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Vaughany's MMA Picks...

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#2119

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Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
Woodley gets the decision and Tate gets the win, should have had more faith in Tate finishing but still a solid night
Same here bro, same here. Wish I would have put more faith in tate overall, I was REALLY worried going in and it kept me from putting more on tate. Either way solid night, congrats and cheers big dog!
#2121

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Quote Originally Posted by poopoo333 View Post
Are you familiar with Rob Broughton? I know you are familiar with a lot of the UK fighters which is why I am asking.. I am trying to make my mind up on Browne/Broughton @ UFC 135
Quite familiar, I saw him at the O2 Arena come from behind and beat up a roided up Vinicius Quiroz at UFC 120! He's reasonably well-rounded and obviously has a lot more experience than Browne. Browne will be a big favourite after that Struve KO, looking at -275 to -350 range. I'd see value in Broughton at +275 or better. Broughton has had injury issues in the past and this will be his first fight since 120 so almost a year out. One thing to consider is that this is the first fighter whom Browne will face since joining the UFC that is a similar weight if not heavier. Struve was a similar weight but that's due to his height rather than bulk size. Broughton showed in the Vinicius fight that he has okay cardio for a HW and is resilient and composed. He got dominated by Vinicius for first half of the fight but choked him out after Quiroz gassed out. If he can avoid getting finished in first Rnd or 2 then he has a decent chance against Browne IMO.
#2125

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Quote Originally Posted by DDT View Post
Vaughany,

What is your MMA record?
Need to update it for last event (Strikeforce) but will wait until after 133...

Record Review:

Since Bellator 26 (August 26th 2010):

Bellator 26: +0.45 units
UFC 118: +6.11 units
MFC Retribution: -1.6 units
UFC Fight Night 22: +5.55 units
UFC 119: +1.5 units
WEC 51: +1.07 units
Cage Warriors 38: +11 units
Strikeforce Diaz vs Noons 2: +2.417 units
UFC 120: -0.589 units
UFC 121: +9.011 units
WEC 52: -1.274 units
UFC 122: +17.355 units
Strikeforce Challengers 12: +0.865 units
UFC 123: +1.609 units
TUF 12 Finale: +9.556 units
K1 Grand Prix 2010 Review: +1.1 units
UFC 124: +5.135 units
WEC 53: +0.059 units
Sengoku Soul of Fight & Dream Dynamite: +1.354 units
UFC 125: +3.095 units
UFC Fight for the Troops 2: +3.961 units
UFC 126: +24.577 units
Strikeforce: Fedor vs Silva: +0.941 units
MFC 28 Supremacy: +8.594 units
BAMMA 5: +0.84 units
UFC 127: +10.945 units
UFC Live on Versus 3: +11.622 units
Strikeforce Columbus: -1.4 units
UFC 128: +22.131 units
Bellator 38: +4.875 units
UFC Fight Night 24: +44.283 units
Bellator 40: +2.325 units
Strikeforce Diaz vs Daley: -5.527 units
Bellator 41: -0.7 units
UFC 129: +77.484 units

(Not including risk-free arbs on record from UFC 130 onwards):

UFC 130: +45.077 units
TUF 13 Finale:-16.766 units
UFC 131:+17.688 units
Strikeforce: Overeem vs Werdum:+11.474 units
UFC Versus 4:+25.288 units
UFC 132: +1.783 units

Total profit: +363.267 units
#2128

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How can you guys talk about units when everyone has units of different values? I've seen guys talking about units being between 1% to 3%, but are you guys calculating percentage from original principal, or current bankroll before each event? And many people seem value their units as constants; such as $10 a unit.