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Vaughany's MMA Picks...

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#3004

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Quote Originally Posted by FindTheLock View Post
v if u had a chance to arb out of your cerrone bet already would you do it or let it ride?
I got Cerrone at +135 opener so no way Im arbing out...if I had 3 times the amount that I have on it then I probably would of arbed out but no point with just over 6 units on it...just gonna let it ride
#3010

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Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
Summary of UFC 137 plays:


6.479 units on Cerrone at +135 to win 8.747 units;


6.48 units on Palaszewski at +240 to win 15.552 units;

2.451 units on Griffin/Palaszewski to Go the Distance at -187.5 to win 1.307 units;


6.376 units on Nelson/Cro-Cop to Go the Distance at +250 to win 15.95 units;

0.39 units on Nelson/Cro-Cop to Go the Distance at +350 to win 1.365 units;

0.455 units on Nelson/Cro-Cop to Go the Distance at +300 to win 1.365 units;

0.195 units on Nelson by Decision at +700 to win 1.365 units;

0.75 units on Cro-Cop by Decision at +1600 to win 12 units;

0.2 units on Nelson Submission of the Night at +2000 to win 4 units;


Parlay: 2.5 units on Baczynski (-138), Koch (-175), & BJ Penn (-125) to win 9.714 units;


1.778 units on Penn/Diaz to Go the Distance at +150 to win 2.667 units;

0.304 units on Penn/Diaz to Go the Distance at +110 to win 0.334 units;

0.347 units on Diaz by Decision at +400 to win 1.388 units;

0.455 units on Diaz by Decision at +300 to win 1.365 units;

0.394 units on Penn/Diaz FOTN at +350 to win 1.379 units;


Parlay (double): 6.376 units on Penn/Diaz to Go the Distance (-195), & Henderson/Guida to Go the Distance (-210) to win 7.863 units;


Parlay: 6.343 units on Griffin/Palaszewski Starts Round 2 (-675), Not Siver by Submission (-2120), Not Roop by Submission (-4740), Nelson/Cro-Cop Starts Round 2 (-306), Diaz/Penn Starts Round 2 (-670), & Not Guida Inside the Distance (-1282) to win 6.457 units;


Parlay: 15.5 units on Vera (-370), Griffin/Palaszewski Starts Round 2 (-650), & Ben Henderson (-230) to win 17.096 units;


Parlay: 3.106 units on Carmont (+115), Vera (-400), Not Cro-Cop by Submission (-5125), & Not Roop by Submission (-5640) to win 5.555 units;


Parlay: 1.55 units on Not Siver Inside the Distance (-675), Hioki/Roop to Go the Distance (+120), Not Filipovic Inside the Distance (-1160), & Not Diaz in Round 1 (-1425) to win 3.001 units;


Parlay (double): 5 units on Jacoby (Evens) & Vera (-450) to win 7.222 units;

0.675 units on Starks by Decision at +200 to win 1.35 units;


Parlay (Trebles from 4): 0.4 units on Jacoby by TKO/KO (+250), Nijem/Downs to Go the Distance (Evens), Camozzi/Carmont to Go the Distance (-137.5), & Penn/Diaz to Go Over 1.5 Rounds at +187.5 to win 5.553 units;


0.333 units on Hioki by Submission at +1200 to win 3.996 units;

1 unit on Hioki by Submission at +300 to win 3 units;

0.585 units on Hioki by Submission at +230 to win 1.345 units;

0.833 units on Hioki/Roop to End by Submission at +600 to win 4.998 units;

1.389 units on Hioki/Roop to End by Submission at +225 to win 3.125 units;

1.063 units on Hioki/Roop to Not Go the Distance at +125 to win 1.329 units;

4.2 units on Nelson (-220) & Not Hioki by Submission (-180) to win 5.292 units (Acts as a semi-hedge to my Hioki by Submission plays);

0.1 units on Roop by Decision at +900 to win 0.9 units;

0.043 units on Roop KO of the Night at +3500 to win 1.505 units;


0.1 units on Mitrione/Kongo to be Quickest Ending Fight of the Night at +1400 to win 1.4 units;

0.667 units on Mitrione KO of the Night at +750 to win 5.002 units;

Also have a risk-free arb which will net me 5.814 units profit if Mitrione/Kongo goes the distance (+215), or 0.219 units profit if it doesn't go the distance (-175);


0.1 units on Cerrone/Siver to be Quickest Ending Fight of the Night at +1400 to win 1.4 units.


