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Vaughany's MMA Picks...

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#1053

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Quote Originally Posted by snake11eyes View Post
Thanks captain obvious. Vaughany, what do you think about Marquardt/Benavidez parlay bet 300 get back 225.


Seems solid...but almost too solid to be true! Loveland did seem a bit bigger than Benavidez at weigh-ins and may have good enough wrestling to keep things interesting. Regarding Marquardt I'll be SHOCKED if he doesnt win this one...no doubt Marquardt is perennially overrated, but against a guy like Miller who is a small middleweight and who hasn't faced anybody with Marquardt's power I find it hard to imagine Miller beatin Nate. I'd actually be more confident with a Marquardt and Barboza double.
#1062

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anxious to see barbosa....but i noticed on one of the youtube vids i watched(vs jose figueroa),that his hands,although powerful,aren`t particularly fast.....

the legs are amazing....power in his hands....but the hands aren`t what i`d call quick...

he struggled with figueroa until he landed the big counter shot....was on his back for a good while taking some strikes...btw...figueroa isn`t a dog...he`s fighting in the main event at next week`s m-1 showtime card...

not worried about njok`s ground game at all....but he has fairly quick hands and dangerous muay thai......so i`m probably hedging both barbosa pars with a njok. play...either straight at roughly +250 or by k.o. at 440...

even though barbosa looks amazing,he`s facing a tall dangerous muay thai guy that has power...neither guy has much foot movement...neither seem to back up much....and even though barboza is talking ground game,i haven`t seen it in any videos...doesn`t mean it`s not there...

this should end violently....

g.l.

this goes 3 i`ll be shocked...
#1063

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Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
Im also on this one I'm afraid! I've got 5 units on Jon Jones at -160 opener but I intend to hedge this with Shogun KO of the Night. I'd recommend a play on FOTN over betting on either of them to win straight up!
V, Will you ask SBR to put the rest of the UFC lines up in the SBR sportsbook?
#1065

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Final Summary of UFC 128 Plays:

5 units on Jon Jones at -160 to win 3.125 units;

1 unit on Shogun KO of the Night at +700 to win 7 units;


2 units on Shogun/Jones Fight of the Night at +333.33 to win 6.667 units;

2 units on Faber/Wineland Fight of the Night at +600 to win 12 units;


6.218 units on Faber Not Inside the Distance at +105 to win 6.529 units;

1.5 units on Faber Submission of the Night at +500 to win 7.5 units;

0.043 units on Wineland KO of the Night at +3300 to win 1.419 units;

0.086 units on Wineland by decision at +800 to win 0.688 units;


1 unit on Schaub by decision at +400 to win 4 units;

0.5 units on Schaub KO of the Night at +700 to win 3.5 units;


9.091 units on Marquardt/Miller to go the distance at +110 to win 10 units;

9.8 units on Marquardt/Miller to not go the distance at +160 to win 15.68 units;

10 units on Marquardt/Miller to go the distance at Evens to win 10 units;

15 units on Marquardt/Miller to not go the distance at +165 to win 24.75 units;

10 units on Marquardt/Miller to go the distance at Evens to win 10 units;

5.981 units on Marquardt/Miller to not go the distance at +165 to win 9.885 units

10 units on Marquardt by decision at +162.5 to win 16.25 units;

0.062 units on Marquardt KO of the Night at +2100 to win 1.302 units;


25 units on Miller/Shalorus to go the distance at +120 to win 30 units;

3 units on Miller/Shalorus to go the distance at +110 to win 3.3 units (also have a free bet worth 5 units on the fight going distance but won't include this on my record on here);

6.218 units on Miller/Shalorus not going the distance at +160 to win 9.949 units;

6.218 units on Miller/Shalorus not going the distance at +150 to win 9.327 units;

7.5 units on Miller/Shalorus not going the distance at +140 to win 10.05 units;


Parlay (double): 1 unit on Barboza & Pyle/Almeida to go the distance to win 1.222 units;

0.064 units on Pyle by TKO/KO at +1400 to win 0.896 units;


0.186 units on Barboza by submission at +1200 to win 2.234 units;

0.086 units on Barboza by submission at +1000 to win 0.86 units;

0.1 units on Barboza by decision at +400 to win 0.4 units;


0.2 units on Benavidez by decision at +300 to win 0.6 units;

0.013 units on Benavidez/Loveland fight will finish the quickest at +1600 to win 0.208 units.
Last edited by Vaughany; 03-19-11 at 04:19 PM.