Powders Picks 5/31

Placing on two games.

Houston with a 71% chance of win.Lance B. forecast with 16.3 % chance of home run.
Placing 5% down.

Tigers with a 70% chance of win with M.Cabrera forecast of 26.9 % HR.
5% on that game.


MLB Record 2010:

47-1-23

...

Tigers game delay.

Ski, I base my picks off percentages. Can you give me any insight to your %'s?

Originally Posted by rkelly110

Ski, I base my picks off percentages. Can you give me any insight to your %'s?

RKelly,
Using Accu score along with Statistic projections based on wins and losses of each team. Only playing on teams over 70% winning forecast and the ML only (no RL) at or under -200

How are you doing your percentages?


http://accuscore.com/mlb

YTD: With Accu is 16-6

I go to Yahoo sports. I look at each team standings %. Calculate home/ away win %.
Figure each teams past 3 gam. avg. offense score and defense scores. I look at the
pitchers ERA's and games won by the pitchers.

If the avg. offensive scores are w/in one run of each other, or tied,
I'll bet +RL.(w/ winning pitcher) If my book has +RL and that team avg's 2 or more
runs better than the other team, I'll bet ML too. ( combo )

If avg. offensive scores are more than 2 runs, I'll bet ML. ( w/ winning pitcher)
If either team has a better home or away winning %, that's even better.

It takes me about 3 hours to cap 15 games. Avg. about 3 games a day with
a 62% win rate. +30 units. Don't forget some of those bets are combo RL/ML wins.

You can hedge your combo bets by betting 67% of your wager on +RL and 33% on ML.
If RL hits you made a small profit. Both hit, you made a nice profit.

Todays plays: Atlanta (avg 6 runs, 73 home %, better pitcher, Phi avg 1 run.) bet ML won
Pitt ( avg 3 runs, 48 home %, sucky pitcher, Cubs avg 2 runs) bet +RL won
Milw ( avg 5 runs, 50 away%, winning pitcher, FL avg 1 run) bet +RL & ML lost

Sorry, got carried away. That's how I do my percentages.

Thanks for your info. I'll check it out.