lol i'm that way, too.Originally Posted by Vaughany
haha Im always in top 5 for a while then lose patience and get silly...start trying to bluff to much and shiit!
Eric Silva is going to beast through Charlie Brenneman it won't even be competitive
brenneman is going to go airhead turn over and get pounded out
well sir i liked martinez, going up it a bit seeing u like it alot.
Eric Silva is going to beast through Charlie Brenneman it won't even be competitive
brenneman is going to go airhead turn over and get pounded out
That is what I am hoping for. I think Silva inside the distance is a good bet also. I think he is going to make a statement against Charlie, similar to what Olivera did to Brookins or what McDonald did to Torress. Total domination of Brenniman is what I am predicting.
That fight is either gonna be all Silva or all Charlie--- I'm just gonna stay away and enjoy a knockout or yawn during a lay n pray.
I believe Brenneman could get Silva down, but could he do it before getting knocked out?
The smart play is to just go with the more experienced fighter as the underdog.
Even if Brenneman get's Silva down, I think Silva will be fine. Charlie will be fighting off Sub attempts the whole time, and I just don't see him holding Silva down for any significant amount of time. On the feet, Brenneman obviously has his hands full, and will have nothing for Silva. I capped Silva at -200 to -220 range, so I had to pound him at -170. I will be throwing more on him if the line moves in my favor. Calling a first round KO-TKO or Sub by Silva. And after this fight, (assuming Silva wins) we will be hard pressed to find Silva at anything less than -250.That fight is either gonna be all Silva or all Charlie--- I'm just gonna stay away and enjoy a knockout or yawn during a lay n pray.
I believe Brenneman could get Silva down, but could he do it before getting knocked out?
The smart play is to just go with the more experienced fighter as the underdog.
Also, curious what your guys' thoughts are on Renan Barao at -160 to -170 over Faber. I think this kid is a future champ. However, if Faber gets to anything around +180 to +200, I see value in taking him as the underdog. Thoughts?
Faber has nothing to offer in this fight. I already hit Barao hard at -150. Barao is a mix of Aldo and Cruz, which is a deadly combination for Faber. Faber is an old man in this sport and should receive a beat down.Also, curious what your guys' thoughts are on Renan Barao at -160 to -170 over Faber. I think this kid is a future champ. However, if Faber gets to anything around +180 to +200, I see value in taking him as the underdog. Thoughts?
If Faber gets near +200, I might play him for a bit. While Barao has a better chance of finishing Faber, he also leaves himself open much more than Cruz.Even if Brenneman get's Silva down, I think Silva will be fine. Charlie will be fighting off Sub attempts the whole time, and I just don't see him holding Silva down for any significant amount of time. On the feet, Brenneman obviously has his hands full, and will have nothing for Silva. I capped Silva at -200 to -220 range, so I had to pound him at -170. I will be throwing more on him if the line moves in my favor. Calling a first round KO-TKO or Sub by Silva. And after this fight, (assuming Silva wins) we will be hard pressed to find Silva at anything less than -250.
Also, curious what your guys' thoughts are on Renan Barao at -160 to -170 over Faber. I think this kid is a future champ. However, if Faber gets to anything around +180 to +200, I see value in taking him as the underdog. Thoughts?
From Ebersole's latest blog:
Athlete:
Brian Ebersole
Date:
June 4, 2012
Current Training Location:
Las Vegas, Nevada
Drysdale BJJ
Competition Countdown:
2 training weeks + fight week = June 22 Competition
This week’s list of goals:
Get submitted LESS often than last week
Do not get concussed in sparring sessions
Push through sprint sessions – test cardio
Stay out from underneath Forrest Griffin
I’ve just completed a week of training in Las Vegas, at Drysdale BJJ. It’s a fantastic facility with two mat spaces, allowing them to have two classes simultaneously. And there’s a whole lot of BJJ here, ranging from children’s classes through to pro competitors.
I’ve ventured to Las Vegas alone, which is a blessing and a curse. The blessing; I have complete freedom and silence to rest between sessions, with only food and laundry being my only outside concerns (well, and a little bit of work sending emails, writing blogs, and returning phone calls). The curse; well, I’m alone. Human beings crave contact. We’re social animals, and I’m no different. Needless to say, I’ve been on the phone a fair bit. And after training, I’ve lingered around the gym a little bit and have had a few passing conversations.
I’ve only been to Vegas for short visits, coming in from California to watch UFC bouts on multiple occasions. Being here for a longer time really doesn’t do the place justice. It’s got the reputation for being an around-the-clock adrenaline rush. Well, my previous visits were just that. Having friends around, having a fight myself, or watching a teammate compete, and then making the most of whatever portion of the weekend was left (and whatever $$ we had left); provided that adrenaline and excitement.
Being here alone, Vegas seems like any other city. The only thing that truly stands out is the architecture!!! It’s not exactly Rome, Italy; but Las Vegas was built for Gods. Everything is massive, most everything is pristine (don’t walk through alleys and backstreets if you don’t want to your idea of Vegas to be tarnished), and luxury & excess seem to rule the day. It’s impressive to look at, yes. But given that I’m a bit older, educated, and thoughtful — I certainly see the sinister side of the “magic”. Go watch a few documentaries, with an open mind, and I’m sure your view on many subjects will be altered too.
