I thought it was a robbery. I didn't understand it at all, but I didn't want to call it a robbery until I had rewatched R3. Now that I have, I consider it a robbery - He had backmount for around two minutes, and when they exchanged at the end of the round, Story got the best of it and landed cleaner punches. To each their own, though.Originally Posted by NunyaBidness
Hardly a robbery. I scored it 29-28 for Gastelum. 29-28 Story is better than 30-27 Gastelum.
Hardly a robbery. I scored it 29-28 for Gastelum. 29-28 Story is better than 30-27 Gastelum.
I had it 2 rounds to one for Gastelum the 30-27 was a bad score. No complaints on the rest of the results, I was on the wrong side of most. The worst performance was Jake Shields, he has nothing for these guys. If its not a grappling match he is useless.
First time judge named Mike Gonzales. He's also the one who gave Shields round 3.Hardly a robbery. I scored it 29-28 for Gastelum. 29-28 Story is better than 30-27 Gastelum.
This ought to be a fun one.
Just want to say that I 'capped Parke at -250 to -300 after R1 and Kelly bet it accordingly at +120 and +163, and that I was big on Siler/Jason Goes Distance. This ref couldn't be more tilting to me right now.
How much do you have on Shogun? Just the 4 Units you posted?
Closer to 6 or 7u, but I tweeted Shogun ITD 2u also and I don't want to end up with 8u invested on Shogun.How much do you have on Shogun? Just the 4 Units you posted?
Tommy Blingshyne gave MD 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/boxing-mma...gun-160-a.html
Lost this thread play. Doubt anyone would dispute that it was the right side and a pretty good bet, though.
Went 0-4; Rua ITD +158 2u, Jason/Siler dec -160 4.5, Villante dec +170 2u, Shogun -148 4u...
...for -12.5u on my Twitter plays. Villante dec was probably the only way he wins that fight (most of the time), but then again, how often does he win a decision there? He simply doesn't have the gastank to grind Maldonado out. Even assuming that he almost never gets the finish, +170 for Villante by decision was probably still a really bad bet. He simply can't keep that pace.
Jason/Siler goes distance was some horrible, horrible variance, but that doesn't necessarily make it the right side. Nothing in the fight gave me any idea as to whether it was or not, so I'll keep my pre-fight opinion that it was.
I'm very confident that Shogun was a good bet, and also confident that Shogun ITD was a good bet.
Lots of variance, but some things I can learn from, too. Wild night overall, surprisingly not upset with the results - I'm more impressed than anything. I've never seen variance like that. It just kept coming.
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/boxing-mma...gun-160-a.html
Lost this thread play. Doubt anyone would dispute that it was the right side and a pretty good bet, though.
Went 0-4; Rua ITD +158 2u, Jason/Siler dec -160 4.5, Villante dec +170 2u, Shogun -148 4u...
...for -12.5u on my Twitter plays. Villante dec was probably the only way he wins that fight (most of the time), but then again, how often does he win a decision there? He simply doesn't have the gastank to grind Maldonado out. Even assuming that he almost never gets the finish, +170 for Villante by decision was probably still a really bad bet. He simply can't keep that pace.
Jason/Siler goes distance was some horrible, horrible variance, but that doesn't necessarily make it the right side. Nothing in the fight gave me any idea as to whether it was or not, so I'll keep my pre-fight opinion that it was.
I'm very confident that Shogun was a good bet, and also confident that Shogun ITD was a good bet.
Lots of variance, but some things I can learn from, too. Wild night overall, surprisingly not upset with the results - I'm more impressed than anything. I've never seen variance like that. It just kept coming.
The crazy part was the consistency of the upset trend. I remember after the all the upsets on the prelims asking myself if I should take dogs on the main card. I decided not to because one should pick fights based on logical reasons to do with the fighters involved, not superstitious shit. However, there may have been perfectly logical forces at play that we just couldn't understand.
Some thoughts:
Villante's gas tank really let him down tonight. That combined with his willingness to strike with Maldonado was his undoing.
Taisumov was being VERY overrated coming into his fight. I admit that I fell for his hype. One thing I find interesting was that most people picking Taisumov couldn't explain why he should be such a favorite. They acknowledged that Prazeres had the better wrestling but assumed that Prazeres would gas early enough to lose.
Leo Santos's striking looked much improved. His work with Nova Uniao clearly paid off and that fight looked very different than I expected. I still feel that the point deduction was too much and Parke should have gotten the victory, though.
So far this year, favorites seem to have won a disproportionate amount of the time. This may have led bettors to favor favorites more heavily this weekend than they should have.
What were Luca's and Odds Breakers plays tonight??
That was a one off card bud, 1 dodgy decision the rest were just what they were. I think I had 4 picks on this one. Parke, Jason, Taisumov (from listening to others) and Lahat. The rest was either way for me, CB delivered, Shogun gave the fight away. Still think Maldonado is a bum hes my Brazilian Bobby Green. How a 'professional' fighter from a good team can gas like Villante did is criminal.Some thoughts:
Villante's gas tank really let him down tonight. That combined with his willingness to strike with Maldonado was his undoing.
Taisumov was being VERY overrated coming into his fight. I admit that I fell for his hype. One thing I find interesting was that most people picking Taisumov couldn't explain why he should be such a favorite. They acknowledged that Prazeres had the better wrestling but assumed that Prazeres would gas early enough to lose.
Leo Santos's striking looked much improved. His work with Nova Uniao clearly paid off and that fight looked very different than I expected. I still feel that the point deduction was too much and Parke should have gotten the victory, though.
So far this year, favorites seem to have won a disproportionate amount of the time. This may have led bettors to favor favorites more heavily this weekend than they should have.
MMA Oddsbreaker went 0-2 in total bets. Losses tonight can be forgiven but their overall record this year has been pretty atrocious.
Other than Shogun, don't know what Luca's picks were but judging by his tweets he's not happy with tonight's results.
Brazilian Bobby Green?That was a one off card bud, 1 dodgy decision the rest were just what they were. I think I had 4 picks on this one. Parke, Jason, Taisumov (from listening to others) and Lahat. The rest was either way for me, CB delivered, Shogun gave the fight away. Still think Maldonado is a bum hes my Brazilian Bobby Green. How a 'professional' fighter from a good team can gas like Villante did is criminal.
