no ahahOriginally Posted by MD
Is this a lock?
then why 5u?no ahah
You put 5u on a lock with Guida/Crusher O2.5 at -275?
Can I offer you some constructive advice? You're not standing by your convictions enough, and your parlays lack manliness. If you were a real gambler, you'd have called this a lock.no ahah
Since I'm a real gambler, this is a lock:
$285.00 $4,147.01 Pending 11 Team Parlay Pending 4/16/14 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1202 Elias Theodorou -155* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Sheldon Westcott Pending 4/16/14 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1402 Dustin Poirier -675* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Akira Corassani Pending 4/16/14 6:30pm UFC Fighting 1501 K.J. Noons/Sam Stout Over 2½ -285* Pending 4/16/14 6:00pm UFC Fighting 1601 Leslie Smith/Sarah Kaufman Over 2½ -350* Pending 4/16/14 4:30pm UFC Fighting 1902 Mark Bocek -485* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Mike De La Torre Pending 4/19/14 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Travis Browne -200* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Fabricio Werdum Pending 4/26/14 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Jon Jones -580* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Glover Teixeira Pending 4/26/14 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1202 Luke Rockhold -1000* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Tim Boetsch Pending 4/16/14 9:00pm Props Fighting 1010 Not Bisping inside distance -485* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Bisping wins inside distance Pending 4/16/14 8:30pm Props Fighting 1106 Not Noke inside distance -380* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Noke wins inside distance Pending 5/3/14 11:00pm Props Fighting 683 Mayweather Jr wins by KO or unanim dec -300* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Any other result
Nice parlay man! Aren't you worried Noons could TKO Stout?Can I offer you some constructive advice? You're not standing by your convictions enough, and your parlays lack manliness. If you were a real gambler, you'd have called this a lock.
Since I'm a real gambler, this is a lock:
$285.00 $4,147.01 Pending 11 Team Parlay Pending 4/16/14 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1202 Elias Theodorou -155* vs Sheldon Westcott Pending 4/16/14 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1402 Dustin Poirier -675* vs Akira Corassani Pending 4/16/14 6:30pm UFC Fighting 1501 K.J. Noons/Sam Stout Over 2½ -285* Pending 4/16/14 6:00pm UFC Fighting 1601 Leslie Smith/Sarah Kaufman Over 2½ -350* Pending 4/16/14 4:30pm UFC Fighting 1902 Mark Bocek -485* vs Mike De La Torre Pending 4/19/14 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Travis Browne -200* vs Fabricio Werdum Pending 4/26/14 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Jon Jones -580* vs Glover Teixeira Pending 4/26/14 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1202 Luke Rockhold -1000* vs Tim Boetsch Pending 4/16/14 9:00pm Props Fighting 1010 Not Bisping inside distance -485* vs Bisping wins inside distance Pending 4/16/14 8:30pm Props Fighting 1106 Not Noke inside distance -380* vs Noke wins inside distance Pending 5/3/14 11:00pm Props Fighting 683 Mayweather Jr wins by KO or unanim dec -300* vs Any other result
Nice parlay man! Aren't you worried Noons could TKO Stout?
No, as I said, it's a lock.
In seriousness, no, not really. Small percentage chance of that happening, I think.
5u is about 17.5% of my bankroll. I'm trying to go big on this parlay, but theres great chance I'll lose itthen why 5u?
You put 5u on a lock with Guida/Crusher O2.5 at -275?
You've been pretty civil and personable, which makes this post surprising, as it gives off incredibly strong troll vibes.5u is about 17.5% of my bankroll. I'm trying to go big on this parlay, but theres great chance I'll lose it
On the off chance that you're serious, yeah, don't do that. A wager with a positive expectation of profit loses more value the more you overbet, and eventually becomes a negative-value proposition, which of course you wish to avoid.
Also, 1u = 1% of your bankroll.
1u = 1%, is that a common rule?You've been pretty civil and personable, which makes this post surprising, as it gives off incredibly strong troll vibes.
On the off chance that you're serious, yeah, don't do that. A wager with a positive expectation of profit loses more value the more you overbet, and eventually becomes a negative-value proposition, which of course you wish to avoid.
Also, 1u = 1% of your bankroll.
Anyway, it's not that much money, I don't bet big amounts, f*ck BR management on that one.
It's standard, yes. The intention of a unit is to allow someone to show their bet sizing without revealing how much they're risking monetarily, so if a unit had no real generally accepted meaning, it would be worthless.1u = 1%, is that a common rule?
