That was a thing of beauty.
Congrats on your solid start. Best of luck the rest of the night
As a slight hedge to Schafer play I'm adding:
Parlay: 1.605 units on Rivera/Schafer Under 2.5 Rounds (-205), Not Guillard by Submission (-11000), Ellenberger (-255), & Ben Henderson (+105) to win 5.272 units.
Rivera has nothing to lose as he's retiring so will probably be aggressive and look for the finish. Hopefully Schafer will use this to his advantage and get the takedown and finish within first two rounds. If it does get past mid way point one of them will probably be gassed out by end of second round - hopefully Rivera.
Gracias mi amigo.Originally Posted by MexicanStallion
Congrats on your solid start. Best of luck the rest of the night
Parlay: 1.605 units on Rivera/Schafer Under 2.5 Rounds (-205), Not Guillard by Submission (-11000), Ellenberger (-255), & Ben Henderson (+105) to win 5.272 units.
How much does the -11000 add to the price?
Barely anything...just did it for shits and giggles! Miller aint tapping to strikes son!How much does the -11000 add to the price?
Enjoy that extra 60 cents! 61 to be exact!
Summary of UFC on FX 1 plays:
0.583 units on Jim Miller by Submission at +220 to win 1.283 units;
1.2 units on Neer at +130 to win 1.56 units;
10 units on Neer at +105 to win 10.5 units;
4.286 units on Neer Inside the Distance at +210 to win 9.001 units;
hedged with:
3.461 units on Ludwig/Neer to Go the Distance at +130 to win 4.499 units;
0.229 units on Neer by Submission at +600 to win 1.374 units;
0.5 units on Neer by Submission at +800 to win 4 units;
1.25 units on Morecraft by Submission at +600 to win 7.5 units;
2.835 units on Barry/Morecraft to Not go the Distance at -225 to win 1.26 units;
2.835 units on Barry/Morecraft to End Under 2.5 Rounds at -225 to win 1.26 units;
Parlay (double): 5 units on Camoes (-300) & Schafer (-150) to win 6.111 units.
Have a guaranteed 11.88 units (and possible 14.17 units) profit from the Rigondeux/Ramos boxing fight so that will be a nice back up in case Ludwig spoils the party. Also after arbing out with Pineda at -120 I now have a risk free play on Schilling for 2 units profit if he wins or overall stake back if Pineda wins. Will make risk free 1.567 units profit if Miller/Guillard goes distance as took that at +200 and arbed out with Not distance at -162.5 and -187.5. Also have following parlay which I won't include on my record as it involves some soccer plays as well:
5 units on Camoes (-300), Ivory Coast to beat Sudan (-450), & Senegal Draw No Bet against Zambia (-400) to win 5.185 units.
Just got Ludwig at +140 and +135 and Neer at Evens and -110 so will now make risk free 12 units if Ludwig wins!
Lot of late money coming in on Neer who is -150 to 165 range now.
Adding:
3.371 units on Shalorus at -105 to win 3.21 units.
So you're backing off your biggest play to make a risk free 12 units? How many units do you win if he still wins?
Well not really backing off because I'll still make the same as what I would of - just being smart. Depends how he wins but at least 12 or 13 units. If he wins by Sub will be another 4 or 5 on top of that.So you're backing off your biggest play to make a risk free 12 units? How many units do you win if he still wins?
Shalorus is horrible...needs to be cut!
No kidding. Guess I was lucky in getting Neer at +130. I think he wins though and will ride Neer in this one.Just got Ludwig at +140 and +135 and Neer at Evens and -110 so will now make risk free 12 units if Ludwig wins!
Lot of late money coming in on Neer who is -150 to 165 range now.
Another 4.5 units profit if Neer wins after adding more to Neer at -110 and arbing with Ludwig at +135.
Neer gets the win and sub and Miller gets the sub..icing on the cake! Bit annoyed I didnt have a big play on Miller - even told Nick Kalikas I'd play him at -150 but never pulled the trigger. His grappling and will to win is just on a whole different level - especially against likes of Guillard.
