My favorite thing to do as well, expose people that cant wright properly. Good job nunybidness, good job.
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I love how this is steeped in irony.Originally Posted by bjpenn85
My favorite thing to do as well, expose people that cant wright properly. Good job nunybidness, good job.
You OK with a parlay of Stephens, Grispi, and Jorgensen for this weekend?
Yeah seems pretty solid to me, I'll be lookin at something similar, maybe a few doubles involving those 3 and Duran.You OK with a parlay of Stephens, Grispi, and Jorgensen for this weekend?
Good luck Vaug! I might be parlaying Stephens and Kingsbury Saturday. Look forward to your selections as always.
You OK with a parlay of Stephens, Grispi, and Jorgensen for this weekend?
That is exactly what I am going to do.
Adding:
Parlay: 6.095 units on Stephens & Kongo to win 6.222 units;
10.062 units on Kongo at -165 to win 6.095 units;
10.976 units on Kongo at -180 to win 6.095 units;
11.885 units on Kongo at -195 to win 6.095 units;
6.095 units on Beltran at +155 to win 9.447 units;
6.095 units on Pierce at +115 to win 7.009 units;
6.095 units on Pierce at +110 to win 6.705 units.
I wouldn't bet shit on Kongo after being thrown across the room by one of Frank Mir's princess punches.Adding:
Parlay: 6.095 units on Stephens & Kongo to win 6.222 units;
10.062 units on Kongo at -165 to win 6.095 units;
10.976 units on Kongo at -180 to win 6.095 units;
11.885 units on Kongo at -195 to win 6.095 units;
6.095 units on Beltran at +155 to win 9.447 units;
6.095 units on Pierce at +115 to win 7.009 units;
6.095 units on Pierce at +110 to win 6.705 units.
Vaugh, why are you betting 30+ units on Kongo, preparing a hedge or something? I'm getting confused by your units. Could you tell me in how many units your bankroll is divided and do you have any limitations for a maximum bet? i.e. 10/10u. This would help me to size my stake properly when i tail your picks.
Thanks in advance!
Why so heavy on Pierce, V? Just confident or do you think Hendricks will end up the underdog?
i would def also pick pierce here. He seems to be very strong. That will give hendricks problems. And the line will probably shift as well.
Kongo makes me a little nervus. And as the line goes past -200 less and less value imo.
I'm very confident Kongo wins and capped him at -225 to -250 range. Unless I hear about Kongo having injuries or something I won't be hedging. My units and bankroll are different to most - rather than having a set amount as my bankroll, I base my "bankroll" on my profits gained so far and have a general rule that I never bet more than 15% of my profits made on one particular outcome (unless it's an arb of course). So my profit is +323.8 units so I won't bet more than 48.57 units (15% of 323.8) on one outcome. Within that I have other general rules like not betting big on anything worse than -200 but exceptions are made if I think the fighter I like to win isn't at a disadvantage in any area - as was the case with Semerzier against Bruce Leeroy so took him at -225! With Kongo vs Barry, I think Kongo trumps him everywhere except leg kicks! IMO Kongo has wrestling, BJJ, strength + size, reach, experience advantage and pretty much equal in striking so to get him at anything better than -200 meant that I couldn't resist going big!Vaugh, why are you betting 30+ units on Kongo, preparing a hedge or something? I'm getting confused by your units. Could you tell me in how many units your bankroll is divided and do you have any limitations for a maximum bet? i.e. 10/10u. This would help me to size my stake properly when i tail your picks.
Thanks in advance!
Bit of both! I expected Pierce to be slight favourite and still think it might end up that way so have possibility of hedging. But more likely I'll put a similar amount on fight going the distance as I can't see Hendricks finishing Pierce. I think it could be similar to the Story fight - like Story I feel Pierce has size and power advantage and good enough wrestling to keep it standing, and maybe get some takedowns of his own - Brenneman was able to take down Hendricks so don't see why Pierce can't.Why so heavy on Pierce, V? Just confident or do you think Hendricks will end up the underdog?
I was wondering why you like Beltran to win? I still haven't looked at Rosa yet.