Anyway, it's not that much money, I don't bet big amounts, f*ck BR management on that one.
It's not about the amounts, though, it's about positive expectation; if you're risking 17.5% of your bankroll on that parlay, do you think that you have a positive expectation of profit? That's not to say that it won't cash, but if we ran that bet over and over a million times, how much money do you think you'd have at the end?
Beginners tend to make that mistake a lot; "my bankroll isn't big so I don't need to follow bankroll management." You should consider the difference between a positive expectation and a negative expectation; if you're wagering, why make a bet that you're expecting to lose money on? For any amount? If your friend offered to give you $20 every time his coin landed on tails as long as you gave him $25 when it lands on heads, would you do it? It's just $20, right?
No, that's called failureCan I offer you some constructive advice? You're not standing by your convictions enough, and your parlays lack manliness. If you were a real gambler, you'd have called this a lock.
Since I'm a real gambler, this is a lock:
$285.00 $4,147.01 Pending 11 Team Parlay Pending 4/16/14 8:00pm UFC Fighting 1202 Elias Theodorou -155* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Sheldon Westcott Pending 4/16/14 7:00pm UFC Fighting 1402 Dustin Poirier -675* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Akira Corassani Pending 4/16/14 6:30pm UFC Fighting 1501 K.J. Noons/Sam Stout Over 2½ -285* Pending 4/16/14 6:00pm UFC Fighting 1601 Leslie Smith/Sarah Kaufman Over 2½ -350* Pending 4/16/14 4:30pm UFC Fighting 1902 Mark Bocek -485* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Mike De La Torre Pending 4/19/14 9:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Travis Browne -200* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Fabricio Werdum Pending 4/26/14 11:30pm UFC Fighting 1002 Jon Jones -580* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Glover Teixeira Pending 4/26/14 10:30pm UFC Fighting 1202 Luke Rockhold -1000* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Tim Boetsch Pending 4/16/14 9:00pm Props Fighting 1010 Not Bisping inside distance -485* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Bisping wins inside distance Pending 4/16/14 8:30pm Props Fighting 1106 Not Noke inside distance -380* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Noke wins inside distance Pending 5/3/14 11:00pm Props Fighting 683 Mayweather Jr wins by KO or unanim dec -300* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Any other result
Josh thompson??? 10k??It's standard, yes. The intention of a unit is to allow someone to show their bet sizing without revealing how much they're risking monetarily, so if a unit had no real generally accepted meaning, it would be worthless.
It's not about the amounts, though, it's about positive expectation; if you're risking 17.5% of your bankroll on that parlay, do you think that you have a positive expectation of profit? That's not to say that it won't cash, but if we ran that bet over and over a million times, how much money do you think you'd have at the end?
Beginners tend to make that mistake a lot; "my bankroll isn't big so I don't need to follow bankroll management." You should consider the difference between a positive expectation and a negative expectation; if you're wagering, why make a bet that you're expecting to lose money on? For any amount? If your friend offered to give you $20 every time his coin landed on tails as long as you gave him $25 when it lands on heads, would you do it? It's just $20, right?
Josh thompson??? 10k??
MD you only had 10k on Thomspon at +900 and +600 after 3 rounds?
Thought it would have been more.
I think I lost 1k.
I said it was in the five figures or something and da haterz ran with 10K, it was unfortunately more than that, enough to tilt me badly when the 49-46 card was read out as for Henderson. Probably shouldn't even have posted the five-figures comment at the time, but I really didn't care and was extremely annoyed about the decision. Definitely the most tilted I've ever been in sports betting. Oh well, at least Marz has something to make fun of me for while he continues to not gamble on this gambling forum.MD you only had 10k on Thomspon at +900 and +600 after 3 rounds?
Thought it would have been more.
I think I lost 1k.
I would have made that play again. I think I popped a semi when I saw teh +616 and +800.I said it was in the five figures or something and da haterz ran with 10K, it was unfortunately more than that, enough to tilt me badly when the 49-46 card was read out as for Henderson. Probably shouldn't even have posted the five-figures comment at the time, but I really didn't care and was extremely annoyed about the decision. Definitely the most tilted I've ever been in sports betting. Oh well, at least Marz has something to make fun of me for while he continues to not gamble on this gambling forum.
Of course. It was an unbelievably +EV bet, should have been -200ish IMO.I would have made that play again. I think I popped a semi when I saw teh +616 and +800.
Also found what I said.
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/boxing-mma...l#post20990058
Close enough.
