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Vaughany's MMA Picks...

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#2733

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Hey Vaughny how do you like these possible bets and props...

Aldo inside the distance at -160, Stephens by KO at +575, Guillard wins by KO at -150, Aldo wins by submission at +1142, Stann wins inside the distance at +329, and Frankie Edgar wins in 5th round at +5000 and Sonnen wins in third round at +1950 for shits and giggles.
#2734

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Quote Originally Posted by Vitooch View Post
Hey Vaughny how do you like these possible bets and props...

Aldo inside the distance at -160, Stephens by KO at +575, Guillard wins by KO at -150, Aldo wins by submission at +1142, Stann wins inside the distance at +329, and Frankie Edgar wins in 5th round at +5000 and Sonnen wins in third round at +1950 for shits and giggles.
For sh!ts n giggles, it all looks good. Anything can happen in this wonderful sport.
#2741

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UFC 136 plays and parlays so far:



Parlay (double): 10 units on [COLOR="rgb(46, 139, 87)"]Anthony Johnson (-150)[/COLOR] & Guillard (-300) to win 12.222 units;


Parlay: 4.847 units on Boetsch/Ring distance (-140), Not Gomi by Sub (-1854), & Not Maynard inside distance (-1117) to win 4.694 units;


Parlay: 3.225 units on Not Lauzon by Decision (-1135), Aldo/Florian Starts Rnd 2 (-345), & Maynard by Decision (+250) to win 12.617 units;


Parlay: 0.647 units on Florian/Aldo Starts Round 2 (-302), & Guillard by Decision (+509) to win 4.598 units;



Parlay: 6.47 units on Not Stephens by Sub (-5175), Aldo/Florian Starts Round 2 (-305), Not Maynard by Submission (-2165), & GSP (-400) to win 4.983 units;



1.293 units on Not Pettis by TKO/KO (-1142), Guillard/Lauzon Starts Round 2 (-222), Stann/Sonnen Starts Round 2 (-570), Aldo/Florian Starts Round 2 (-306), Maynard/Edgar Starts Round 2 (-1225), & GSP (-400) to win 3.008 units;



0.97 units on Lauzon by Submission at +645 to win 6.255 units;


Parlay: 3.23 units on Not Lauzon by Decision (-1135), Florian/Aldo Starts Round 2 at (-345), Maynard by Decision (+250) to win 12.634 units.


Parlay: 0.641 units on Wiman by Decision (+157), [COLOR="rgb(46, 139, 87)"]Mighty Mouse/Cruz to Go the Distance (-210)[/COLOR], Not Lauzon by Decision (-1297), Maynard by Decision (+198), & Not Dos Santos by Decision (-887) to win 8.043 units.
#2742

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damn those cancellations!...i figured we`d lose value on phan...and we did....looks like parlay fodder now....

i`m not using aldo,because contrary to popular opinion, i think that this is a dangerous fight for aldo....i`m pretty much over extended using sonnen in pars...already using guillard(with a lauzon via sub hedge).... maia scares me.....

so i`m thinking pettis or simpson....simpson scares me because i think his stamina has been ??? in some fights....and schafer is a very big guy...he`s been in with brilz and bader....

i`m wondering how much of a concern schafer`s size advantage is in this bout...he has a 3" height advantage here....and is probably just plain overall bigger...
#2743

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Quote Originally Posted by Vitooch View Post
I'm really liking this parlay also : Risking 20$ to win 32$ Florian/Aldo won't start round 5 Lauzon/Guillard won't start round 3 A. Pettis won't win by submission
Losing parlay imo. Lauzon/Guillard won't start 3rd isn't bad but I don't like the others. I think Pettis is winning his fight and it's likely that he could try to take the fight to the ground to neutralize his oppontent's strength. I was very impressed how well he chained sub attempts versus Guida, while Guida was doing everything he could to avoid a fight. Not Pettis by sub is too risky and I'd sooner take Not Stephens by Decision for the gimme @ -800.

Aldo/Florian not going 5 isn't unlikely, but the price is terrible. I like Aldo straight better than that for roughly the same price.
#2744

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Quote Originally Posted by scofflaw View Post
Losing parlay imo. Lauzon/Guillard won't start 3rd isn't bad but I don't like the others. I think Pettis is winning his fight and it's likely that he could try to take the fight to the ground to neutralize his oppontent's strength. I was very impressed how well he chained sub attempts versus Guida, while Guida was doing everything he could to avoid a fight. Not Pettis by sub is too risky and I'd sooner take Not Stephens by Decision for the gimme @ -800.

Aldo/Florian not going 5 isn't unlikely, but the price is terrible. I like Aldo straight better than that for roughly the same price.

Agreed and call me crazy, but Aldo/Florian can see the dist imo.