time again.
#7

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Stanford


PASSING SPLITS
NAME GP CMP/ATT YDS YDS/G TD LNG FUM LOST
Home record 4 58/89 685 171.3 6 42 0 0
Away record 4 53/95 861 215.3 7 57 0 0
vs AP ranked teams 4 41/62 478 119.5 4 39 0 0
vs BCS ranked teams 2 8/18 88 44 0 37 0 0
vs USA ranked teams 4 41/62 478 119.5 4 39 0 0
vs. Conference Teams 6 81/135 1134 189 8 57 0 0
vs. non-Conference Teams 2 30/49 412 206 5 46 0 0
In wins 7 96/157 1300 185.7 12 57 0 0
In losses 1 15/27 246 246 1 45 0 0
September 4 58/94 885 221.3 10 57 0 0
October 4 53/90 661 165.3 3 45 0 0
Final margin 0-7 2 27/47 346 173 2 45 0 0
Final margin 8-14 4 50/82 671 167.8 6 46 0 0
Final margin 15+ 2 34/55 529 264.5 5 57 0 0

RUSHING SPLITS
NAME GP CAR YDS YDS/G TD LNG FUM LOST
Home record 4 181 808 202 9 32 0 0
Away record 4 136 763 190.8 7 53 0 0
vs AP ranked teams 4 140 611 152.8 7 32 0 0
vs BCS ranked teams 2 33 185 92.5 3 32 0 0
vs USA ranked teams 4 140 611 152.8 7 32 0 0
vs. Conference Teams 6 242 1177 196.2 13 53 0 0
vs. non-Conference Teams 2 75 394 197 3 27 0 0
In wins 7 288 1428 204 15 53 0 0
In losses 1 29 143 143 1 43 0 0
September 4 164 872 218 8 53 0 0
October 4 153 699 174.8 8 43 0 0
Final margin 0-7 2 70 322 161 3 43 0 0
Final margin 8-14 4 166 814 203.5 9 32 0 0
Final margin 15+ 2 81 435 217.5 4 53 0 0

Explains itself.
#8

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Quote Originally Posted by Eric22174 View Post
Now that I got that nasty taste out of my mouth after Sunday Texans game I'll move onto tonight.

Just few things that come to mind......Last year Oklahoma was listed as a 21 point favorite over Baylor. Some people would say that Oklahoma is a better team this year. Now i understand that this is a better Baylor team but are we saying that Baylor improved so much that they are 36 points better (-21 last yr, -15 this year)? Baylor 42-31. BTW....It's a little strange to me that Baylor moved up a whole point to 16 in just the last few hours.

Pick Oklahoma +16 / Under

I'm going to come right out and say it....Oregon is going to win tonight by 12 points. 42-30 Stanford passed for a total of 88 yards against a Oregon State team that looked absolutely terrible on defense last week. Stanford will have to get this done on the ground and I just don't see that happening this year. The Oregon defensive front is one of the better ones over these past few years. On top of that Stanford doesn't have much of a home advantage being that they couldn't even sell out the Pac 12 Championship last year. The damn mascot is a tree.

Pick Oregon -10.5 / Over

Onto Louisiana Laf....I been bouncing around with this pick all day. Troys defense looked terrible last week as the pass defenders looked lost all day. But will this really be a problem in the game? Because that's not a strength or go to for the Cajuns. Cajuns love to pound the rock setting the pass up for large gains. I'm leaning towards the Over as Troy wins this game 37-31.

