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Mo ....Do Santana vs Hudson

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Johan vs. Hudson


Johan Santana:

Surprisingly, Johans numbers havent been better to start his stint in the NL than they were over the last 4 years in the AL, but Santana is a guy thats had slow starts before and come back to be a cy young contender. This season, hes not off to a slow start, but hes not dominating at a level that most expected him to.

Johans numbers:
  • 8.55 K/9
  • 2.25 BB/9
  • 1.65 HR/9
  • .235 BAA
  • .268 BABIP
  • 85% LOB
  • 19.8% LD
  • 43.7 % GB
  • 36.5 % FB


What he throws:
59.6% FB
14.6% slider
25.8% change

Santana is throwing more sliders and less change ups than he did over the course of the 07 season. many think he has the best change in baseball; maybe he'll start relying on it a bit more soon.

Johan has gone 6.0, 6.0, and 7.2 innings in his 3 most recent starts. In those contests he allowed 5, 6, and 6 line drives; not impressive. Santana saw the braves earlier this season and had one of his best games against them when he went 7 innings and only allowed 1 ER.

Here are Johans splits:

ERA


BAA


WHIP



Tim Hudson
Tim has enjoyed a great start to his 08 season as his HA/IP ratio is better than its been since 2003 and hes got 6 wins going into his start tonight.

Tims Stats:
  • 5.55 K/9
  • 2.19 BB/9
  • 0.44 HR/9
  • .227 BAA
  • .261 BABIP
  • 70.1 LOB%
  • 16.6 % LD
  • 59.4 % GB
  • 24.1 % FB


What he throws:
  • 60.7% FB
  • 15.2% slider
  • 3.0% cutter
  • 5.3% curve
  • 9.8% change
  • 6.1% splitter


tim is throwing less Fbs and far more change ups this season than he had in his last few seasons. He has a lot of pitches he can go to if one isnt on and this large arsenal helps him keep batters off balance.

Tims last outing looked much worse than it was. The as got 5 earned off of him but thats simply because ground balls were finding holes instead of gloves. tim has yet to be hit hard in any game this month. In his 2nd start of the season he saw the Mets and got a win over NY right-hander john Maine.

Tims splits:

ERA


BAA


WHIP



The braves lineup actually has a decent number of ABs vs Johan seeing as a few of these guys spent time in the AL. as a whole, johan has dominated this group allowing a BA of just .220 and an OPS of .620. The bad news is, Diaz, Chipper, Escobar, and Mcann have crushed johan over the course of their ABs against him. You have to figure that bobby will get Diaz in the lineup tonight.

The NYM lineup has an absurd number of ABs against hudson and they've had a lot of success against him. In 367 Abs this roster is batting .283 off hudson and they've taken 30 walks to just 44Ks. Beltran, Alou, and delgado absolutely smash Tim while even edny and easley hit the right hander pretty hard. Wright and reyes have not had great success against Hudson, in fact, the ATl starter has owned Wright over the course of their 39 encounters. without alou in the lineup tonight, the fact that easley and Marlon Anderson have each hit tim well plays a factor.

Umpire:
Meals has been 6-4 in favor of the over this season, but last season he was more of an under ump. here are his games behind the plate this season:

Date - Road Team - Home Team - line - result
  • 04/02 Toronto(A.J. Burnett) NY Yankees(Mike Mussina) 9 U
  • 04/06 Pittsburgh(Ian Snell) Florida(Rick VandenHurk) 9 O
  • 04/18 Texas(Luis Mendoza) Boston(Daisuke Matsuzaka) 10.5 O
  • 04/22 NY Yankees(Chien-Ming Wang) Chi White Sox(Jose Contreras) 9.5 O
  • 04/26 Toronto(Shaun Marcum) Kansas City(Luke Hochevar) 8.5 U
  • 04/30 Colorado(Ubaldo Jimenez) San Francisco(Jonathan Sanchez) 7.5 U
  • 05/05 Philadelphia(Jamie Moyer) Arizona(Max Scherzer) 10 O
  • 05/09 NY Yankees(Kei Igawa) Detroit(Kenny Rogers) 10 O
  • 05/14 Oakland(Joe Blanton) Cleveland(C.C. Sabathia) 8 U
  • 05/18 Kansas City(Zack Greinke) Florida(Burke Badenhop) 8.5 O



Notes:
  • Atl is 19-5 at home
  • the mets are only 5-10 vs. teams with a winning record
  • mets are batting .229 in their past 7 games
  • mets are batting .246 vs. right handed starters
  • mets bullpen has an era of 5.49 on the road
  • atl is scoring 6 runs a game at home
  • atl is batting .288 over their last 7 games
  • atl is only averaging 3.7 rpg vs lefty starters
  • atl BP has an era under .300 at home


Johan has a road era of 2.81 and he is going 6.9 innings per start in those outings. Hudson has a home ERA of 2.94 and the Braves are 4-1 in those games. all 3 of johans last 3 starts vs the Braves have gone under while 2 of hudsons last 3 vs the mets have also gone under.

Tonight the strike out artist, johan santana, will be up against the team that strikes out less than any team in the NL. santana has been giving up a decent number of LDs when he gets hit and that could spell some trouble against a team that doesnt K often and has a roster with some players who can hit the lefty.

Tonight i like the dog and the over.
ATL +118
Over 7.5
Last edited by sbr.rodrigo; 12-04-14 at 12:06 PM.
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#12

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Quote Originally Posted by mofome View Post
The NYM lineup has an absurd number of ABs against hudson and they've had a lot of success against him. In 367 Abs this roster is batting .283 off hudson and they've taken 30 walks to just 44Ks. Beltran, Alou, and delgado absolutely smash Tim while even edny and easley hit the right hander pretty hard. Wright and reyes have not had great success against Hudson, in fact, the ATl starter has owned Wright over the course of their 39 encounters. without alou in the lineup tonight, the fact that easley and Marlon Anderson have each hit tim well plays a factor.

Predictable HR for Carols & Carols.

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