But back to training….. Monday, Wednesday, and Friday see a strong group of MMA competitors flocking to this academy, taking part in gruelling two-hour sessions. Equal parts technique drills and live application, my Wednesday and Friday were my most valued sessions. And if I were a fan, Friday would have been amazing. I was paired with Forrest Griffin during live grappling, and had him throw me around for 10 minutes. But, I’M NOT A FAN. I’M A FIGHTER. IT WAS NOT AMAZING. IT WAS THE LONGEST 10-MINUTES EVER!. He didn’t just lay on me, he kept a high pace. And that was my only strategy to defend myself, move more than him. Yeah, didn’t happen. The guy is a cardio machine, and seems to be quite ready for his UFC 148 bout vs. Tito Ortiz (their 3rd encounter and Tito’s retirement fight) on July 7th.
Last week, I predicted that I’d have a great week of training alongside some amazing athletes. And I did just that. I’m very grateful to have been welcomed into Drysdale BJJ by Robert himself, and his talented Muay Thai coach, Mark Beecher. Their classes are well-organized, their students and athletes are talented, and the room has a general feel to it that most clubs would dream of having. Gym owners and instructors talk of having a room of guys where ego does not come in as a cancer. This place has that feel. The athletes have such a level of respect, I believe, that they do not allow themselves to become selfish, act out, or close their minds to the lessons surrounding them.
One more week here, for now. I have a feeling I’ll be back in the future!
Fuckkk you and these lines!!! So jealous...Adding:
29 units on Martinez at -140 to win 20.714 units;
31.4 units on Martinez at -151 to win 20.724 units;
23.86 units on Papazian at -115 to win 20.758 units;
20 units on Papazian at -123 to win 16.2 units;
12.9 units on Salas at +160 to win 20.64 units.
I agree with all the picks dude, had my eye on salas as well and couldn't believe he opened as a decent dog... Prob gonnna have similar plays, although I won't be going as heavy on papazian, assuming I even get a decent line on that match or a lot of these (yet I'm sure you'll have the opportunity to make a nice arb on that line)... GL meng, I have a feeling we gonna be in some nice money this weekend
Also liking pyle and hect, thoughts? think pyle is the exact type of fighter than always gives neer fits, except for the fact that he's probably the bigger than past opponents who can continuously ground neer and control him on the mat. Yet I'm worried that neer opens a cut or something, and I have seen pyle crumble when under pressure so it is a bit scary, but on paper and when comparing past opponents of neer this seems like pyle's win all day..(opponents who were much smaller and imo some with less skilled level of tds and grappling ability - I don't think neer has drastically improved his game since those fights either - he just hasn't fought that type of fighters since his current win streak)... I think pierson is just bad (not to discredit him), and old, and seems like he doesn't do any one thing too special. hect isn't a stud by any means, but I think he's a little fresher, younger, and more explosive than pierson, and probably does everyhting he does just a little better. Both have boxing background, but pierson doesn't seem to have stopping power where hect looks like he can do some damage if he lands clean... Both are wrestlers, but gotta go with American wrestling... Torn on this and I'll prob stay away as I like martinez, pyle, and papazian more as favorites...
But yea like pyle and hect and I'm curiosu what some of you think about these matches...?
Agree 100%... I can't get the leone or escovedo fights out of my mind... Renan didn't look like the world beater in those (and even against scotty j I wasn't too impressed). He looked like the next big thing in other fights, and I agree he is a stud and deserves this fight, but faber has looked better as of late imo... Subbing bowles and mizugaki is no joke and imo 10x more than anythign barao has done as of late. Fought a damn close 5 rounds against cruz (sweating the shit outta that one as I had about 1100 on cruz in that!!).. And wineland fight was tough and impressed with faber's fight iq...Faber's speed is better than anyone renan has faced, and imo renan's speed and fluidityy both on the feet and in scrambles has given him an advantage over other opponents, an advantage he might not have here...If Faber gets near +200, I might play him for a bit. While Barao has a better chance of finishing Faber, he also leaves himself open much more than Cruz.
Stylistically this match def favors renan and I think he's the rightful fav and 'pick on paper', but man I can't not bet on a proven veteran, one with a very well rounded and fine tuned skill set, like an underdog in faber. The Cali kid gets to +175 or better I'm on it for sure.
Last edited by MMAbetMASTA; 06-06-12 at 06:44 PM.
Pyle might not make weight
curious why everyone is so high on salas. means showed some great tdd his last fight.
^ thiscurious why everyone is so high on salas. means showed some great tdd his last fight.
Well I can't comment on hecht/pierson because I haven't seen enough of those guys. In what I have seen neither have exhibited much talent, I guess if forced to pick the slight lean goes to hecht but I won't be playing the -165 line.Fuckkk you and these lines!!! So jealous...
But yea like pyle and hect and I'm curiosu what some of you think about these matches...?
As far as the pyle fight, I actually can say that I have watched a lot of footage on both guys over the years and then recently watched more tape again for the purpose of capping their friday bout. Initially I was favoring pyle but after re-watching each of both of their last 5 fights, I am seriously questioning why most ppl are big on him. Both men have average striking and I def wouldn't say pyle has a definitive edge on the feet, I'd say it's close to even. (and yes, this is still taking into consideration the fact that pyle has faced tougher opposition). On the ground I will agree pyle has the edge (neers wrestling is weak) but neers jitz game is no joke and is very solid. In light of these observations I'd say a small play on neer by decsion at +500 is justified, or to stay away completely. However, if someone could provide a reasonable argument to justify the -190 line on pyle, I'm always open to opinions with the ability to influence me one way or the other. Please feel free to disagree with me ppl, I actually welcome it because it helps me be secure in my pick. Gabe, don't worry I don't ostracize ppl for politely disagreeing
This is just how I see things at the moment subject to change.
Last edited by fosho14; 06-07-12 at 01:45 AM.
