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Vaughany's MMA Picks...

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#751

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Quote Originally Posted by urge2kill View Post
Didn't expect Jones to come out that big of a favorite.
It only makes sense from a bookmakers perspective. You put the odds out on Jones as a fav right after he has a massive win. Then they eat up all that juice. You put him out as a dog or as EV the day after the hype continues to build and you get all one sided action.
#759

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Quote Originally Posted by gym rat View Post
Great Job Vaughny! I'm wanting some of that European Book Action as well. Just one note, I think 99.99% of posters here understand that when you make a wager and win you also get your stake returned.
ha I know I know, but some of the books I use state total return rather than just profit so I just set out all my plays very simply and clearly on my spreadsheet so that there are no mistakes then copy and paste my plays to here.
#760

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You got some nice bets in mind, at first glance some of those who caught my attention was:

Vemola to beat Cane;

Sadollah to beat Ludwig;

Hathaway to beat McCray;

Will most likely be on the same bets (if the odds are decent/good). Hathaway is on a much higher level then McCray imo, Sadollahs muy thai looks fukkin slick as hell and if I can get Vemola at a good price, hopefully even as an slight underdog it might very well be worth a bigger bet.
#761

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Quote Originally Posted by Mr.Kitty View Post
You got some nice bets in mind, at first glance some of those who caught my attention was:

Vemola to beat Cane;

Sadollah to beat Ludwig;

Hathaway to beat McCray;

Will most likely be on the same bets (if the odds are decent/good). Hathaway is on a much higher level then McCray imo, Sadollahs muy thai looks fukkin slick as hell and if I can get Vemola at a good price, hopefully even as an slight underdog it might very well be worth a bigger bet.
Yeah I'm not sure Vemola will come out as dog but it shouldn't be worse than -120 to -140 range, and either way I think he will get a lot of action after that Petruzelli beatdown so gonna need to grab it early. If he does come out as a dog he will undoubtedly end up clear favourite by fight time so will be a great arb opportunity.

I see Sadollah as a better version of Osipczak who knocked Ludwig down in first round and IMO won the second round then gassed out and did nothin in 3rd round. Sadollah wont have these cardio issues and I think his stand-up is slightly better than Osipczak. Sadollah by decision will probly be my play.

Hathaway should absolutely dominate McCray and the odds will probably reflect this, I expect -280 to -320 range. Probly have to take a prop bet of Hathaway by decision or TKO as well.

BTW just noticed ur an Inter fan! Im a Juve fan...MASSIVE game this Sunday night coming up...I have a feeling that your gonna absolutely whoop us tho!
#763

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Yeah, Hathaway will be a big favorite so a prop bet is a must.

Oh you're a Juventus fan, im surprised, one would think you would be supporting a english club since you live there and got the PL etc. I am very much looking forward to the match on sunday all I can say is play the over. Preferably early, the odds will drop.
#765

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Quote Originally Posted by Mr.Kitty View Post
Yeah, Hathaway will be a big favorite so a prop bet is a must.

Oh you're a Juventus fan, im surprised, one would think you would be supporting a english club since you live there and got the PL etc. I am very much looking forward to the match on sunday all I can say is play the over. Preferably early, the odds will drop.
Yeah all my family are Arsenal fans, season ticket holders at Emirates, but I've just never liked the over-commercialism of English football or Americanization of it if u like. The atmosphere of an Italian game is just completely different to a Prem game, so much more visceral and intimidating...nothing like standing with the Drughi and having flares flying over your head coming from the rival Lazio fans! I started supporting Juve after we beat Ajax in Champs League final in 1996 and have stuck with them through thick and thin ever since...current squad is a shadow of the teams we used to have though before Calciopoli!

Yeah the over is a good call, Im expecting Inter to score at least 3. Also like betting on Felipe Melo to get booked, pretty much a sure thing!