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Vaughany's MMA Picks...

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#3926

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Quote Originally Posted by blumpkin View Post
Yo V, curious if you could give us a breakdown on the Maia fight. if you already did i apologize.
Most my plays on this rely on it going at least a round. I'm pretty confident this one goes the distance. A lot depends on whether Weidman is confident enough to use his wrestling offensively. From seeing and reading interviews with him and Danaher they would suggest that he is confident that he can take Maia down and not get submitted and I tend to agree. With him coming in on short notice I expect Weidman to look to just control him on the ground and try and steal rounds with takedowns and perhaps hold Maia agaisnt the fence just to show "octagon control" and get the nod from the judges. Basically I like Weidman to get the decision. Small chance of a TKO from Weidman through GnP but unlikely.
#3928

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Adding:


Parlay: 6.362 units on Juventus/Udinese: Either team to Not Score 4 or more goals (-927), Maia/Weidman to Start Round 2 (-488), Sonnen/Bisping to Start Round 2 (-675), & Evans/Davis to Start Round 2 (-403) to win 5.809 units;


Parlay: 0.636 units on Juventus (-179), Maia/Weidman to Start Round 2 (-488), & Napoli/Genoa Over 2.5 Goals (-111) to win 1.635 units.


5 units on Phil Davis SOTN at +1000 to win 50 units;

0.125 units on Phil Davis SOTN at +1200 to win 1.5 units;

hedged with:

35 units on Not Phil Davis by Submission at -670 to win 5.224 units.



If Mr Wonderful wins by Submission he will get SOTN seeing as it's main event, Rashad has never been submitted, and he's the underdog.

Also got Not Maia Submission of the Night at -420, and Maia SOTN at +800 and +900 so will make a risk free 21.8 units profit if Maia gets SOTN, or 0.316 units if not.
Last edited by Vaughany; 01-28-12 at 11:27 AM.
#3929

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Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
ha Nice one Extras was superb. Where u from btw?
Yeah I really liked the "Christmas special" ending also. Was surprised with Gervais' acting. Touching

Haha, I'm from Denmark, the 'cheers mate' just seemed natural. Must be all the UK based comedies I have been wathcing lately

Btw. The place I use for betting is really crappy. I am about to switch to another one. There I can only choose winner of the fights.

My picks this time have been.

Moderate on Sonnen
Moderate on Rashad
Small on Maia (Because of the odds)
Small on Roop (Again, favourable odds)

Otherwise not alot of value on this card imo. I have a few singles for some strong underdogs, but it's just small amounts.
#3930

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Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
Adding: Parlay: 6.362 units on Juventus/Udinese: Either team to Not Score 4 or more goals (-927), Maia/Weidman to Start Round 2 (-488), Sonnen/Bisping to Start Round 2 (-675), & Evans/Davis to Start Round 2 (-403) to win 5.809 units; Parlay: 0.636 units on Juventus (-179), Maia/Weidman to Start Round 2 (-488), & Napoli/Genoa Over 2.5 Goals (-111) to win 1.635 units. 5 units on Phil Davis SOTN at +1000 to win 50 units; 0.125 units on Phil Davis SOTN at +1200 to win 1.5 units; hedged with: 35 units on Not Phil Davis by Submission at -670 to win 5.224 units. If Mr Wonderful wins by Submission he will get SOTN seeing as it's main event, Rashad has never been submitted, and he's the underdog. Also got Not Maia Submission of the Night at -420, and Maia SOTN at +800 and +900 so will make a risk free 21.8 units profit if Maia gets SOTN, or 0.316 units if not.
Damn V, always quick on the draw. Were both of the Maia SOTN bets on the same sportsbook?