TUF 14 Finale
Lines out on Bookmaker:
Jason Miller +160
Michael Bisping -200
John Dodson +175
TJ Dillashaw -235
Dennis Bermudez +255
Diego Brandao -355
Yves Edwards +180
Tony Ferguson -240
Lines out on Bookmaker:
Jason Miller +160
Michael Bisping -200
John Dodson +175
TJ Dillashaw -235
Dennis Bermudez +255
Diego Brandao -355
Yves Edwards +180
Tony Ferguson -240
I'd take a shot @ dodson @ +175
i'll take a shot on bermudez. athletic wrestler and a huge heart. tough matchup for anyone.
-355 Is pretty steep.
here are two videos, updates of each fighter letting fans know how training has been going and who they've been training with.
considering a massive wager on Bisping. I also like Dodson @ +175, Diego Brandau is practically as close to a sure thing as you can get in MMA. I will work that into a few parlays.
brandao is 13-7 as a pro....somebody`s beating him(i`m aware that he`s fought at a heavier weight)....i think that part of his(and that akira character`s) effectiveness was their mouths and attitudes....in caraway`s case,it seemed apparent that he was beaten prior to entering the cage...
brandao`s a bit wild and a little careless(because he`s cocky as hell).....that makes him dangerous if you aren`t careful(but it also makes him vulnerable)......just not sure that bermudez will be as mentally weak as caraway appeared to be.... unfotunately he doesn`t appear to have much of a sub game so he`ll either have to ride it out for the full 3 or win a firefight with brabdao(not the easiest/safest road to victory)......
i can see taking a shot at +2.5....but not a very big shot...
bisping/miller is 5 rounds?.....whoa....
this finale is heavy on cast members
MAIN CARD (Spike TV)
- Michael Bisping vs. Jason "Mayhem" Miller
- Dennis Bermudez vs. Diego Brandao ("TUF 14" featherweight finale)
- John Dodson vs. T.J. Dillashaw ("TUF 14" bantamweight finale)
- Yves Edwards vs. Tony Ferguson
- Johnny Bedford vs. Louis Gaudinot
PRELIMINARY CARD (Facebook)
- Marcus Brimage vs. Stephan Bass
- John Albert vs. Dustin Pague
- Roland Delorme vs. Josh Ferguson
- Josh Clopton vs. Steven Siler
- Bryan Caraway vs. Dustin Neace
Anyone thinking Brandao is a lock is stupid. Making plays on Ferguson and Bermudez with a small stab at Dodson.
There's a good amount of lag time between the taped final episode and the finals. It's enough time to get together with a camp and make improvements. All these fighters are still in the development stage and can have significant surge in skills in a few weeks/months at this point. Plus all the fighting/training from the TUF makes their nervous system gel from those experiences.
Nothing to see here people. Plan on sitting back and enjoying these fights.
Brandao may be too a steep favorite, but has looked too good for me to pick against. Remember Bermudez was in trouble a few times with Akira. Imagine the trouble he will be in if he can't take down Diego. I like Dillashaw to grind a decision but not enough to pick him, considering also how good Dodson has looked. I like Bisping also, taking into consideration his UFC experience and the difference in skill level I think exists, but the opportune Miller has a legitimate shot of pulling an opposite. Bisping usually gives his opponents a small window to beat him (see Dennis Kang), but, once again, not confident enough in either guy to make a play.
I'll pass.
Last edited by Vitooch; 12-01-11 at 03:10 PM.