Pick Troy +13.5 / Troy Over

GL
You click clack ride and die wit u brotha
#9

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2013 Odds History for teams with the following closing lines


-16.5 11 9-2-0 81.8% 19 5-6-0 (ATS) 45.5%
-16 5 4-1-0 80.0% 10.2 1-4-0 (ATS) 20.0%
-15.5 1 1-0-0 100.0% 28 1-0-0 100.0%
-15 5 4-1-0 80.0% 15.8 1-4-0 20.0%
-14.5 6 6-0-0 100.0% 21.67 5-1-0 83.3%
-14 17 15-2-0 88.2% 15.35 9-8-0 52.9%
-13.5 15 13-2-0 86.7% 16.33 9-6-0 60.0%
-13 4 4-0-0 100.0% 18.75 2-2-0 50.0%
-12.5 12 7-5-0 58.3% 5.42 4-8-0 33.3%
-12 10 8-2-0 80.0% 16.1 6-4-0 60.0%
-11.5 6 5-1-0 83.3% 7.83 2-4-0 33.3%
-11 10 9-1-0 90.0% 20.2 8-2-0 80.0%
-10.5 9 5-4-0 55.6% 3.44 2-7-0 (ATS) 22.2%
#10

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Results Based on Closing Over/Under Line

All Teams
Closing Over/Under Game Count Record Over % Under % Push % Average Score
81 1 0-1-0 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 71.00
80 1 0-1-0 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 55.00
78.5 1 0-1-0 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 64.00
77.5 1 1-0-0 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 79.00
77 1 1-0-0 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 78.00
76.5 1 1-0-0 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 82.00
75.5 3 2-1-0 66.7% 33.3% 0.0% 84.00
75 3 0-3-0 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 57.33
74.5 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% 71.50
73.5 3 1-2-0 33.3% 66.7% 0.0% 58.33
73 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% 73.00
72.5 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% 77.00
71.5 3 1-2-0 33.3% 66.7% 0.0% 76.00
70.5 4 2-2-0 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% 64.00
70 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% 74.50
69.5 6 6-0-0 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 76.83
69 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% 56.50
68.5 5 2-3-0 40.0% 60.0% 0.0% 71.40
68 2 2-0-0 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 77.50
67.5 8 5-3-0 62.5% 37.5% 0.0% 75.38
67 6 3-3-0 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% 64.33
66.5 8 5-3-0 62.5% 37.5% 0.0% 63.88
66 6 2-3-1 33.3% 50.0% 16.7% 64.00
65.5 7 3-4-0 42.9% 57.1% 0.0% 65.86
65 3 0-3-0 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 48.33
64.5 10 5-5-0 50.0% 50.0% 0.0% 66.90
64 5 2-3-0 40.0% 60.0% 0.0% 57.60
63.5 9 3-6-0 33.3% 66.7% 0.0% 57.89
63 9 5-4-0 55.6% 44.4% 0.0% 61.78
62.5 14 8-6-0 57.1% 42.9% 0.0% 63.71
62 7 2-5-0 28.6% 71.4% 0.0% 59.57
61.5 3 3-0-0 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 67.67
61 7 3-3-1 42.9% 42.9% 14.3% 61.14
#12

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Quote Originally Posted by BigdaddyQH View Post
GL. First, let me say that Stanford is the most over-rated team in the most over-rated Conference in Football. Their offense has become non-eistant in their last three games, scoring just 65 points in those three games, games that include a loss to a 4-4 Utah team. That is the offense of the #5 team in the nation? I do not think so. Stanford's defense is going to have to play smash mouth football to stop Oregon. Oregon does not like smash mouth teams. UCLA held them to 21 points in three quarters, and UCLA is nowheres near as tough on defense as Stanford is. The total has dropped from 65 1/2 to 62. The best wager here is the under.

Oklahoma is a team that has a very one dimentional offense. They must run the ball to have any success at all against Baylor. OU lost to Texas, who has lost two non-con games, barely got past a terrible Kansas team, and gave up 30 points in an 8 point win at home against Texas Tech. Baylor has covered spreads of 27 1/2, 30, 27 1/2, 33, and 34 1/2 (against the same Kansas team that gave OU problems) while failing to cover at K-State as a 17 1/2 point pick. Baylor defeated OU outright in Norman last year as a 21 point dog. As long as the line stays under 17, it is hard to see OU covering the spread here.
I think you might be the DUMBEST turd I have ever seen on this site and brother that aint easy.