UFC on Fuel 8 plays:
With ya on Struve and Kim, however I really like Okami against Lombard. Either way good luck with picks man, hope its a great card
best of luck GC
I got Kim, Lombard and stayed away from the other ones cause me testes be tiny
Love the pics and neat presentation, no messy copy paste transcript, good luck!
Consider it a blessing.Originally Posted by Beelzebubzy
best of luck GC
I got Kim, Lombard and stayed away from the other ones cause me testes be tiny
Mine are so huge that it impedes my mobility and it makes my rooster look smaller.
I doubled up on Struve after your post...SIA had (still has, I think) one of their "stale" bargain-prices (-175) available on it...helped me to make the plunge and "buy another television set" as GigaOuts put it
In the dog department, agree with you on HoKang (probably by choke)...but I see SiyarB as much more-likely-to-surpise than Gomi (who may uglify the affair...but not be able to benefit enough from the ugliness to win)...
Appreciate your posting your card in such a crisp, clear fashion...(ie. with numbers instead of adjectives...when prices, $, units, %bankrolls are involved...numbers are indispensible...even tho adjectives are getting more "fashionable" around here)
BOL
Last edited by fitguy67; 03-02-13 at 02:42 PM.
Some bad beats yesterday but you can't win them all. Will be back for +EV UFC 158 plays
It happens, man, got burned myself, luckily was able to hedge a bit. Some unexpected stuff and bad judging to top it off last night.
It's a good thing that such things aren't likey to happen again any time soon...It happens, man, got burned myself, luckily was able to hedge a bit. Some unexpected stuff and bad judging to top it off last night.
cuz if it did...it'd be stop being so easy to make money betting mma.
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I've got a feeling that at least one of Condit and Marquart will win...in the same way that it'd be a good bet at +103 for the prop "at least one head comes up on the next two coin-flips"...would really help if you knew which one, wouldn't it?
Condit/Hendricks: the classic "puncher versus grinder" (elite versions of each) flip
Ellenberger/Marquart: the ever-present "if it goes to the cards" flip...that we've come to know and love
Last edited by fitguy67; 03-09-13 at 02:44 PM.
UFC 158 PLAYS
Much appreciated GCAD...all locked in (with some excellent fills at Pinny--no "variety" bets whatever there...but generally bargain-basement prices, even relative to 5d reduced)
(5d price, Pinny price)
Ricci=(-320, -305)...........4.69% better
Hendricks=(-135, -130)....3.70% better
Elkins=(-240, -212).........11.66% better
Marquardt=(+150, +145)...3.45% worse (but having Matchy's +156 gave me an "after-tax" +152.88 for a slight bargain
For MMA, Dimey is essential for opening bargains and props, Pinny (and occasionally Matchy) shine on plain-vanilla-bet bargains closer to fight time.
Also kudos to SBR's odds-comparison hub, which i just recently discovered is surprisingly good for UFC.
Last edited by fitguy67; 03-16-13 at 03:06 PM.
Congrats on the equivalent of a $-sweep!!!
Thanks fitguy, glad to hear you tailed and profited. You bring up a good point that I wanted to emphasize. I'm taking these lines from the 5dimes normal lines on fight day. The reduced juice and pinny lines are generally better which equates to higher profits
UFC 158 results:
Matchy is also a good "have" on some plays...just remember to tack on a small 2% "tax" onto each quoted price (mult +prices by 0.98, mult -prices by 1.02)...and when u're putting on the play, enter the raw un-taxed (ie. 1%-smaller) risks...as the tax won't be applied until the play is graded (if you lose you'll get clipped for 1% more than you entered...if you win, you'll receive 1% less than the amount that showed up as an open play).
Matchy takes a BIT of getting used to, but is a great addition to your line-shopping arsenal. They're just getting into fighting markets now so they'll beat pinny/dimey only occasionally, but for mass-market team sports they help u ring the value bell on a hi-% of the plays you're lookin' to lock in.
for MMA plain-vanilla (ML and round-Totals) bets...the "dynamic duo" of line-shopping is Dimey-Reduced & Pinny ...throw in Matchy...and you've got the "holy trinity"...
Last edited by fitguy67; 03-18-13 at 02:10 AM.
What is Matchy? like betfair? and....can i get a link? me no find!Matchy is also a good "have" on some plays...just remember to tack on a small 2% "tax" onto each quoted price (mult +prices by 0.98, mult -prices by 1.02)...and when u're putting on the play, enter the raw un-taxed (ie. 1%-smaller) risks...as the tax won't be applied until the play is graded (if you lose you'll get clipped for 1% more than you entered...if you win, you'll receive 1% less than the amount that showed up as an open play).
Matchy takes a BIT of getting used to, but is a great addition to your line-shopping arsenal. They're just getting into fighting markets now so they'll beat pinny/dimey only occasionally, but for mass-market team sports they help u ring the value bell on a hi-% of the plays you're lookin' to lock in.
for MMA plain-vanilla (ML and round-Totals) bets...the "dynamic duo" of line-shopping is Dimey-Reduced & Pinny ...throw in Matchy...and you've got the "holy trinity"...
