Hope all is well with you, always enjoyed reading your analysis and opinions
Yeah, just personal shit, bit of a transition period going on in my life where I have to accept letting certain things go. May take up a lot of my time, which is why I may not end up 'capping fights for a while. Knowing me, though, I won't stand by while you greedy focks steal all my money. I'll probably be back in the game by Wednesday.Originally Posted by goodfellas433
Hope all is well with you, always enjoyed reading your analysis and opinionsI hate leaving money on the table, gotta scoop up dat EV. I'll still sign in when I can, just may not be able to find the time to post. You can always shoot me a PM or a tweet or something if you want my opinion on a fight, for whatever it's worth.
On the plus side, I'm posting this at a reasonable hour for once. Normally I'm awake from midday until early morning like a true Gabe-style degen, but I can't sleep. Might download True Detective and marathon that or something, I've heard it's amazing.
Last edited by MD; 02-16-14 at 07:35 AM.
Good luck mate
Ok, stop by when you can. I need to start analyzing this next card. I just hooked my female coworker on MMA betting in one play. I had her place 100 on a 3 teamer of alcantara, oliveira and Souza and it hit. She acted like she won the lottery, absolutely bonkers lol
http://middleeasy.com/fighting/item/...fight-night-36
Thought I'd post this here. I'm pretty much the only guy here who thinks Mousasi edged it, but Fightmetric stats are ridiculously misleading and often inaccurate. I would be extremely surprised if the actual numbers were anything close to those; Machida's clearest rounds were so much more dominant than the close rounds that I would expect him to have built a reasonable edge in significant strikes overall. I don't have a problem with anything from 48-47 Mousasi to 49-46 Machida, but as a complete fight, Machida definitely did more.
I still gave it to Machida 48-47, I have to rewatch but Mousasi was close stealing round 5 but he couldn't finish his takedown. The decision prop at 7 to 1 on Mousasi had to be the right side.
Article is misleading, if you throw out the grappling, Fightmetric still gives Machida 1, 3, and 5.http://middleeasy.com/fighting/item/...fight-night-36
Thought I'd post this here. I'm pretty much the only guy here who thinks Mousasi edged it, but Fightmetric stats are ridiculously misleading and often inaccurate. I would be extremely surprised if the actual numbers were anything close to those; Machida's clearest rounds were so much more dominant than the close rounds that I would expect him to have built a reasonable edge in significant strikes overall. I don't have a problem with anything from 48-47 Mousasi to 49-46 Machida, but as a complete fight, Machida definitely did more.
yeah and did you tell her the alcantara fight was bs?Ok, stop by when you can. I need to start analyzing this next card. I just hooked my female coworker on MMA betting in one play. I had her place 100 on a 3 teamer of alcantara, oliveira and Souza and it hit. She acted like she won the lottery, absolutely bonkers lol
not a good move introducing people to gambling since only %1 of gamblers are long term winners.
Number strikes me as exceedingly high.yeah and did you tell her the alcantara fight was bs?
not a good move introducing people to gambling since only %1 of gamblers are long term winners.
[QUOTE=rosietop;21180206]yeah and did you tell her the alcantara fight was bs?
Nah, I just told her the basic rules of UFC Brazil betting. #1 if the fight might be close make sure you are on the Brazilian. #2 if it is two Brazilians fighting, pick the more popular Brazilian. #3 when 1 and 2 fail hope for a little luck. Take luck over talent any day of the week. (Talent being good capping, in this case.)
Last edited by goodfellas433; 02-17-14 at 06:43 PM.
goodfella I wasent trying to have a go at you. Im actually trying to help you, its common knowledge that casinos and bookies hook people to gambling by letting them win a little at first, and the natural human instinct of greed takes over and before you know it they have turned into degenerate gamblers waiting and waiting for that one big pay day that never comes. Im happy the girl won money betting (any day David beats Goliath is a good day in my opinion) but dont think you are doing her or anyone else any good by getting them hooked to gambling. The majority of cappers are losers if they weren't how do you think bookies and casinos exist?
No worries rosietop, I'm not one of the easily offended sbr members...you are 100% correct, trust me I know they dont build beautiful casinos by giving away money. It gave me someone to text with and she took an interest in the sport because of the bet she made. Your point is well taken
though
Since you seem to be the only one checking in tonight, what are your 3 fav plays on the upcoming card? Quite the decent price on the champ, no?
I havent really studied the fight card much but from the champ im guessing you mean Ronda? yeah I think her odds are ok to throw in a parlay I do think she wins. Like Cormier as well, yes even at those odds and I couldn't give you another favorite just yet (need to do more research). Most people think Rory is a lock but Maia has the potential to make this one a stinker. And by "tonight" why do people always assume im American? lol Im on the other side of the planet buddy.No worries rosietop, I'm not one of the easily offended sbr members...you are 100% correct, trust me I know they dont build beautiful casinos by giving away money. It gave me someone to text with and she took an interest in the sport because of the bet she made. Your point is well taken
though
Since you seem to be the only one checking in tonight, what are your 3 fav plays on the upcoming card? Quite the decent price on the champ, no?
You got 2 of us. I also thought he controlled the cage most of the fight (which is supposed to be a judging factor).http://middleeasy.com/fighting/item/...fight-night-36
Thought I'd post this here. I'm pretty much the only guy here who thinks Mousasi edged it, but Fightmetric stats are ridiculously misleading and often inaccurate. I would be extremely surprised if the actual numbers were anything close to those; Machida's clearest rounds were so much more dominant than the close rounds that I would expect him to have built a reasonable edge in significant strikes overall. I don't have a problem with anything from 48-47 Mousasi to 49-46 Machida, but as a complete fight, Machida definitely did more.
