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Vaughany's MMA Picks...

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#6061

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Quote Originally Posted by Rubber Guard View Post

Looks like Oliveria has dropped all the way to -180 from the -300 opener. I think he wins, but I am a big fan and may be bias. His guard is trouble for anyone. And his striking is better than Brookins'. I like him a lot at 145lbs.
I'm right with you, love the way oliveria fights to win and always looks for the finish. It could be argued that this could also be a criticism of his because he gets over zealous at times and has been caught both standing and on the ground, but I feel like he matches up very very well with someone like Brookins. Oliveira will have the clear cut striking advantage and jui-juitzu edge as well. He may however find himself being smothered to death by brookins wrestling pedigree and top control. It's kind of similar to the diego brandao and elkins fight in that it comes down to whether or not you think brookins will be able to implement his wrestling enough to maintain control through out 3 rounds and I certainly don't see brookins finishing oliveria. Personally I think oliveira is much too well rounded and will either hurt brookins with strikes or lock up a sub. My pick is Oliveria and I think -180 is very fair.
Last edited by fosho14; 05-29-12 at 02:03 PM.
#6066

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I stopped listening to Linkin Park back in 2007 and I still want to go to one of their Live shows to relive their golden days. Good stuff.

And to stay relevant, I'm on Oliveira at -170 for 5u. Plan on adding 5u more if he drops to -150. I just don't see Brookins wanting to play on the ground w/ him and his standup is superior for sure. Not sure if he can get the sub, but I like his chances to win the decision.
#6067

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Quote Originally Posted by sirchadwick1 View Post
I stopped listening to Linkin Park back in 2007 and I still want to go to one of their Live shows to relive their golden days. Good stuff.

And to stay relevant, I'm on Oliveira at -170 for 5u. Plan on adding 5u more if he drops to -150. I just don't see Brookins wanting to play on the ground w/ him and his standup is superior for sure. Not sure if he can get the sub, but I like his chances to win the decision.
yeah im gonna hold out till after weigh-ins and see if the line has improved anymore
#6068

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UFC 146 Review:


Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
Summary of UFC 146 plays:


7.97 units on Hardy at -125 to win 6.376 units;


Parlay: 31.12 units on Rivera (-240), Lawlor (-225), & JDS/Mir to Not Go the Distance (-750) to win 41.052 units;


Parlay: 12.486 units on Rivera (-240), TJ Grant (-390), Melendez (-440), & Not Mir by Decision (-4050) to win 15.463 units;



Parlay: 31.055 units on Not Lopez by Submission (-3600), Not Cerrone by TKO/KO (-1890), Not Korean Zombie by TKO/KO (-1155), Melendez (-440), Not Hunt by Decision (-1872) (VOID), Not Antonio Silva by Decision (-1750), & Not Mir by Decision (-2300) to win 21.022 units;


Parlay: 6.235 units on Not Stephens by Submission (-2330), Melendez (-460), Not Mir by Decision (-2300), & Belfort Inside the Distance (-177) to win 6.694 units;


Parlay: 6.244 units on Jabouin/Hougland Starts Round 2 (-295), Not Stephens by Submission (-2330), JDS Inside the Distance (-365), & Belfort/Wanderlei to Not Go the Distance (-400) to win 7.641 units;


Parlay: 6.371 units on Johnson/Struve to Not Go the Distance (-300), Miocic/Del Rosario Starts Round 2 (-235), & Not Herman by Submission (-2795) to win 6.172 units;


Parlay: 6.371 units on Johnson/Struve to Not Go the Distance (-300), & Brenneman/Silva to Go the Distance (-135) to win 8.416 units;


Parlay: 6.321 units on Not Cormier by Submission (-1660), Barboza (-520), JDS/Mir to Not Go the Distance (-900), & Belfort/Wanderlei to Not Go the Distance (-400) to win 4.777 units;


6.373 units on Barboza/Varner to Go the Distance at +135 to win 8.604 units;


Parlay: 6.193 units on Hathaway/Krauss to Go the Distance (-210), Koscheck/Hendricks Starts Round 2 (-595), Miller/Diaz Starts Round 2 (-885), & JDS/Mir to Not Go the Distance (-475) to win 8.195 units;


Parlay: 6.375 units on JDS/Mir to Not Go the Distance (-900), Not Kampmann Inside the Distance (-447), Machida (-290), & Aldo (-530) to win 7.481 units;


Parlay: 12.752 units on JDS/Mir to Not Go the Distance (-900), Stout (-300), & Belfort/Wanderlei to Not Go the Distance (-400) to win 10.863 units;


6.332 units on JDS in Round 1 at +185 to win 11.714 units.



Total stake:
137.716 units

Return:
228.154 units

Profit:
+90.438 units


This total profit includes 6.132 units from following parlay that was settled due to Belfort pulling out of Wanderlei fight...


Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post

Parlay: 9.284 units on Not Hathaway Inside the Distance (-550), Not Barry by Submission (-665), Not Belcher by Submission (-1920), Not Hendricks by Submission (-6930), Miller/Diaz Starts Round 2 (-782), & Belfort/Wanderlei to Not Go the Distance (-260) to win 11.753 units;

And still have three following parlays ongoing:


Parlay: 12.752 units on JDS/Mir to Not Go the Distance (-900), Stout (-300), & Belfort/Wanderlei to Not Go the Distance (-400) (VOID) to win 10.863 units;


Parlay: 6.375 units on JDS/Mir to Not Go the Distance (-900), Not Kampmann Inside the Distance (-447), Machida (-290), & Aldo (-530) to win 7.481 units;


Parlay: 6.371 units on Johnson/Struve to Not Go the Distance (-300), & Brenneman/Silva to Go the Distance (-135) to win 8.416 units.
Last edited by Vaughany; 05-30-12 at 08:54 AM.
#6070

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Parlay: 31.12 units on Rivera (-240), Lawlor (-225), & JDS/Mir to Not Go the Distance (-750) to win 41.052 units;

Parlay: 31.055 units on Not Lopez by Submission (-3600), Not Cerrone by TKO/KO (-1890), Not Korean Zombie by TKO/KO (-1155), Melendez (-440), Not Hunt by Decision (-1872) (VOID), Not Antonio Silva by Decision (-1750), & Not Mir by Decision (-2300) to win 21.022 units;


Bam!

And I hate Vitor too
#6071

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Quote Originally Posted by BIGDAY View Post
Her she is. It was between this and banging my fist into a tin shed... But I am a sukker for his Gaming and control board vids...

Happy Roasting Coach...

#6075

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Hey man, don't mean to bug you and I know I asked in teh other thread, but you seemed pretty knowledgeable on jury both this season and the other season... What are your thoughts on the saunders fight??? I know you might not be playing him at that price, but I still think its worth it at -300 ish because he has him beat in every part of the game imo (jury's cardio is a bit of a concern due to all the finishes / lack of decisions but not major)