Best of luck all
Adding:


Parlay: 1.859 units on Nelson by TKO/KO (+140), Benson Henderson (-230), & Mir (-260) to win 7.006 units.
#3011

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UFC 137 Results:

Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
Summary of UFC 137 plays:


6.479 units on Cerrone at +135 to win 8.747 units;


6.48 units on Palaszewski at +240 to win 15.552 units;


2.451 units on Griffin/Palaszewski to Go the Distance at -187.5 to win 1.307 units;


6.376 units on Nelson/Cro-Cop to Go the Distance at +250 to win 15.95 units;

0.39 units on Nelson/Cro-Cop to Go the Distance at +350 to win 1.365 units;

0.455 units on Nelson/Cro-Cop to Go the Distance at +300 to win 1.365 units;

0.195 units on Nelson by Decision at +700 to win 1.365 units;

0.75 units on Cro-Cop by Decision at +1600 to win 12 units;

0.2 units on Nelson Submission of the Night at +2000 to win 4 units;



Parlay: 2.5 units on Baczynski (-138), Koch (-175), & BJ Penn (-125) to win 9.714 units;


1.778 units on Penn/Diaz to Go the Distance at +150 to win 2.667 units;

0.304 units on Penn/Diaz to Go the Distance at +110 to win 0.334 units;

0.347 units on Diaz by Decision at +400 to win 1.388 units;

0.455 units on Diaz by Decision at +300 to win 1.365 units;

0.394 units on Penn/Diaz FOTN at +350 to win 1.379 units;



Parlay (double): 6.376 units on Penn/Diaz to Go the Distance (-195), & Henderson/Guida to Go the Distance (-210) to win 7.863 units;


Parlay: 6.343 units on Griffin/Palaszewski Starts Round 2 (-675), Not Siver by Submission (-2120), Not Roop by Submission (-4740), Nelson/Cro-Cop Starts Round 2 (-306), Diaz/Penn Starts Round 2 (-670), & Not Guida Inside the Distance (-1282) to win 6.457 units;


Parlay: 15.5 units on Vera (-370), Griffin/Palaszewski Starts Round 2 (-650), & Ben Henderson (-230) to win 17.096 units;



Parlay: 3.106 units on Carmont (+115), Vera (-400), Not Cro-Cop by Submission (-5125), & Not Roop by Submission (-5640) to win 5.555 units;


Parlay: 1.55 units on Not Siver Inside the Distance (-675), Hioki/Roop to Go the Distance (+120), Not Filipovic Inside the Distance (-1160), & Not Diaz in Round 1 (-1425) to win 3.001 units;



Parlay (double): 5 units on Jacoby (Evens) & Vera (-450) to win 7.222 units;

0.675 units on Starks by Decision at +200 to win 1.35 units;


Parlay (Trebles from 4): 0.4 units on Jacoby by TKO/KO (+250), Nijem/Downs to Go the Distance (Evens), Camozzi/Carmont to Go the Distance (-137.5), & Penn/Diaz to Go Over 1.5 Rounds at +187.5 to win 5.553 units;


0.333 units on Hioki by Submission at +1200 to win 3.996 units;

1 unit on Hioki by Submission at +300 to win 3 units;

0.585 units on Hioki by Submission at +230 to win 1.345 units;

0.833 units on Hioki/Roop to End by Submission at +600 to win 4.998 units;

1.389 units on Hioki/Roop to End by Submission at +225 to win 3.125 units;

1.063 units on Hioki/Roop to Not Go the Distance at +125 to win 1.329 units;


4.2 units on Nelson (-220) & Not Hioki by Submission (-180) to win 5.292 units (Acts as a semi-hedge to my Hioki by Submission plays);

0.1 units on Roop by Decision at +900 to win 0.9 units;

0.043 units on Roop KO of the Night at +3500 to win 1.505 units;


0.1 units on Mitrione/Kongo to be Quickest Ending Fight of the Night at +1400 to win 1.4 units;

0.667 units on Mitrione KO of the Night at +750 to win 5.002 units;


Also have a risk-free arb which will net me 5.814 units profit if Mitrione/Kongo goes the distance (+215), or 0.219 units profit if it doesn't go the distance (-175);


0.1 units on Cerrone/Siver to be Quickest Ending Fight of the Night at +1400 to win 1.4 units.


Best of luck all
Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
Adding:


Parlay: 1.859 units on Nelson by TKO/KO (+140), Benson Henderson (-230), & Mir (-260) to win 7.006 units.

Review:


Total stake: 72.541 units

Return: 76.878 units

Profit: +4.337 units (+10.151 units inc' risk-free arb)


And still have the following two parlays pending:


Parlay (double): 6.376 units on Penn/Diaz to Go the Distance (-195), & Henderson/Guida to Go the Distance (-210) to win 7.863 units;

Parlay: 1.859 units on Nelson by TKO/KO (+140), Benson Henderson (-230), & Mir (-260) to win 7.006 units.
Last edited by Vaughany; 10-29-11 at 11:44 PM.
#3012

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Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
UFC 137 Results:






Review:


Total stake: 72.541 units

Return: 76.878 units

Profit: +4.337 units (+10.151 units inc' risk-free arb)


And still have the following two parlays pending:


Parlay (double): 6.376 units on Penn/Diaz to Go the Distance (-195), & Henderson/Guida to Go the Distance (-210) to win 7.863 units;

Parlay: 1.859 units on Nelson by TKO/KO (+140), Benson Henderson (-230), & Mir (-260) to win 7.006 units.

Green is Money! Nice work as always.