I got barboza by sub at +1200 at 5dimes then it jumped to 800 so I basically got +1000 too. Great call, thanks.
Yeah I added more to my +1000 on that +1200 line on 5dimes/Sportbet.Originally Posted by omalley21
I got barboza by sub at +1200 at 5dimes then it jumped to 800 so I basically got +1000 too. Great call, thanks.I expected it to come out at +650 to +800 range so the +1200 was too good to pass up on. Obviously a TKO/KO is most likely outcome and decision might be more likely as well, but there is always the chance that Barboza knocks down Njokuani and follows up with a rear-naked or something, or even the chance he takes Njokuani down and chokes him out. Even small chance Njokuani taps to strikes or technical submission due to leg strikes.
Love the Barboza by sub at +1200 prop! It's down to +350 now. I was lucky to get on it yesterday. Also on him ITD.
I already have a play on Marquardt, but looking at that decision prop also as I see Dan being tough to finish.
Last edited by sirchadwick1; 03-17-11 at 08:24 AM.
ha +1200 to +350 is some pretty crazy movement! Yeah I like Marquardt by decision most but I wouldnt rule out a finish. Miller hasn't fought anybody with Marquardt's striking power (Maia, Bisping, Salter, Sonnen) and he's got considerable size and strength advantage IMO which negate any perceived grappling advantage that Miller may have.Love the Barboza by sub at +1200 prop! It's down to +350 now. I was lucky to get on it yesterday. Also on him ITD.
I already have a play on Marquardt, but looking at that decision prop also as I see Dan being tough to finish.
Additional UFC 128 Plays:
0.186 units on Barboza by submission at +1200 to win 2.234 units;
0.086 units on Barboza by submission at +1000 to win 0.86 units;
0.2 units on Benavidez by decision at +300 to win 0.6 units;
0.064 units on Pyle by TKO/KO at +1400 to win 0.896 units.
hey vaughn, do you like Jones/ Shogun for fight of the night?
Yeah, I really like Jones/Shogun or Faber/Wineland to get FOTN and plan on making a play on both once all the odds are out.hey vaughn, do you like Jones/ Shogun for fight of the night?
Additional UFC 128 Plays:
9.091 units on Marquardt/Miller to go the distance at +110 to win 10 units;
9.8 units on Marquardt/Miller to not go the distance at +160 to win 15.68 units;Have added more to each of these plays:Adding:
4 units on Marquardt by decision at +162.5 to win 6.5 units.
10 units on Marquardt/Miller to go the distance at Evens to win 10 units;
15 units on Marquardt/Miller to not go the distance at +165 to win 24.75 units;
6 units on Marquardt by decision at +162.5 to win by decision at +162.5 to win 9.75 units.
So I'm good (guaranteed 13 to 14 units profit) as long as D.Miller doesn't win by decision.
def. jumping on shogun/jones FOTN...heard you today btw, good stuff man!
Yah, but if he does win, it'll be by decision.Have added more to each of these plays:
10 units on Marquardt/Miller to go the distance at Evens to win 10 units;
15 units on Marquardt/Miller to not go the distance at +165 to win 24.75 units;
6 units on Marquardt by decision at +162.5 to win by decision at +162.5 to win 9.75 units.
So I'm good (guaranteed 13 to 14 units profit) as long as D.Miller doesn't win by decision.
Additional UFC 128 Plays:
9.091 units on Marquardt/Miller to go the distance at +110 to win 10 units;
9.8 units on Marquardt/Miller to not go the distance at +160 to win 15.68 units;
6.218 units on Faber not inside the distance at +105 to win 6.529 units.
Will be hedging this with Faber by Submission or Faber Submission of the Night.
How can it be +110 to go the distance and +160 to not go the distance? Did the line change that much?
Two different books.How can it be +110 to go the distance and +160 to not go the distance? Did the line change that much?
Adding:
Parlay (double): 1 unit on Barboza & Pyle/Almeida to go the distance to win 1.222 units;
0.062 units on Marquardt KO of the Night at +2100 to win 1.302 units;
0.043 units on Wineland KO of the Night at +3300 to win 1.419 units.
my picks tonight are like this for the main card.
jon jones
eddie wineland
jim miller
nate marquardt
and leaning towards cro cop because i dont think schaub has enough knockout power and i see it ending like the pat berry fight. schaub gassing out finally and cro cop sneaking the vicotry
Which books?Two different books.
If you saw those odds you shoulda max bet those as its impossible to lose.
